Most Turkish non-financial public debt issuers have published their 3Q/9M25 results (we expect Limak Group entities to report by end-December). Below, we have revised and updated our view on Turkish corporate bonds based on the published results and corporate commentary.
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group: 3Q25 results and earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 3Q25 – slightly above our low expectations, but below the consensus; strategy publication postponed to 9 December NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q25 conference call highlights POSITIVE • EME Strategy: FTSE GEIS November 2025 review results • Duna House: 3Q25 – strong summer, FY guidance upgraded POSITIVE • GEK Terna: 9M25 results in line; EBITDA jumps 66%, thanks to Attiki Odos • Athens Exchange Group: FTSE to reduce ...
HEADLINES: • BIM: 3Q25 results – strong beat POSITIVE • CEZ: 3Q25 operating results miss, bottom line beats by 9% NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q25 highlights – 2025 continues to be soft; USD 100m buyback NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q25 – EBITDAR down 17% yoy, despite 15% ASK growth NEGATIVE • Optima Bank: small bottom-line miss in 3Q25, but FY25E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Aselsan: second Steel Dome serial production contract, and signs MOU with ROMARM POSITIVE • Auto Partner: October sales growth d...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: 3Q25 results – improved margins, strong NI beat and record backlog additions POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 3Q25 results – recovery in operating performance begins POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q25 results – in line, except for a small NI beat • Medicover: soft 3Q25 top line, but adjusted EBITDA beats on admin costs NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 3Q25 EBITDA 9% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply, Generation and Distribution NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 conference...
HEADLINES: • Turkish Airlines: buy the dip (upgraded to BUY) • Cimsa: 3Q25 financial results review POSITIVE • Tupras: 3Q25 results – net income beats expectations NEUTRAL • Isbank: 3Q25 highlights – slower margin rebound and 11% miss vs.to our estimate • Elm: 3Q25 financial results review NEGATIVE • Arabian Drilling: 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: receives recalls for three land rigs POSITIVE • Akcansa: 3Q25 conference call takeaways • CEZ: nationalisation in draft government plan, bu...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q25 beat, mostly on one-off, but core result also stronger; current valuation levels justified, while waiting for finalisation of acquisition in Poland POSITIVE • Brisa: delivers 3Q25 earnings turnaround POSITIVE • Akcansa: 3Q25 financial results review – mixed NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 3Q25 results – operating recovery overshadowed by bottom-line losses NEUTRAL • Yapi Kredi: 3Q25 – first look • ADNOC Distribution: 3Q25 results POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 3Q25 high...
HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): progressing towards unification (stays BUY) • Hungary macro: MNB on hold; no surprises • Akcansa: 3Q25E financial results preview (date TBC) • Arcelik: 3Q25E earnings preview (due on 24 October) • Cimsa: 3Q25E financial results preview (due on 31 October) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 3Q25E earnings preview (due on 4 November) • InPost: 3Q25E preview – 18% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 7 November) NEUTRAL • Short News (PCF)
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: value is (sometimes) relative (stays BUY) • Kazakhstan macro: State of the Nation Address sets grounds for new constitutional reform and ambitious digitalisation agenda • PGE: 2Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: August sales growth decelerates to a mere 2% yoy NEGATIVE • Aselsan: massive domestic contract win POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: wins multi-billion CZK tender for new generators at Temelin POSITIVE • MOL: announces discovery of an oil fie...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Tupras: enjoying life in the margins (stays BUY) • Kruk: 2Q25 beat, on a positive tax balance, lower financial costs and a drop in the cost to collect ratio POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 24% yoy, 6% above the consensus; weak 2H25E outlook NEGATIVE • Enea: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA 15% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply and better Generation; PLN 2.8bn capex, including wind farm acquisitions POSITIVE • Gentoo Media: 2Q25 financial...
We maintain our BUY on Tupras, with an updated 12M price target (PT) of TRY 276.0 (from TRY 84.9), offering 59.7% upside. We have prepared our latest forecasts based on a USD-denominated model, converted to a fixed TRY rate to meet the IAS 29 accounting standard. Refining margins remain above the mid-cycle averages, despite a downward trend in the last three years. The opportunities available for cheap Russian feedstock have reduced, but not disappeared. A solution to the Kirkuk pipeline issue w...
Astor is Turkey’s largest and most profitable transformer and switchgear producer, with 31% revenue CAGR in 2019–24 and best-in-class margins supported by vertical integration and long-standing ties to TEIAS, distribution companies, and industrial clients. Capacity expansions from 4Q25, including new transformer lines, conductor production, and a switchgear plant, are set to boost production, underpinning our forecast of 9.8% revenue CAGR and 30% average EBITDA margin in 2025–34. Global transfor...
HEADLINES: • Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: changing remuneration conditions for c.2,700 employees NEUTRAL • Text: launches Text App service NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 August) • Murapol: 2Q25E preview – EBIT halved yoy, due to a low number of handovers (due on 24 September) • Rainbow Tours: 2Q25E preview – 19% net income drop expected, following margin normalisation (due...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: solid 2Q25, with a beat vs. the market's expectations on stronger other income and lower LLPs POSITIVE • Richter: 2Q25 results broadly in line NEUTRAL • Aselsan: 2Q25 results – strong beat, driven by operating performance POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q25 – EBIT above the consensus on better costs POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q25 highlights – a mixed bag, but management sounds confident in sharp margin recovery in 2H25E • Cimsa: 2Q25 financial results review – strong revenue grow...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: recovery on the horizon (stays BUY) • OTP Bank: books solid 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 2Q25 highlights – on track, with revised down guidance, could start buying back stock in 2026E • Elm: 2Q25 conference call takeaways – organic growth guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Theon International: to acquire KAPPA Optronics of Germany POSITIVE • Titan: to acquire 80% of leading concrete solutions provider in Southeastern Europe with Molins POSITIVE • Allegro: buyback price of PL...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.