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ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist

Dana Incorporated - June 2024 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Lara Mohtadi
  • Olof Cederholm

The Capital Goods Data Miner - August 2024

Our key long ideas are: Alfa Laval, Hexagon, Metso, Sandvik, Volvo. We are cautious on: Autoliv, Nibe, Wärtsilä

Trelleborg AB: 2 directors

Two Directors at Trelleborg AB bought 850 shares at 34.700EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...

Douglas Lindahl
  • Douglas Lindahl

Trelleborg (Hold, TP: SEK430.00) - Recognition reflected in valuation

Trelleborg’s more optimistic outlook comment for Q3 was quite expected, but the growth of the Medical business stood out to us. Nevertheless, we have left our adj. EBITA estimates for 2024–2026 essentially unchanged, and reiterate our SEK430 target price and HOLD. We have historically posited for expanding multiples for Trelleborg, while we now see this gap as being nearly filled.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

Higher demand guidance

Q2'24 in line with expectations. Guides for slightly higher demand in Q3, above expectations. We raise '24-'25e adj. EBITA by 2%, keep HOLD.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

Q2e: Pace of recovery in question

Orders, sales and earnings flat in Q2e and '24e. Stalling PMIs = '25e recovery risk, sector could flatline. Autoliv up to HOLD, Munters up to BUY; prefer Alfa, Metso, Sandvik.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

Buy-backs supporting the stock

Q2'24 report due on 18 July. Steady performance, limited estimate changes. Keep HOLD and SEK 375 TP.

Douglas Lindahl
  • Douglas Lindahl

Trelleborg (Hold, TP: SEK430.00) - Back in (organic) growth mode soon

We estimate Q2 sales of SEK8,677m, organic growth of c0% YOY, and adj. EBITA of SEK1,620m (3% above consensus). We expect a somewhat raised outlook from management as we enter H2, and we have increased our 2024–2026e adj. EBIT by c1% on average. We reiterate our HOLD, but have raised our target price to SEK430 (395) on updated valuation and estimates.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

In it together? Ownership alignment update

Management ownership has increased. Great alignment at ABB, good at Volvo, Alfa, Hexagon, and Metso. Low direct ownership at Epiroc and (despite some improvement) SKF.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

The Capital Goods Data Miner - June 2024

Our key long ideas are: Alfa Laval, Hexagon, Metso, Sandvik, Volvo. We are cautious on: Autoliv, Nibe, Wärtsilä

Dana Incorporated - March 2024 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

The Capital Goods Data Miner - May 2024

Our key long ideas are: Alfa Laval, Hexagon, Metso, Sandvik, Volvo. We are cautious on: Autoliv, Nibe, Wärtsilä

Dana Inc: 1 director

A director at Dana Inc sold 4,357 shares at 14.010USD and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing...

Douglas Lindahl
  • Douglas Lindahl

Trelleborg (Hold, TP: SEK395.00) - Sunnier skies await

Overall, Trelleborg’s Q1 was in line with our estimates and consensus, while we believe the outlook comment heading into Q2 might be on the overly cautious side. We have made limited (1% on average) estimate changes on adj. EBITA for 2024–2026e and reiterate our HOLD. We have raised our target price to SEK395 (380) and see limited upside potential for the stock.

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