The 3Q24 results are slightly above our expectations on the back of an improved operating margin. The guidance of EUR 1.15 EPRA EPS is reiterated. Home invest is one of the best performers to date among Belgian REITs. However, in the last month there was profit taking and negative news on regulation. As of 01/11/2024, rent increases in Brussels (66% portfolio) are on hold for 9 consecutive years. This was already the case for the 3-6-9 contracts but now impacts short term contracts and tenant de...
Elia suffers from negative downdraft as politics cast doubt on the expected RAB growth outlined in the grid development plans. In Belgium, there is currently a standstill in the government formation and in Germany an early election has been called. Also the rhetoric of president-elect Mr Trump does not bode well for US energy transition investments. For Elia specific, the Elisabeth Island and its budget have been subject of discussions that juggle with figures that are taken out of context. As t...
During 3Q FY24, Texaf's rental income (residential + commercial) came in at €6.7m, up 16.0% on a YoY basis – the increase in rental income was mainly driven by the renting our 2 major projects ‘Promenade des Artistes' and Phase 3 of Silikin Village which became available during July'24. We note that during Oct'24, Texaf announced that it had sold 49.0% of Petit-Pont for total proceed of €5.4m of which €2.7m was capital gains which will not show on the consolidated financials of Texaf due to Texa...
With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...
1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...
Les députés ont supprimé vendredi dernier la surtaxe d’Impôt sur les Sociétés proposée par le gouvernement français dans son PLF 2025. Il serait, selon nous, hasardeux de crier victoire trop tôt, et cette disposition pourrait faire son retour durant la suite du débat budgétaire, sous la forme initialement proposée par le gouvernement ou sous une autre. Nous restons prudents sur les actions françaises, le débat budgétaire restant chaotique et pas à la hauteur des enjeux, comme le souli...
Last Friday, MEPs scrapped the exceptional additional corporate tax proposed by the French government in its PLF 2025. In our view, it would be risky to claim victory prematurely, and this provision could make a comeback during the remainder of the budget debate, in the form initially proposed by the government or in another form. We remain cautious on French equities, as the budget debate remains chaotic and fails to live up to the stakes, as underlined by Moody's downgrade of the so...
>Fluxys agreement with reference shareholder Publi-T (44.79% in Elia Group) - Fluxys announces that Elia Group’s reference shareholder Publi-T signed a Heads of Agreement with Fluxys SA/NV to enable Publi-T to follow future capital increases of Elia Group. Together, they will create a new subsidiary to which Publi-T will contribute its 44.79% stake in Elia Group. When needed, Publi-T and Fluxys SA/NV will contribute additional capital to the subsidiary to fund its sha...
Last week, we organised an Expert Access event on multiple sclerosis (MS) with the participation of Dr Géraldine Androdias, a neurologist at Lyon University Hospital. Dr Androdias presented the key points of the ECTRIMS 2024 conference, as well as new trends in treating the illness. We note an unmet need in the primary progressive and secondary progressive forms, a real interest for the BTKi class with the greater penetration of the blood-brain barrier, and expectations for the anti-C...
Nous avons organisé la semaine dernière un Expert Access autour de la sclérose en plaques (SEP) avec la participation du Dr Géraldine Androdias, médecin neurologue au CHU de Lyon. Le Dr Androdias a présenté les points saillants du congrès de l’ECTRIMS 2024 ainsi que les nouvelles tendances dans la prise en charge de la maladie. Nous retenons un besoin insatisfait dans les formes progressives et secondairement progressives, un vrai intérêt de la classe des BTKi avec le passage accru de...
>One year further: still no new group CEO - Yesterday an article in newspaper De Tijd was titled: “It is irresponsible that Elia already so long is without CEO”. Former CEO Chris Peeters (see picture below) was already appointed by BPost on 6 September 2023, and left Elia Group at the end of October 2023. Since that date CFO Catherine Vandenborre (see picture below) took over the job as interim-CEO, but also made clear she does not have the ambition to permanently bec...
Following Fagron's 3Q24 update, we update our FY24 outlook to reach the upper end of the revenue guidance of € 850-870m. In the coming quarters and years, we expect sustained solid performance across business units, as the company continues to benefit from increased outsourcing of pharmaceutical compounding and its operational excellence initiatives. We reiterate our € 24 TP, reflecting 27% upside vs the current share price, hence reiterate our Buy rating.
Texaf announced that Congolese insurer SFA Congo and African Rivers Fund IV LP (XSML Capital) have each invested €2.695m and have acquired 49% of the Petit-Pont building in exchange for €5.39m. The transaction generated a capital gain of €2.7m but due to the building being fully consolidated (51% with Texaf), this capital gain will not be reflected in the consolidated accounts. Texaf will continue to manage the building on behalf of the consortium. We see this partial divestment as validation of...
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