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Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy: Alpha Picks -- April Conviction Calls

Chinese equities consolidated further in March amid outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 6.9% mom and 7.5% mom respectively. We expect markets to stay volatile in April, though oversold rebounds are possible. We continue to focus on names with stronger fundamentals and remain buyers of tech names, adding Li Ning and Zijin Mining to our BUY list while taking profits on Ganfeng Lithium and cutting losses on LINK REIT.

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Li Ning (2331 HK): 2025: Net Profit Beats Expectations; More Positive ...

2025 revenue was in line, while net profit beat expectations. For 2026, management now has a more positive outlook, expecting revenue to grow at high single digits. Given the higher investments and the accelerated expansion via the new store format, operating margin is likely to decline. Nevertheless, net margin is still expected to remain within the high singledigit range. We believe Li Ning’s business operations have come out of the woods. Upgrade to BUY with the target price at HK$24.70.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+7)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Joyce Chu
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Monday, March 23, 2026

Top Stories Company Results | China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.63/Target: HK$1.80) CRBMT reported 2025 earnings of Rmb479.4m (+127.3% yoy), in line with its profit alert but below expectations. Revenue declined 8.6% yoy to Rmb21.1b, while group gross margin edged up to 16.7% (+0.2ppt yoy) on lower coal costs (–16.5% yoy to Rmb670/tonne). Management expects regional cement demand to fall 6-8% yoy in 2026; however, it is targeting a 5% volume decline, implying marke...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+10)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, March 23, 2026

Greater China Company Results | China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.63/Target: HK$1.80) CRBMT reported 2025 earnings of Rmb479.4m (+127.3% yoy), in line with its profit alert but below expectations. Revenue declined 8.6% yoy to Rmb21.1b, while group gross margin edged up to 16.7% (+0.2ppt yoy) on lower coal costs (–16.5% yoy to Rmb670/tonne). Management expects regional cement demand to fall 6-8% yoy in 2026; however, it is targeting a 5% volume decline, implying mark...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Chinese New Year Consumption - Early Signs Of Recovery

The CNY consumption data exhibited accelerated growth momentum compared with the two Golden Weeks last year, which we view as early signs of a broader consumption recovery. We favour companies benefitting from: a) segments showing initial signals of recovery, such as restaurants; b) exposure to China’s structural consumption growth drivers, particularly in services and experiential consumption; c) potential policy tailwinds; and d) overseas growth. Our preferred stocks include Anta, CR Beer, CTG...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+5)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, 30 January 2026

Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile Chinese EVs are gaining share in the global auto market, due to China’s integrated supply chain dominance and favourable trade policies. Established incumbents like BYD are facing increasing competition from fellow Chinese auto OEMs and some western brands like VW. Lower-export OEMs (Geely, XPeng) hold greater upside than high-export leaders (BYD, GWM). China’s EV export hub status benefits suppliers as foreign OEMs leverage local production. Maintain MARKE...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Li Ning (2331 HK): 4Q25 Retail Sell-Through Down By Low Single Digit; ...

In 4Q25, Li Ning recorded a low single-digit yoy decline in retail sell-through. Qtd, retail sell-through momentum has not yet improved, and discounts have continued to deepen yoy, leading management to anticipate persistent discount pressure in 2026. For the full year 2025, management is confident in exceeding its previous guidance, expecting modest revenue growth (vs guidance of flattish revenue) and net profit margin to reach the upper end of the high single-digit range. We raise target price...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+10)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Friday, January 16, 2026

Top Stories Economics | Money Supply December’s monetary data was mixed. M1 growth slowed further to 3.8% yoy, slightly below expectations, while M2 growth improved to 8.5% yoy on stronger time deposits growth. On a positive note, new bank loans rebounded to Rmb0.91t, mainly driven by corporate and government borrowing, and new TSF also beat forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth stayed at a year-low of 6.4% yoy and TSF growth eased to 8.3% yoy, underscoring still-fragile credit deman...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+18)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, January 16, 2026

Greater China Economics | Money Supply December’s monetary data was mixed. M1 growth slowed further to 3.8% yoy, slightly below expectations, while M2 growth improved to 8.5% yoy on stronger time deposits growth. On a positive note, new bank loans rebounded to Rmb0.91t, mainly driven by corporate and government borrowing, and new TSF also beat forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth stayed at a year-low of 6.4% yoy and TSF growth eased to 8.3% yoy, underscoring still-fragile credit ...

