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Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Raiffeisen - Raiffeisen Beats Estimates On NII, Costs, And Provisions

Raiffeisen beat both the analyst consensus of EUR 424mn and our estimate of EUR 366 mn on net profit to shareholders excluding Russia, posting EUR 349 mn. The bank outperformed expectations across nearly all key items, most notably in net interest margin, operating expenses, and provisions. An upward revision to the consensus for full-year consolidated profit now appears highly likely, provided there is no exceptionally high provision booking in Q4. Management provided a conservative estim...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Hungarian BUX in the lead in Octob...

EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ADNOCDRILL CTP NV
2381 ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE HELLENIQ ENERGY
H2O BOROUGE
AQ HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB NOVAL PROPERTY
DSPW ZABKA GROUP
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PEO PW; KOMB CP; ING PW; MBK PW; KRU PW; JMT PL; RBI AV; B...

HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 3Q25 very solid; 20%+ ROE delivery; key catalyst will be M&A decisions NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 3Q25 beat driven purely by positive LLPs balance, still no breakthrough in NII performance NEUTRAL • ING BSK: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • mBank: 3Q25 bottom line misses estimates, but purely on higher tax and FX mortgage saga provisions NEUTRAL • Kruk: 3Q25 results a mixed bag – recoveries strong, revenues down, no breakthrough in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (28 October 2025)

HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: crude headwinds (downgraded to HOLD) • Budimex: 3Q25 EBITDA flat yoy, as expected NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: 3Q25 results – in line with expectations NEUTRAL • WOOD Flash – Georgia Capital: solid 3Q25 financial results – positive view maintained, discount to NAV remains attractive POSITIVE • Georgia Capital: 3Q25 conference call takeaways • OTE: increases prices by 2.6% from December 2025 POSITIVE • Borouge: 3Q25E results preview (due out tomorrow) NEUTRAL • OMV: 3Q25E r...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Utilities; MIL PW; AKBNK TI; KTY PW; OPL PW; PKN PW; TL...

HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: a flash in the pan (Enea and Tauron stay HOLD, PGE stays SELL) • Bank Millennium: posts solid 3Q25, all priced in NEUTRAL • Akbank: 3Q25 highlights – no major surprises, but NIM recovery remains slow and 2026E COR guidance appears cautious NEUTRAL • Kety: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orlen: wins USD 146m from Gazprom POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT delivers 100bps cut, in line with the co...

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/MUNHYP green SNP, RBI AT1 call, ESRB on stablecoins

Muenchener Hypothekenbank keeps green senior issuance going. RBI moves to call AT1 at a second opportunity. ESRB reports on stablecoins systemic risks

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/MUNHYP green SNP, RBI AT1 call, ESRB on stablecoins

Muenchener Hypothekenbank keeps green senior issuance going. RBI moves to call AT1 at a second opportunity. ESRB reports on stablecoins systemic risks

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (21 October 2025)

HEADLINES: • Duna House: good momentum in all three key markets (stays BUY) • Tofas: amendments to two agreements with Stellantis NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: UKE launches consultations on 900MHz band extension NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 31 October) • CCC: 3Q25E prelims preview – 11% yoy EBITDA drop expected (due on 6 November, TBC) NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 3Q25E preview (due on 6 November) • LPP: 3Q25E results preview – 31% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 11 December) NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (20 October 2025)

HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: material upside locked up in Russia (stays BUY) • Theon International: secures EUR 300m long-term supply agreement with a NATO country POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: to receive an extra EUR 39m from its investment in Ellaktor POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (13-19 October) • Magyar Telekom: 3Q25E preview – 13% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 12 November) • Wirtualna Polska: 3Q25E preview – soft quarter, with 1% yoy pro-forma adjusted E...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Raiffeisen Bank International: material upside locked up in Russia (st...

We maintain our BUY on RBI, and set a new 12M price target (PT) of EUR 35.8/share, offering 21% upside. We see RBI as one of the cheapest among the regional and European banks, on an adjusted earnings basis (2025-26E adjusted P/E excluding Polish losses of 6.8-6.6x). On the headline earnings, excluding the Russian operations, it is trading at our 2025-26E P/Es of 10.6-8.5x, which do not offer as wide discounts to its peers, but neither do they indicate a significant valuation premium. RBI trades...

Jakub Krawczyk
  • Jakub Krawczyk
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy - Uzbekistan; CCC PW; EXAE GA; MBR PW

• EME Macro/Strategy: Uzbekistan - riding the wave of investment and growth momentum • CCC: strong reply from the management to the Ningi Research short-selling report POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: Greek government amends takeover law NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: Court dismisses Mo-BRUK’s complaint over 2018 waste storage fees NEUTRAL • Short News (EWG, PPC)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; EXAE GA; SOLUTION AB; MOL HB; NOVAL GA; DNP PW

HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: bracing for winter, waiting for spring (stays BUY) • Athens Exchange Group: BoD expresses unanimous support for Euronext's voluntary tender offer NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: extends the revenue-sharing agreement with Remat Riyadh Development Company POSITIVE • MOL: the company and its Partners increase gas capacity in Iraq POSITIVE • Noval Property: appoints Mr. Koutsopodiotis as CEO NEUTRAL • Dino Polska: 3Q25E preview – 14% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 November)...

Jakub Caithaml ... (+2)
  • Jakub Caithaml
  • Peter Palovic

Wizz Air: bracing for winter, waiting for spring (stays BUY)

We expect Wizz Air to have achieved a relatively-decent summer, mainly on stable yoy ex-fuel CASK (caskx). We maintain our negative view on the coming winter, however, and have adjusted our loss estimates upwards, as fast growth by Ryanair in several of Wizz Air’s key markets collides with the company’s own capacity acceleration. This could put pressure on yields and exacerbate losses. While things may get worse before they start getting better, we believe that upside risks prevail from the curr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KAP LI; ESLT US; MONET CP; MBR PW; CAR PW; RBW PW; GTC PW;...

HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: strong execution at a rich valuation (stays HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: management recommends CZK 4/share extra dividend due before the year-end POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: conditions have been met for the acquisition of Eco Point PSA shares POSITIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales 5.7% higher yoy NEUTRAL • GTC: repurchases EUR 195m of 2026 bonds • Er...

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