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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Power semiconductors: Our updated thoughts following the PCIM confere...

We attended the PCIM conference last week. The conference is the place to be for investors interested in power semiconductors.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 3Q22

We publish this morning our comprehensive quarterly bible: 170 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings in 5 slides: The Bible presents our latest views on the semiconductor cycle and how we see the industry positioned for 2023.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q22

We publish this morning our comprehensive quarterly bible: 182 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings in 21 slides: • In PCs: demand is now weakening across the board with the beginning of a deterioration in demand in high-end and in commercial; a CPU inventory correction at OEMs is now in full swing. • Smartphone demand is deteriorating in t...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q22

We publish this morning our comprehensive quarterly bible: 164 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. This quarter was in our view particularly telling for those wondering how the next cycle will play out: In Industrials and Autos, we see early signs of a peak, with inventories rebuilding and semi revenues as a percentage of end-product revenues multiple standard deviations above trend. In PCs and Smartpho...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q22 - Autos: Cyclical pullback approaching?

Our Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor. It wraps up everything the >130 companies we track have reported and said and provides an update on our key perspectives and convictions, in light of what we learnt. We publish today the sixth section of our 1Q22 Bible, on Autos. Auto semi momentum continued in 2Q22. However, a cyclical pullback now seems closer: semiconductor revenues per car keep going higher, well above the historic trend and inventories across the industry are starting to...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q22: Industrials – Downcycle approaching

We publish today the fifth section of our 1Q22 Bible, on Industrials. Strong momentum continued, driven by electrification, renewables, and automation. However, we see a down cycle approaching as semi sales continue to outpace industrial equipment sales, and inventories at industrial companies continues to increase.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

PCIM 2022: SiC, SmartSiC, GaN, energy storage… Our take on latest tren...

We attended the virtual edition of PCIM last week. The conference is the place to be for investors interested in power semiconductors.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SiC & Renewables accelerating, Uber outperforming Lyft, Auto OEMs suff...

As always, during earnings season, we start the week with a wrap-up of what happened in the previous week.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Soitec & silicon carbide: SmartSiC is on; Implications.

Soitec has invested years of research and development into adapting their SmartCut technology to silicon carbide. SmartSiC, the resulting process, should ramp up in the second half of next year and could have major implications for Soitec and the industry. In today’s research, we go deep into the economics of SmartSiC wafers to understand how the technology is likely to transform the silicon carbide value chain.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q21: Industrials – continued strong demand, growth limited by p...

We publish today the fifth section of our 4Q21 Bible, on Industrials. Demand remains strong across the sector despite persisting supply constraints. The outlook for 2022 is solid: demand continues to outstrip supply and supply shortages will persist for the remainder of the year and into 2023. Momentum in structural growth areas such as clean energy and electrification is accelerating, aided by political support to achieve CO2 emission targets.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q21: Autos – Semi momentum continues. No pullback expected as i...

Our Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor. It wraps up all what the >120 companies we track have reported and said and provides an update on our key perspectives and convictions, in light of what we learnt. We publish today the fourth section of our 4Q21 Bible, on automotive. Production recovered in 4Q21, but remains well below pre-pandemic levels. At the same time, auto semi revenues reached a record in 4Q21, and we see momentum sustaining this year, with production increasing, and in...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tech Weekly Wrap-Up Jan 28th: Margin expansion in memory, Cloud build-...

As always, during earnings season, we start on Mondays with a wrap-up of what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words for each of the 30 names we followed last week.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Wolfspeed 2FQ22 – Design-in momentum accelerating. Wolfspeed positione...

Dear all, Wolfspeed reported 2FQ22 last night. Please see the link below for our take on the print. Pierre.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

China in silicon carbide: What’s the risk to western manufacturers?

China is investing heavily in developing a domestic silicon carbide value chain. In this report, we assess the long-term implications this could pose for Infineon, Wolfspeed and STMicro.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 3Q21

We publish today the latest edition of our Tech Bible. The Bible is a must-read for every tech investor, summarising our key learnings from following >120 companies in the tech universe and provides an updated view on how we see things playing out over the next year across the entire tech value chain (Cloud Infrastructure, Enterprise IT, Telcos, Automotive, Industrials, Ride-Sharing, PCs, Smartphones, Leading Edge Manufacturing, Memory and Semicap).

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q21: Industrials – strong momentum despite shortages and strong...

We publish today the fifth section on Industrial Semiconductors. We see that momentum remains strong across the sector despite supply constraints as renewables continue to be a strong growth driver. Strength will continue in 2022 supported by renewables, easing of supply constraints and lean inventories across the value chain.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q21: Autos – Semis set for another strong year in 2022

We publish today the third section on automotive. Production was hampered by semiconductor supply challenges which will persist into 2022 but show gradual improvement from today’s levels. Auto semis recorded record revenues, as EV & ADAS momentum continued and OEMs prioritized production of premium vehicles with increased semi content. We remain bullish on the auto semi sector as production will rebound strongly next year, inventories will be replenished across the value chain, and EV/ADAS momen...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Wolfspeed analyst day & Mohawk Valley Fab tour: Transition to 200mm ge...

We attended Wolfspeed’s analyst day on Wednesday and toured the company’s 200mm fab in Mohawk Valley the following day. Our take on the events.

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