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Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Lester Siew
  • Paula Ruth
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 8, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ) - 2Q25 EBITDA Slightly Declines By 3% yoy

6M25 EBITDA reached Rp36t, somewhat in line with our expectations (47.0%) and consensus’ (47.3%), but 6M25 NPAT (Rp11t) was slightly below our estimate (45.6%) and consensus’ (45.8%). There are early signs of optimism on Indonesia’s macroenvironment given the government spending in June 25, but it may take several quarters to drive a full multiplier effect. TLKM trims its 2025 revenue growth (yoy) target to flat (vs low-single digit previously). Maintain HOLD. Target price: Rp2,900.

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth

Indonesia Daily - Friday, August 8, 2025

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/HOLD/Rp2,950/Target: Rp2,900): 2Q25 EBITDA slightly declines by 3% yoy; maintain HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER Medco Energi Internasional (MEDC IJ): Technical BUY Alamtri Minerals Indonesia (ADMR IJ): Technical BUY

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+24)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 01, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Rebound falters, weighed down by weaker construction and input cost pressures. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales pressured by anti-involution initiatives. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.26/Target: HK$12.00) ...

300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
ISAT INDOSAT
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
1155 MALAYAN BANKING BHD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
PBBANK PUBLIC BANK BERHAD
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
GAM GAMUDA BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
SWB SUNWAY BHD
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
CRPU SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BRMS IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
BAM TB BANGKOK COMMERCIAL ASSET MANAGEMENT
Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ) - Gradual Simplification Of Product Portfol...

Telkomsel launched a new starter pack with higher headline pricing (40% above previous starter pack) in Mar 25. This is also part of its gradual effort to simplify its product portfolio (target: 200SKUs). Telkomsel views the current market consolidation as a positive sign going forward. We expect a dividend payout of 65% from 2026 NPAT, implying a DPS of Rp158 (5.6% yield). This partly reflects analysts’ session with TLKM’s new management. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Rp2,900.

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth

Indonesia Daily - Friday, July 25, 2025

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/HOLD/Rp2,840/Target: Rp2,900): Gradual simplification of product portfolio to 200 SKUs from the current 400; maintain HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ): Technical BUY Malindo Feedmill (MAIN IJ): Technical BUY

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 03, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...

BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CPALL TB CP ALL
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Strategy - Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June

Our Jun 25 portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +5.1%/+7.1% respectively, mainly driven by DKFT (+16% performance) and outperformances by other stocks such as ANTM, CMRY and AMRT. Several major events to watch out this month include upcoming IPOs (especially the sizeable Chandra Daya Investasi (CDIA) IPO worth about US$143m) and the outcome of the US-Indo reciprocal tariffs discussion on 9 July. Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM.

Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, July 3, 2025

Strategy: Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. TRADERS’ CORNER Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ): Technical BUY Astra International (ASII IJ): Technical BUY

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Telecommunications – 1Q25: EBITDA Stable At -0.8% qoq

In 1Q25, the combined EBITDA of Indonesia’s big telcos dropped 6% yoy, but was stable qoq. Combined 1Q25 NPAT was also slightly lower (2% yoy). Among the big three telcos, ISAT and Telkomsel (majority owned by TLKM) gained market share in 1Q25 (based on EBITDA) vs 4Q24. We are monitoring TLKM’s upcoming AGM (27 May) as we expect a potential dividend yield of around 7% (assuming an 80% payout). Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the telecommunications sector with ISAT as our top pick.

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, May 15, 2025

Telecommunications: 1Q25: EBITDA stable at -0.8% qoq. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. TRADERS’ CORNER United Tractors (UNTR IJ): Technical BUY Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS IJ): Technical BUY

XLSmart Telecom Sejahtera Tbk Pt: 2 directors

Two Directors at XLSmart Telecom Sejahtera Tbk Pt sold 6,722,914 shares at 2,350.000IDR. The significance rating of the trade was 95/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the...

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Telecommunications – 4Q24: NPAT Down Slightly By 2% yoy

Big Telcos’ 4Q24 EBITDA was roughly stable (-0.2%) qoq, but declined slightly by 4% yoy Meanwhile, combined 4Q24 net profit fell slightly by 2% yoy, but rose 11% qoq. During 4Q24, EXCL slightly increased its market share (based on EBITDA) among the top three telcos. We downgrade the telecommunications sector to MARKET WEIGHT from OVERWEIGHT as we expect TLKM, the parent company of Telkomsel (market leader), to book only a slightly moderate top-line growth of 2% yoy in 2025. Our top pick is ISAT.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+14)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 25, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...

Maskun Ramli ... (+3)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan

Indonesia Daily - Friday, April 25, 2025

Telecommunications: 4Q24: NPAT down slightly by 2% yoy. Downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp8,475/Target: Rp10,500): 1Q25: Net profit grows 9.8% yoy on the back of NIM expansion. TRADERS’ CORNER Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO IJ): Technical BUY Indosat (ISAT IJ): Technical BUY

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+14)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 23, 2025

GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$47.80/Target: HK$60.00) World’s largest music platform with evolving social ecosystem. Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/HOLD/Rmb13.99/Target: Rmb15.00) 2024: Results in line; maintain 2025 revenue growth estimate of 8.8% yoy. iFlytek (002230 CH/SELL/Rmb45.18/Target: Rmb35.00) 2024 and 1Q25: Earnings miss on heightened R&D spending; solid top-line growth. Update Sunn...

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ) - 4Q24: NPAT Up 18% yoy

TLKM recorded 2024 EBITDA of Rp75t. This was in line with our and consensus full-year estimates. The strong yoy growth in 4Q24 NPAT was primarily supported by the digital investments’ appreciation (non-cash income) of Rp664b. Cellular (mobile) ARPU rose slightly by 2% qoq in 4Q24, but fell 7% yoy. The company guides lower capex to revenue (at 17-19%) in 2025 compared with its 2024 guidance (at 22-24%). Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Rp2,700.

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth

Indonesia Daily - Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/HOLD/Rp2,550/Target: Rp2,700): 4Q24: NPAT up 18% yoy; maintain HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper (INKP IJ): Technical BUY Timah (TINS IJ): Technical BUY

Indosat Tbk Pt: 1 director

A director at Indosat Tbk Pt bought 300,000 shares at 1,520.000IDR and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos A Consistent Approach to EFCF and Shareholder Remune...

Amidst tariff-inspired chaos we introduce a consistent way to calculate Equity FCF for Global EM Telcos. Improvements in market structure and synergies from consolidation has led to a steep increase in sector cash flow.

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