reports
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Banking - Digital Banks – A Complement, Not A Threat
Digital Banks – A Complement, Not A Threat Three of Malaysia’s five licensed digital banks have begun operations. However, with lending still limited and a RM3b asset cap in place during their early years, they are unlikely to pose a near-term threat to traditional banks. Established banks continue to advance their own digital agendas, and retain broader product capabilities and distribution networks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT, with our sector top picks skewed more to defensive and undervalued bank...
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Public Bank (PBK MK) - 1Q25: Steady Growth
1Q25: Steady Growth Public Bank’s 1Q25 earnings are in line, supported by steady non-interest income, solid loan growth and lower provisions. We maintain our BUY call with a lower target price of RM4.90 (1.60x 2025F P/B, 12.5% ROE). Valuations have de-rated to near pandemic lows (-1.5SD below mean), and with the sector’s strongest provision buffers, the stock is wellpositioned to weather macro headwinds.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jo Yee Ng
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, May 22, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$86.10/Target: HK$91.00) 1Q25: Solid earnings beat, fuelled by AI cloud growth and monetisation visibility. XPeng Inc (9868 HK/BUY/HK$77.55/Target: HK$150.00) 1Q25: Results beat expectations. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$150.00. INDONESIA Strategy Indonesia’s State Budget Position As Of Apr 25 Surplus returns, mom improvement in revenue collections, spen...
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
QH QUALITY HOUSES
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
P34 DELFI
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
SPSB SP SETIA BHD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
09888 BAIDU INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
09868 XPENG INC
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Banking - Loan Growth Tapers Off
Loan Growth Tapers Off Loan growth moderated slightly to 5.2% in Mar 25 (Feb 25: +5.3%), driven by softer household lending. In tandem with our downward revision of the 2025 GDP forecast to 4.0% (from 4.8%), we lower our system loan growth projection to a more tempered 5-6% range (previously 6-7%). We maintain our MARKET WEIGHT stance, favouring top sector picks with resilient earnings profiles and potential upside from capital management initiatives.
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Public Bank (PBK MK) - Multiple Catalysts On The Horizon?
Multiple Catalysts On The Horizon? With the strongest provision buffers in the sector, the stock is best positioned to weather global geopolitical risks, in our opinion. We also highlight three potential catalysts for relative outperformance, which should support share price resilience. That said, we trim our target price to RM5.00 (1.64x 2025F P/B, 12.5% ROE) from RM5.35, reflecting a lower long-term growth rate to account for geopolitical impacts on overall growth. Foreign shareholding (end-Fe...
- Jo Yee Ng
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thailand Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 09, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
N1U NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. SPONSORED ADR
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
SATS SP SATS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
MCH MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS BHD
09888 BAIDU INC
1024 BEIJING KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CO LTD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, March 25, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
3993 CHINA MOLYBDENUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
IOI IOI CORP BHD
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
1888 KINGBOARD LAMINATES HOLDINGS LTD
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
HUIZ HUIZE HOLDING LIMITED
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Banking - 2H24 Financial Stability Report: Banking System Remains Soun...
2H24 Financial Stability Report: Banking System Remains Sound BNM’s 2H24 Financial Stability Report highlights that while Malaysia is not fully insulated from external risks like US trade policies and geopolitical tensions, the banking system is well-positioned to weather potential headwinds given the strong provision buffers and liquidity position. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT as the risk-reward remains balanced.
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Banking - Finely Balanced – Focus On Laggards
Finely Balanced – Focus On Laggards We expect sector earnings growth to ease to 7% in 2025 (from 9% in 2024) due to slower non-interest income growth. While earnings resilience and attractive dividends support the investment case, valuations at +0.5SD above mean and foreign shareholding that is near a five-year high may limit upside. We maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, favouring laggards RHB Bank, Hong Leong Bank, and Public Bank for their better riskreward, while adding AMMB for potential capit...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ken Lee
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Singapore Research Team
- Sunny Chen
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, March 14, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on JBM Healthcare. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales decline wow due to seasonal factors. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. Results Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company (1833 HK/BUY/HK$7.72/Target:HK$11.00) 2024: Satisfactory results; expect ...
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
OU8 CENTURION
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
BRC BRC ASIA LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
HLA HONG LEONG ASIA LTD
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
TWC TIONG WOON CORPORATION HOLDING
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
532605 JBM AUTO LIMITED
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Public Bank (PBK MK) - 4Q24: Sustained By Write-backs And Strong Non-i...
