We attended ERW’s 1Q25 analyst meeting where the tone was negative. The 1Q25 earnings were strong, but the outlook going forward remains challenging. Management revised down the 2025 growth target to reflect the poor Chinese demand. However, we are seeing signs of recovery as the booking pace from the Chinese for 3Q25 has been decent. We remain optimistic about ERW as we believe the demand in the budget segment will be resilient. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt2.70.
GREATER CHINA Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb19.22/Target: Rmb25.30) 2Q25 guidance in line; GB200/GB300 smooth production ramp as the key driver for 2025-26. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy JCI rallies from global tailwinds Market rebound gains momentum amid global tailwinds and rate cut hopes. MALAYSIA Results Maxis (MAXIS MK/BUY/RM3.76/Target: RM4.20) 1Q25: Strong set of results; earnings d...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
We expect ERW to report a robust net profit of Bt337m (+18.5% yoy, -8.9% qoq) in 1Q25. The top-line should be at Bt2.16b (+9.4% yoy, -2.5% qoq), mainly contributed by the strong performance of mid-scale hotels and Hop Inns. However, the outlook for Thai tourism is worrying, and the statistics are reflecting the negative impact. We are less positive on ERW as management will likely revise down the growth guidance soon. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt4.70.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Focus on stocks that have the potential to attract investment inflows We maintain our cautiously optimistic view on the Thai equities market for May 25. We decide to switch AP to BDMS. Update Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt26.75/Target: Bt38.00) Smaller loss expected in 1Q25. The Erawan Group (ERW TB/BUY/Bt2.28/Target: Bt4.70) Expect strong growth in 1Q25, but poor outlook going forward.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
Two Directors at The Erawan Group Public Co Ltd bought 300,000 shares at between 3.070THB and 3.085THB. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's dir...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls: Add Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Desay, JD Logistics, Mengniu, Plover Bay and Tencent. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Feb 25: Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Unprecedented Combo Of Disappointments: Our Feb 25 Alpha Picks sorely underperformed. Mar 25 picks: 99SpeedMart, Alpha IVF, KPJ Healthcare, MrDIY, MYEG, RHB Ba...
We went on a site visit to the Mercure hotel and joined ERW’s 4Q24 analyst meeting. The tone was neutral. ERW is less optimistic on the Chinese market as the Lunar New Year was a disappointment. However, ERW is still bullish on the growth of budget hotels and provided an update on the new project. The 1Q25 outlook remains decent, but we are still not positive as the renovation of the Grand Hyatt is edging closer in 3Q-4Q25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt4.70.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt49.25/Target: Bt66.00) 4Q24: Better-than-expected earnings. Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt8.15/Target: Bt10.00) 4Q24: Results in line. Quality Houses (QH TB/HOLD/Bt1.61/Target: Bt1.70) 4Q24: Below expectations, decreasing yoy and qoq. Ratchaburi Group (RATCH TB/BUY/Bt27.00/Target: Bt40.00) 4Q24: Results below expectations, but bo...
REGIONAL Sector Plantation Guest speakers at our Palm Oil Seminar 2025 flag diverging palm production prospects between Malaysia and Indonesia, alongside downside risks to CPO prices. GREATER CHINA Results Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$462.00/Target: HK$630.00) 4Q24: Earnings beat; continuous efforts in international expansion. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: Add AIA, CR Land, Haier and Han’s Laser to our BUY list. Take profit on Crystal, Geely, Trip.com and Weimob. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Underperformance In Jan 25: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Spotlight On The Upcoming Results Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Jan 25. Feb 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, Kossan, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, VSI...
ERW should report core earnings of Bt326m (+52% yoy, +162% qoq) in 4Q24, backed by strong growth in the top-line. The main contributors to the top-line are Grand Hyatt’s high occupancy during Nov and Dec 24 and the reopening of Holiday Inn Pattaya. We are optimistic on ERW, as we have no concerns regarding the negative sentiment from Chinese tourists heading into the Lunar New Year, which has little impact on ERW. The outlook remains decent. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt4.60.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property And China Property Management: Property market marginally cools down before CNY; 2024 earnings preview on COLI/CR Land/COPH. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$57.65 /Target: HK$96.30): Faster-than-expected revenue growth in 2H24 with milder margin expansion. Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$69.85/Target: HK$85.00): Smartphone and automobile businesses to support growth in 2025. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Still Ample Domestic Catalysts: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Dec 24. Jan 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, SP Setia, VSI and Yinson. SINGAP...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024 Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Update VS Industry (VSI MK/BUY/RM1.16/Target: RM1.50) Despite a 17% recovery in its share price since its low in m...
Hotel stocks reported a combined core profit of Bt2,924m for 3Q24 (+17.1% yoy, -17.6% qoq), mainly on the back of MINT’s robust hotel performance during the high travel season in Europe. Now that it is the high travel season, we expect all hotel operators to perform well in terms of operations. In 4Q24 thus far, the statistics have been decent even without any significant tourism stimulus measures. We expect to see strong results from MINT and ERW. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Our top pick is MINT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up 16% yoy last week, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao and Desay. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp3,640/Target: Rp3,800) Unlocking its true potential. MALAYSIA Sector Consumer Sector is trading at -1SD to it...
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