HEADLINES: • Hungary macro: MNB on hold • Cyfrowy Polsat: TiVi Foundation exercises its rights to replace the managers and a supervisory board member of the group POSITIVE • Medicover: 2Q25 results preview (due out tomorrow) • Tofas: 2Q25 earnings preview (due on 28 July) • Ford Otosan: 2Q25 earnings preview (due on 30 July) • Teknosa: 2Q25 earnings preview (due on 6 August) • Short News (EUR, 4iG, PPC)
HEADLINES: • EMEA Airlines: 2Q25 traffic - Easter good, conflict bad • GEK Terna: motorway traffic grows faster than expected in 1H25 POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Allegro: expands its delivery network via a partnership with Zabka, adding 11,600+ new pick-up points NEUTRAL • Jahez: takeaways from the conference call on the Snoonu deal POSITIVE • Titan Cement: 2Q25E financial results preview (due on 31 July)
HEADLINES: • TBC Bank: good run, approaching fair value (downgraded to HOLD) • Krka: preliminary 2Q25 numbers – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 50/50 JV with Motor Oil Hellas over their electricity supply and gas-fired power generation activities POSITIVE • DO & CO: EUR 2.00/share dividend approved, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • OTE: 2Q25E results preview – 2% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 August)
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • LPP: fire at Romanian warehouse causes temporary disruption in SEE operations; c.PLN 400m in assets destroyed (all insured) NEGATIVE • ADNOC Drilling: oilfield services awarded a five-year contract for hydraulic fracturing POSITIVE • Richter: European Commission approval for denosumab biosimilars NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: June Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: June Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: PLN 3.15/share...
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...
A director at Gek Terna S.A. sold 12,500 shares at 19.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: new tech demo of The Witcher 4 opens State of Unreal event POSITIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – malls doing well, valuation undemanding, but margins visibility likely a prerequisite for re-rating • GEK Terna: 1Q25 EBITDA jumps 55%, to slightly stronger than expected EUR 136m POSITIVE • MOL: agrees with SOCAR on onshore exploration project in Azerbaijan NEUTRAL • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in May
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
Roadmap laid out; focus now lies on implementation… – Following a successful transformation over the past few years, PPC has been expanding its RES footprint and emerging as a leading utility in SE Europe. Mgt aims to continue the Group’s evolution, with a strategy focused on accelerating RES development, modernising its thermal fleet, investing in distribution, and retaining its stronghold in supply, targeting EBITDA of €2.7bn by 2027e (+14% CAGR). Despite these ambitious targets outpacing mos...
Roadmap laid out; focus now lies on implementation… – Following a successful transformation over the past few years, PPC has been expanding its RES footprint and emerging as a leading utility in SE Europe. Mgt aims to continue the Group’s evolution, with a strategy focused on accelerating RES development, modernising its thermal fleet, investing in distribution, and retaining its stronghold in supply, targeting EBITDA of €2.7bn by 2027e (+14% CAGR). Despite these ambitious targets outpacing mos...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank Group: smart leverage, strong thesis (stays BUY) • Santander Bank Polska: no such thing as plug and play in M&A (downgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: CIS plus – a good growth juncture, amid global policy shifts • PCF Group: 1Q25 results miss expectations, on lower portion of costs being capitalised NEGATIVE • Echo Investment (HOLD, PT PLN 3.1): 1Q25 – only a handful of deliveries means a weak P&L • Duna House: 1Q25 results– first look positive POSITIVE • DataWalk: ke...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 1Q25 results – top-down driven beat POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: uninspiring 1Q25 results, as expected POSITIVE • Trade Estates: 1Q25 – strong turnovers driving rents higher POSITIVE • Enea: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 1Q25 results review – EBITDA +46% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 1Q25 results review – 24% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Shoper: 1Q25 above expectations, but F...
HEADLINES: InPost: international level (stays BUY) Romania macro: presidential election - final results Poland macro: election results 11 bit studios: 1Q25 earnings call – happy with wishlist for The Alters, no plans for pre-orders NEUTRAL Budimex: PLN 1.7bn offer rated the highest in the railway tender POSITIVE Mo-BRUK: management recommends PLN 13.17 DPS from the 2024 earnings NEUTRAL Greek banks: the Greek media reports that the banks could look into reacquiring working mortgages from NPL ser...
HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: solid, but neutral, set of 1Q25 results; FX mortgage saga still eating material part of profits • Jahez: mixed 1Q25 results, affected by seasonality and intensified competition NEGATIVE • CCC: preliminary 1Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 2-8%, on FX differences NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: April sales growth slows down to 5% yoy NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: April sales growth decelerates to 6% yoy NEGATIVE • Richter: Trump promises 30-80% cuts in US drug prices NEGATIVE • For...
EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: very solid 1Q25, supporting our 2025E 20%+ ROE, trading at 1.3x BV and a 9%+ yield very attractive • Komercni Banka: beat on 1Q25 bottom line driven by LLPs releases, pre-provision profit falls short of expectations NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q25 results in line; 2025E ROTE guidance sustained, but market focus on potential big M&A effort • mBank: 1Q25 solid, but valuation reflects recovery already; 2025E revenue guidance a little disappointing • Santander Bank Polska: solid ...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 1Q25 trading update – strong execution, rich options POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q25 results, beat driven by Wonga, debt purchased segment in line, but slowing growth dynamics NEUTRAL • Siauliu Bankas: rather weak 1Q25, but maintained outlook should provide some support NEGATIVE • Medicover: 1Q25 beat on admin costs and other financial income POSITIVE • Otokar: 1Q25 results – continuing losses on the operating and bottom lines • Tofas: weak set of results in 1Q25, as anti...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak set of results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • Akbank: 1Q25 highlights – management cautious on margin, but positive on fees • Yapi Kredi: 1Q25 highlights, before the call – beat on NII and fees (evolved better than the guidance) • Solutions by STC: weak 1Q25 financial results, disappointing revenue growth NEGATIVE • Poland macro: April data paint an encouraging picture • PCF Group: PLN 173m write-offs to hit the 2024 results, related mostly to Bifrost NEGATIVE • Richter: positive ...
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