4Q24: Sustained By Write-backs And Strong Non-interest Income Public Bank’s 4Q24 earnings were in line, bolstered by provision write-backs and solid non-interest income growth. Maintain BUY and target price of RM5.35 (1.75x 2025F P/B, 12.5% ROE) We remain positive on Public Bank as its valuation has derated to near pandemic lows (-1.5SD below its historical mean PBV). Additionally, its robust provision buffers present potential for significant write-backs, which are not yet reflected in our or c...
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Banking - Loan Growth Tapers Off
Loan Growth Tapers Off Loan growth slowed to 5.5% in Dec 24 (Nov 24: +5.8%), ending the year at the lower end of our 5.5-6.0% forecast due to weaker-than-expected business loan growth. We maintain our 2025 loan growth target of 6.0-7.0%, although the sluggish corporate loans remain a risk. With sector earnings growth likely to trail the broader market’s, we maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, favouring laggards like Public Bank, RHB Bank, and Hong Leong Bank.
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Banking - Assessing Capital Management Potential
Assessing Capital Management Potential We believe that despite their healthy capital adequacy ratios, Malaysian banks are likely to take a cautious and gradual approach to capital management, prioritising sustainability given the uncertainty surrounding the full impact of Basel 4 implementation on capital ratios. Maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, favouring laggards RHB, Hong Leong Bank and Public Bank for their better risk-reward.
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Banking - Positive Outlook Priced In – Focus On Laggards
Positive Outlook Priced In – Focus On Laggards The sector delivered 3Q24 earnings growth of 11% yoy, driven by lower provisions and robust trading and forex income. 9M24 earnings growth of 8% aligns with our fullyear assumption of 8%. With the sector trading at +1.0SD to its historical mean P/B and earnings growth lagging the KLCI (set to ease in 2025), much of the favourable macro outlook seems priced in. Maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, favouring laggards RHB, Hong Leong Bank and Public Bank f...
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Public Bank (PBK MK) - 3Q24: Sustained by writebacks and stronf non-in...
3Q24: Sustained by writebacks and stronf non-interets income Public Bank’s 3Q24 earnings were marginally above, bolstered by provision writebacks. Maintain BUY and target price of RM5.35 (1.75x 2025F P/B, 12.5% ROE) We remain positive on Public Bank as its valuation has de-rated to near pandemic lows (-1.5SD below its historical mean PBV). Additionally, its robust provision buffers present potential for significant write-backs, which are not yet reflected in our or consensus estimates.
Moody's Ratings affirms Public Bank's A3 ratings; outlook stable
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has affirmed Public Bank Berhad's A3 long-term domestic and foreign currency deposit ratings. At the same time, we have affirmed the bank's A2 long-term domestic and foreign currency Counterparty Risk Ratings (CRRs), A2(cr) long-term Counterparty Risk (CR) Assessment, P-1...
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
Banking - Loans Growth Tapers Off
Loans Growth Tapers Off Loan growth slowed to 5.6% in Sep 24 (Aug 24: 6.0%) due to weaker business loans. We maintain our full-year loan growth target of 6.5-7.0%, supported by strong GDP growth, though weaker-than-expected corporate loans could pose a risk. The sector's riskreward remains balanced in the absence of strong earnings, with 2024/25 earnings growth likely to lag the broader market. Maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, focusing on sector laggards such as Public Bank, RHB Bank, and Hong L...
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Malaysia Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Strategy - Budget Malaysia 2025: Embrace Stricter Fiscal Consolidation
Budget Malaysia 2025: Embrace Stricter Fiscal Consolidation While the third MADANI Budget 2025 is market neutral as broadly expected, the modestly expansionary policy with stricter fiscal discipline lays a stronger foundation for sustainable economic growth. Key measures include targeted subsidies rationalisation, tax base broadening and social welfare enhancement. There are potentially slightly negative reactions on property stocks (which surged last week) and sectors impacted by the future imp...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benyamin Mikael
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Greater China Research Team
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Ken Lee
- Malaysia Research Team
- Ming San Soong
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, October 21, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity 3Q24 GDP growth slows to 4.6% yoy, but September shows stabilisation. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb249.89/Target: Rmb350.00) 3Q24: Earnings in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: Rmb350.00. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$56.60/Target: HK$68.00) 3Q24: Core earnings spike 53.5% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$68...
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
00020 SENSETIME GROUP INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
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