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Emerson Electric Co: 1 director

A director at Emerson Electric Co sold/sold after exercising options 2,876 shares at 152.618USD and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directo...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Capex revisions, Replatforming, Memory Pricing, Semicap, Tesla, Apple....

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 27 names we followed last week, follow the link.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicap in 2026 on a single slide: the growth outlook doesn’t justify ...

Last week, we published our updated view on semicap, assessing the implications for WFE, of AI spending reaching $2-3tn in 2030. For the updated associated view on each semicap name, summarized in a single slide, follow the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Strengthening AI infrastructure outlook: Implications for semicap

The last earnings season provided tangible indications that both 2026 and 2027 will be very strong growth years for AI infrastructure, a view confirmed by TSMC yesterday. Please see the link for the implications and our updated view on semicap vendors.

Deere & Company - November 2025 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Deere & Company: Update following affirmation of the A1 senior unsecur...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its inherent cyclicality in the agriculture and construction equipment markets.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 3Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 242 pages of detailed analysis on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:

Emerson Electric Company: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its substantial scale and market leadership and its diverse customer base and geographic reach.

Moody's Ratings affirms A2 senior unsecured rating of Emerson Electric...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) affirmed its ratings of Emerson Electric Company (Emerson), including the A2 senior unsecured rating, A2 long-term issuer rating, (P)A2 senior unsecured MTN program rating and P-1 commercial paper rating. The outlook remains stable. The ratings affirmation and stable outl...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Semicap: Cautious on 2026; not the right AI play.

Today, we are publishing the Semicap Equipment section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, and Foundry. 3Q25 semicap revenues were flat QoQ, with China up...

Emerson Electric Company - September 2025 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

How much WFE is required to produce a 1 GW datacenter?

As a follow up to our cheat sheet summarizing the cost structure of a 1GW datacenter, we estimate today on a single slide WFE required to produce semiconductors for a 1 GW datacenter, with our usual important caveat: WFE spending is driven by the growth of production capacity. In other words, one spends once on WFE to build a 1GW datacenter many times over.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

LAM 1FQ26: China and HBM drive beat. Maintain cautious view on 2026. $...

LAM reported 1FQ26 last night. Please click the link for our take on the print.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...

Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Does the Semicap rally have legs? Downgrading ASML to Neutral

The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 229 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides. Please follow the link below for more details.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ASML investing in Mistral – Strategic core or distraction?

Media reported yesterday that ASML will invest €1.3bn in Mistral AI, a French start-up developing frontier AI models, as part of a €1.7bn Series C funding round valuing Mistral at €10bn pre-money. Click on the link below for our quick read.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

AI capex & replatforming; semicap into 2026; Apple, Arm & more.

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 34 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

LAM 4FQ25: China drives beat. We are cautious. Neutral, $105 Target P...

LAM reported 4FQ25 last night. Please click the link below for our take on the print.

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