In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in February 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on...
Company Update | Thai Oil (TOP/BUY/Bt52.75/Target: Bt58.00) The CFP project is progressing as planned, with full COD expected by 3Q28. The outlook remains strong, supported by firmer GRM and wider aromatics spreads, driven by solid demand and easing supply. We expect 1Q26 net profit to recover qoq, backed by higher accounting GIM and an additional gain from the bond buyback. Meanwhile, TOP has announced a 2H25 dividend of Bt1.00 per share. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt58.00.
Top Stories Company Results | GFPT (GFPT TB/HOLD/Bt10.10/Target: Bt11.00) GFPT reported a 4Q25 core profit of Bt494m (+59% yoy but -31% qoq). The results exceeded our and the market’s expectations. 2025’s net profit was Bt2,439m (+23.51%), while core profit stood at Bt2,441m (+30% yoy). Expect unexciting earnings momentum in 2026 due to global competition and lower gross profit margin yoy. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Bt11.00 (previously Bt13.50). Company Results | PTT (PTT...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile CATL, BYD, and Changan are deploying SIBs in EVs due to longer cycle lives, strong cold-weather performance and better fire safety. SIB-equipped EV sales are projected to make up 4-9% of global EV sales. LIBs remain dominant, but CATL benefits from diversification. The lithium market is expected to stay resilient through 2030. The hike in lithium carbonate costs will mostly be borne by auto OEMs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; BUY CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth, G...
Company Results | Thai Oil (TOP TB/BUY/Bt51.50/Target: Bt58.00) TOP’s 4Q25 net profit was in line with our forecast and 7% above consensus, despite significant extra losses. The refining business remained resilient, supported by a strong market GRM. Looking ahead at 1Q26, we expect net profit to recover both qoq and yoy, driven by lower stock loss risk, easing crude premium, and a strong rebound in aromatics spreads. TOP also announced a 2H25 dividend of Bt1.00/share. Upgrade BUY with a higher t...
Top Stories Company Results | Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt36.00/Target: Bt40.00) BCP reported a 4Q25 net profit of Bt2.2b, largely in line with our estimate, doubling qoq and rebounding strongly yoy. Core profit rose to Bt4.1b (+125% yoy, +27% qoq), driven by a higher GRM of US$10.80/bbl and record-high run rate of 280kbd. FY25 core profit increased 67% yoy to Bt10.2b. We expect earnings momentum to remain solid in 2026, supported by resilient distillate demand, renewable contributions,...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in January 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
Company Update | Thai Oil (TOP TB/HOLD/Bt42.00/Target: Bt46.00) We maintain a positive view on TOP following yesterday’s analyst meeting, as key overhangs have eased with improved clarity on the CFP project, and a solid liquidity position. In addition, the 2026 outlook supports our expectation that GRM and PX spreads will remain resilient. However, with the share price having risen more than 12% over the past month, we believe most of these positives have already been priced in. Maintain HOLD. T...
Top Stories Company Results | Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/HOLD/Bt192.00/Target: Bt185.00) KBANK posted a 4Q25 net profit of Bt10.3b (-5% yoy, -21% qoq). The actual results are in line with our and consensus estimates. Management said the results for 4Q25 and 2025 were largely in line with previously guided targets. In addition, KBANK will announce its 2026 financial year targets on 6 Feb 26. Maintain HOLD with a lower target price of Bt185.00 (previously Bt200.00). Company Results | Krung Thai B...
In our inaugural Asia Monthly for 2026, we share our regional credit outlook for the year, with a focus on China, Macau, India and Indonesia. We also provide a review of 2025, in which we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements for the year. In addition, we provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases in December 2025, summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well a...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in November 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
Company Update | Thai Oil (TOP TB/HOLD/Bt37.50/Target: Bt34.00) There is now clearer insight on the CFP project after TOP’s management reaffirmed their confidence that it will be completed as planned and within the approved capex budget. This is further supported by additional cash inflow from performance bond claims and the divestment of the ERU project, both of which will help fund the CFP project. Overall GRM remains robust but petrochemical spread continues to face supply-side pressures, pro...
Top Stories Company Update | Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt17.20/Target: Bt 24.00) The new JV between BJL and DHL is expected to enhance BJC’s logistics operations. For 2025, management guided for top-line to be flat yoy and a 15-20bps yoy expansion in gross margin, mainly driven by the non-retail segment. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt24.00. Company Update | Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/BUY/Bt31.25/Target: Bt37.00) The tone during CENTEL’s analyst meeting was positive, supported by t...
Greater China Company Results | Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$17.20/Target: HK$42.00 Geely’s 3Q25 results meet expectations with GAAP net profit/core net profit growing 58%/19% yoy and 6%/24% qoq to Rmb3.82b/Rmb3.96b respectively. Earnings growth will be driven by a strong product cycle, optimisation of sales mix, penetration into overseas markets, and consolidation of its brand portfolios. We maintain our 2025-27 earnings estimates. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$42.00 pegged...
Company Results | Thai Oil (TOP TB/HOLD/Bt34.75/Target: Bt34.00) TOP reported a 3Q25 net profit of Bt2.1b, down 67% qoq, beating our and consensus expectations. However, core earnings in 3Q25 were a Bt1.1b loss due to a decrease in market GRM and a lower utilisation rate caused by the refinery's CDU Unit 3 maintenance shutdown. Core earnings are expected to recover in 4Q25, driven by higher utilisation rates and GRM. Upgrade to HOLD. Target price: Bt34.00 (previously Bt31.00).
Top Stories Company Results | Dohome (DOHOME TB/BUY/Bt3.66/Target: Bt5.00) 3Q25 earnings increased yoy, beating our and consensus forecasts due to lower-than-expected SG&A expenses. Gross margin spiked impressively thanks to higher margins across all categories. 4QTD SSSG was better than in 3Q25. The recovery was mainly seen in the wholesale segment. Maintain BUY and a target price of Bt5.00. Company Results | Thai Oil (TOP TB/HOLD/Bt34.75/Target: Bt34.00) TOP reported a 3Q25 net profit of Bt...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in October 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...
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