300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
3816 MISC BHD
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
HANA HANA MICROELECTRONICS PCL
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
KCE KCE ELECTRONICS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
CPALL TB CP ALL
CAO CHINA AVIATION OIL SINGAPORE CORP LTD
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
1833 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
300760 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
603259 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS A
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
300765 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
DELTA CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
Z29 DELTA ELECTRONICS
02015 029 GROUP SE
600699 LI AUTO INC
CPAXT JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
ONC@US@ CP AXTRA PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ASL SP BEONE MEDICINE INC
UGAI ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
ULTRAGREEN.AI LIMITED

Li Ning Co Ltd: 1 director

A director at Li Ning Co Ltd bought 19,163,000 shares at 16.797HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer Marketing Feedback.

We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed names and segments include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands China. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+17)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, December 03, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...

HMPRO HOME PRODUCT CENTER PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
COM7 COM7
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
BAUTO BERMAZ AUTO BHD
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
CRC CENTRAL RETAIL CORP
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
HEAL MEDIKALOKA HERMINA
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
DOHOME DOHOME PCL
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
0303 ALPHA IVF GROUP
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
CPAXT CP AXTRA PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KOPI MK ORIENTAL KOPI HOLDINGS BHD
BRMS IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
DEWA IJ DARMA HENWA (DEWA IJ)
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
UGAI ULTRAGREEN.AI LIMITED
HERE US HERE GROUP (HERE US)
Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Li Ning (2331 HK): 3Q25 Retail Sell-Through Down Mid-Single Digit And ...

In 3Q25, Li Ning recorded a mid-single-digit decline in retail sell-through, with momentum weakening sequentially mom. Discounts deepened by a low single digit yoy, due to increased promotions. Qtd, retail sell-through momentum has continued to weaken, and discounts have deepened further, making it challenging for the company to achieve its full-year guidance. We cut the target price by 2% to HK$18.50 and maintain HOLD.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+22)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, October 27, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT....

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Monday, October 27, 2025

Top Stories Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Golden Week -- Modest Consumption Trend With S...

We observed the following trends in holiday consumption: a) jewellery performed well on rising gold prices; b) retail and catering consumption was modest, with growth decelerating from that during the 2025 Spring Festival and Labour Day; c) specialty retail (duty-free) saw per capita spending improve; and d) consumers continued to show enthusiasm for tourism and leisure spending, with domestic long-haul travel and outbound travel gaining popularity. The lower-than-expected Macau visitor arrivals...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Ministry Of Commerce Issues Plan To Expand Ser...

On 16 Sep 25, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other government departments jointly issued a plan to expand service consumption. This plan introduces 19 measures focusing on five areas. We highlight IP-related consumption and tourism as the two primary themes positioned to benefit the most. In addition, the government plans to optimise student vacation schedules by exploring the possibility of shortening winter and summer vacations while introducing spring and autumn vacations to increase the ...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: 2Q25/1H25 Results Wrap-up

In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are committed to enhancing shareholder returns. W...

Audrey Celia ... (+10)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Lester Siew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, September 10, 2025

Greater China Sector Updates | Consumer In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are c...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Li Ning (2331 HK): 1H25: Results beat but challenges remain in 2H25; f...

Li Ning’s 1H25 results were better than expected. However, the offline footfall trend has weakened in 3Q25, leading management to expect challenges in offline sell-through for 2H25. The trend of deepening discounts may persist into 2H25. This could put pressure on gross margin, resulting in a yoy decline for the full year. Together with the higher A&P expenses, leading us to maintain a cautious view on net margin in 2H25. Keep target price of HK$18.90 unchanged. Downgrade to HOLD from BUY.

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