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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EAT PW; KRU PW; TXT PW; ENA PW; CTPNV NA; RICHT HB; DHS HB...

HEADLINES: • AmRest: 4Q25 miss, due mainly to allegations about food safety in Czechia NEGATIVE • Kruk: 4Q25 results – bit of a mixed bag • Text: 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – EBITDA down 25% yoy, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Enea: impairments and higher provisions to reduce 2025 net income by PLN 1.37bn and EBITDA by PLN 162m NEUTRAL • CTP: 4Q25 results and conference call • Richter: 4Q25 beat, on gross margin and tight opex control POSITIVE • Duna House: 4Q25 in line, guidance implies ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EBS AV; PZU PW; PGE PW; CDR PW; CTPNV NA; MTELEKOM HB; AQ ...

HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 4Q25 results – net profit beats expectations • PZU: 4Q25 results – in line with expectations • PGE: to book a PLN 0.7bn provision NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: releases Reigns: The Witcher, card-swiping game NEUTRAL • CTP: 4Q25 – both FFO and guidance trail our and the consensus estimates slightly NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25 results review – EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with the consensus; conservative 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25E preview (due out ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PEO PW; PKN PW; KRU PW; OPL PW; MBR PW; CDR PW; GEKTERNA G...

HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 4Q25 delivery bodes well for 2026E outlook POSITIVE • Orlen: 4Q25 results – strong underlying EBITDA POSITIVE • Kruk: buys material portfolio in Italy – very strong start to 2026E in terms of investments scale POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs PLN 7.5m contract NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA to decline by 48% qoq (due on 19 March) • GEK Terna: EUR 1.1bn planned Vrochonera HPS project secures ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPL PW; CDR PW; RICHT HB; RO Macro; SNP RO; SNG RO; ELPE G...

HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: NLBR SV; PL Banks; DAT PW; ALE PW; INPST NA; CDR PW; ACP P...

HEADLINES: • NLB Group: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • Polish banks: CJEU rules on WIBOR case, in line with the General Attorney's opinion, issued on 11 September 2025 NEUTRAL • DataWalk: issues shares worth PLN 116.3m POSITIVE • Allegro: changes in MOV are negative for lockers NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 2026-29 incentive programme net profit condition set at PLN 5.0bn NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: 4Q25E preview – 11% yoy organic net profit growth expected (due on 31 March) • OPAP: Al...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; WPL PW; BDX PW; PKN PW; INPST NA; ENA PW; TPE PW;...

HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; TPE PW; ENA PW; WPL PW; CZ Macro; MTELEKOM HB; BR...

HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LPP PW; PL Macro; BDX PW; EBS AV; SNG RO; RO Macro; HTO GA...

HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Erste – reinitiation of coverage

We reinitiate the coverage of Erste Bank with a Neutral recommendation. Our 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price is EUR 107.0, which implies an upside potential of approximately 4.6%. For 2025, we forecast a dividend of EUR 0.76 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of 10%. At current levels, the stock trades at 1.88× P/TBV, 13.7× 2025 P/E, and 11.5× 2026 P/E.

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM Credit & Trade Ideas update

Global market volatility is keeping EM investors on their toes, but for now Emerging Markets seem able to cope with the ongoing uncertainty across geopolitics, commodities, rates and FX. We expect primary market activity to continue, aided by the still supportive macro picture in major economies.

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Jean-François Granjon
  • Martial Descoutures
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
IPN IPSEN SA
CRI CHARGEURS SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
KORI KORIAN SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
GBT GUERBET SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
ERA ERAMET SA
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
UTG UNITE GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
CCC CCC SA
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
IRES IRISH RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES REIT PLC
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SSO SCATEC ASA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
MRX MISTER SPEX SE
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
CTPNV CTP NV
EAPI EUROAPI
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ORP ORPEA
Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
IPN IPSEN SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
KORI KORIAN SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
GBT GUERBET SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SAN SANOFI
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
UTG UNITE GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
IRES IRISH RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES REIT PLC
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
CTPNV CTP NV
EAPI EUROAPI
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ORP ORPEA
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
Research Team
  • Research Team
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS ... (+16)

WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; XTB PW; CCC PW; OPL PW; HUG PW; TEN PW; RBW PW; ...

HEADLINES: • Arcelik (BUY, PT TRY 207.5): 4Q25 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • CCC: acquisition of controlling stake in MKRI NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: fined PLN 34m by Poland's antitrust regulator NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate down 1% mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA marginally above zero in...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...

EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (28 January 2026)

HEADLINES: • Titan: three deals cemented, more to come (stays BUY) • Eurocash: wins court battle with antimonopoly watchdog POSITIVE • PKO BP: 4Q25E preview (due on 12 March) • Mo-BRUK: 4Q25E – 21% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 23 April) • Hungary macro: MNB on hold • Hidroelectrica: shareholders’ approval for key strategic projects • DIGI Communications: hires Linklaters and Uría Menéndez for legal work in its Spanish IPO NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – consultations under way to reclassify...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+2)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter

ODDO : Nos top picks pour 2026, la 2e année d’un nouveau cycle

La stabilisation des taux d’intérêt et de l’inflation devrait créer un climat plus favorable à l’investissement et permettre aux sociétés immobilières de poursuivre la mise en œuvre de leur feuille de route tout en faisant preuve de prudence. Dans ce contexte, le commerce et la logistique nous semblent les mieux positionnés et nous privilégions CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW, VGP comme les plus à même d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance su...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+2)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter

ODDO : Our Top Picks for 2026, the second year of a new cycle

With stabilising interest rates and inflation creating a more favourable climate for investment, the stocks in our coverage universe should be able to continue to implement their roadmaps, while remaining cautious. On this basis, we think retail and logistics are the best positioned, and see CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW and VGP as the best placed to execute their growth strategies. We are upgrading WDP, Safestore and Instone, to Outperform, downgrading Big Yellow, Colonial-SFL, INEA, L...

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