HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group SE: enter Synthesia Nitrocellulose (stays BUY) • Budimex: selected for PLN 353m A2 motorway widening contract NEUTRAL • mBank: 1Q26E preview (due on 30 April) • Bank Handlowy: 1Q26E preview (due on 7 May) • PKO BP: 1Q26E preview (due on 14 May) • Sarantis: 1Q26 trading update in line with expectations POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (10-16 April)
HEADLINES: • Auto Partner: 4Q25 EBITDA 4% above the consensus and 5% below our estimate NEUTRAL • Murapol: 4Q25 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Enea: proposes PLN 0.56 DPS from the 2025 profit NEUTRAL • PGE: recommends no dividend payment for 2025 NEUTRAL • PZU: conclusion of competition for Management Board member – former CFO not on the list • CEZ: PM Babis says first steps towards privatisation at upcoming AGM NEUTRAL • Arcelik: 1Q26E earnings preview (due on 22 April) • Short News (CBF)
HEADLINES: • Murapol: 4Q25 slightly below our forecasts, but close to the consensus NEUTRAL • Murapol: 1Q26 sales up 8% yoy, handovers significantly lower NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25 in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: KNF issues PLN 20m fine over historical onboarding and product governance shortcomings NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: new contract signed for PLN 6.9m net NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: revised amortisation method for Frostpunk 2 and The Alters NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 1Q26E preview (due on ...
HEADLINES: • Metlen Energy & Metals: 2025 EBITDA drops 30% to EUR 753m, in line with warning NEUTRAL • Develia: 4Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Synektik: solid delivery for the FY 2Q25 (CY 1Q26) order book NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: new publishing project announced NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 1Q26E preview – 6% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 22 April) • CEZ: Dukovany can operate until 2065-67 POSITIVE • DIGI Communications: new share issuance; new price target • NLB Group: takeover bi...
Yesterday (9 April), DIGI Communications finalised a new share issuance and their distribution among its shareholders, with a 2:1 split ratio, meaning that the owners of both class A and B shares received two shares of the respective class (treasury shares were excluded from the process). As a result, DIGI’s number of shares has increased from 100m to 291.2m. In order to reflect this change, we have reduced our PT from RON 87.4 to RON 30.0/share
EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 12-15% EBITDA miss in 4Q25; bearish guidance for 2026E NEGATIVE • Budimex: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Budimex: management recommends DPS of PLN 32.42 from the 2025 earnings (4.9% DY) POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Kety: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Murapol: Hampont files for sole control acquisition of Murapol NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: acquires InfraRed Asso...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q25 ahead of expectations; FY26E guidance raised despite a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to pay PLN 118m of resolution fund charges in 1Q26 NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: to pay PLN 413m of resolution fund charges in 1Q26 xx NEUTRAL • Pepco: 1H26 trading update - sales up 3.7% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call NEGATIVE • Eurowag: 2H25 results and 2026E guidance POSITIVE • Motor Oil: shifts crude sla...
HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25 results - adj. EBITDA -5% yoy, 2% below consensus; gloomy outlook for 1Q26E and subsequent quarters NEGATIVE • Bank Handlowy: to book PLN 132.5m of resolution fund charges this year NEUTRAL • PKO BP: to book PLN 487m of annual resolution fund charges in 2026E NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games – 4Q25 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: acquires InfraRed Associates for USD 8.4m POSITIVE • Colt CZ: 4Q25 results and FY26 guidance xx POSITIVE • Hungary macro...
HEADLINES: OMV: Strait-up winner (stays BUY) Benefit Systems: 4Q25 miss on adjusted EBIT; supportive update of 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE Huuuge Games: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA above expectations, DTC channel continues to grow POSITIVE DIGI Communications: takes steps to enter UK telco market NEUTRAL GEK Terna: increases EYDAP stake to 12.8% POSITIVE EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (13-19 March) Austriacard: expands US footprint with new card personalisation facility POSITIVE
HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: steady as she goes (stays BUY) • Zabka: beat in 4Q25; FY26E guidance of continued rapid expansion and stable profitability POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q25 results review – beat related to other operating income and income tax POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 4Q25E preview – 16% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 April) • LPP: 4Q25E results preview – 32% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 4Q25 above our expectations, backlog in line, materi...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: model update due to KAPPA and Exosens deals (stays BUY) • InPost: 4Q25 well below expectations due to the UK; only flat FY26E EBITDA guidance NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q25 results – sales down 26% yoy, to PLN 6.68m NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: final 4Q25 group results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: management recommends DPS of PLN 0.15 from 2025 earnings NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: announces dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: FFO u...
HEADLINES: • mBank: bid or no bid? • Bank Handlowy: solid 4Q25, giving support to strong dividend yield expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 4Q25 – a good end to a record year NEUTRAL • Tauron: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA 7% below our expectations, following provisions in the Supply segment; adjusted EBITDA 11% above our forecast POSITIVE • Budimex: KIO orders rejection of company’s offer in Rail Baltica tender NEGATIVE • Benefit Systems: PLN 40.6m provision to be created in the 4Q25E results NEG...
Following the attack on Iran by the US and Israel late last month which targeted key military sites and strategic infrastructure, as well as a retaliation by Iran, there have been structural shifts in the oil & gas and energy markets. In this report, we discuss the effects of these structural shifts, as well as the impact of the conflict on global supply chains and our coverage universe.
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: solid 4Q25 numbers – small bottom-line beat, but underlying trends in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25 above the consensus; FY26E guidance in line with our expectations POSITIVE • Orlen: submits new non-binding offer for Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEUTRAL • CEZ: small 4Q25 beat on EBITDA, 2026E guidance below the consensus NEGATIVE • Colt CZ Group: planning dual AEX listing and a capital increase POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: two exploration projects in Bulgaria now NEUT...
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