HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: 1Q25 revenues 6% short of the consensus, on weak Poundland; Pepco lfl back in the black NEGATIVE • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • Magyar Telekom: to implement 3.7% annual inflation-based fee adjustment from April 2025 POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q24 sales up 10% yoy, to PLN 24.1m POSITIVE • Budimex: 4Q24E EBIT guidance below our expectations, but in line with the consensus; strong backlog NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: approves new dividend policy, assuming payout of at ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-5 January) • Text: 3Q24-25 (calendar 4Q24) preliminary results – MRR of USD 7.10m (+0.9% qoq, +9.4% yoy); 927 net LiveChat customers outflow NEGATIVE • Santander Bank Polska: to book PLN 1,174m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 4Q24E NEUTRAL • Dino Polska: 116 new stores added in 4Q24, shopping space +12% yoy POSITIVE • Aselsan: reorganises MGEO division POSITIVE • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: positive performances from all indices in D...
EME Equity Market – December 2024 A green December. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 2.9% in EUR terms and 0.8% in USD terms in December. The Greek ASE Index (+5.5% mom in EUR terms) was the best performer, followed closely by the Czech PX Index (+5.0% mom in EUR terms). Solid performances were also reported by the BET (+2.4% mom), BUX (+2.2% mom) and ISE 30 (+1.5% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). The Polish WIG 20 Index (+0.4% mom in EUR terms) reported a muted performance.
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: court in Liechtenstein appoints administrator for Zygmunt Solorz’s foundations NEGATIVE • Polish banks: to face the same dividend guidance from the watchdog as last year NEUTRAL • PZU: PFSA issues dividend payment guidance for 2025 NEUTRAL • PCF Group: limits scope of work on Project Bifrost and suspends work on Project Victoria NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: releases new Update 2.2 for Cyberpunk 2077 NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: cancellation of own shares NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: 2H24 beat on gross margin; lfl recovery at Pepco since September, EUR 775m impairment at Poundland; first DPS of EUR 0.062 POSITIVE • PCF Group: closing strategic options review, with no new financing obtained NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 December) • Duna House: a good set of 3Q24 numbers; postcard from WOOD's Winter Wonderland conference POSITIVE • NEPI Rockcastle: buys Silesia City Centre in Katowice for EUR 405m (7.1% yield) POSITIVE • Inter C...
HEADLINES: • European oil and gas monthly: November 2024 – gas inventories down, prices up • Bank Handlowy: published its 2025-27E strategy on 6 December NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: pushes EC to promote CRMs, as it preps EUR 300m investment to boost bauxite and alumina production, plus brand-new gallium production facility POSITIVE • Auto Partner: November sales growth slows down to 5% yoy, well below our expectations NEGATIVE • Turkish banks: BRSA announces financial services companies wi...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: strong FY 1H25 financial results; conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Kety: Roman Przybylski (current deputy CEO) to become new CEO NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: update on the US class action lawsuit regarding the technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: starts marketing campaign for Moonlighter 2 publishing project NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • 11 bit studios: postcard from Prague • Benefit Systems: postcard from Prague...
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
HEADLINES: • Gentoo Media: let’s roll! (BUY - initiation of coverage) • CCC: 3Q24 results in line with prelims; positive trends maintained in 4Q24 NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: 3Q24 review –net profit up 18% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • Echo Investment: 3Q24 results in line with the consensus; to sell React office in Lodz POSITIVE • Text: 2Q24-25 (calendar 3Q24) results – EBITDA up 12% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 3Q24 in line, focus remains on disposals NEUTRAL • PCF ...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: HOLD, on valuation grounds (downgraded to HOLD) • Polish mobile game development: missing the growth, counting cash (Huuuge Games stays BUY, Ten Square Games stays HOLD) • PCF Group: 3Q24 EBIT in positive territory, above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q24 – miss on the adjusted EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q24 EBITDA 8% below our forecast, 5% above the consensus NEUTRAL • PGE: 3Q24 results fully in line with the prelim...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: high net cash position and strong FCFF yield (upgraded to BUY) • GTC: buys German residential portfolio worth EUR 448m • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: gross margin and wage costs weigh on the 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations; new signed contracts for defence and high-tech industries NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q24 highlights – solid, on the back of better-than-expected NIM • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 call takeaways – strong long-term ...
HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: 3Q24 surprises slightly positively, but ytd Frostpunk 2 sales disappoint NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: small beat in 3Q24 – new Cioccolatitaliani franchise signed for Italy POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q24 results and interim dividend NEUTRAL • OTE: 3Q24 results review – soft quarter, with flat yoy adjusted EBITDA, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 3Q24 results N...
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