EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Zabka: key takeaways from the Investor Day POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways • CCC: final 2Q25 EBITDA 3% below the prelims, on an earlier recognition of costs NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: end-3Q25 card base at 2.38m, Türkiye accelerated in September NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: September capacity growth slower than the summer, but better load factor NEUTRAL • OTE/DIGI Communications: sale o...
HEADLINES: • Pepco: lfl recovery continued in 4Q25, with Poland falling behind W. Europe; another EUR 50m buyback announced POSITIVE • Jumbo: 1H25 earnings slightly lower than expected - adj. EBITDA +7% yoy to EUR 165m NEGATIVE • Theon International: wins another sizeable OCCAR contract POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Eurowag: TA Associates completes GBP 56m ABB • PZU: new acting CEO appointed, pending PFSA approval NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: proposes an extraordinary DPS of RO...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: growth acceleration priced in already (downgraded to HOLD) • GTC: moves to amend terms of the two outstanding Forint bonds • OTE/DIGI Communications: Telekom Romania sold to DIGI and Vodafone for EUR 70m POSITIVE • EMEA Airlines: flights cancelled in Europe over weekend due to cyberattack on airport software • Wizz Air: strike on 26 September may disrupt operations in Italy NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Titan: Fidelity Investments cuts ownership...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
ANY posted solid H1/25 earnings Tuesday, AMC. Q2/25 revenues came in at HUF 15.2bn, down -11% YoY, resulting in H1/25 revenues at HUF 38.7bn (+11% YoY). It is worth noting, that Q2/24 revenues were supported by election related revenues, therefore we do not attribute much importance to the quarterly decline. Similarly, quarterly net profit saw a -24% decline YoY, while H1/25 net profit attributable to the owners of ANY increased on the year by +40% to HUF 5.3bn. Q2 EPS of HUF 97 puts H1 EPS...
HEADLINES: • Allegro: August is harvest time (downgraded to HOLD) • Hungary macro: challenging conditions keeping fiscal pressure high • Patria Bank: solid delivery in 2Q25 POSITIVE • Premier Energy: 2Q25 normalised EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • 4iG: 2Q25 results review – 11% yoy increase in reported EBITDA, 3% above our estimate NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 2Q25 – continued progress with disposals; cancels treasury shares, launches new buyback • MedLife: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings ...
HEADLINES: • Tupras: enjoying life in the margins (stays BUY) • Kruk: 2Q25 beat, on a positive tax balance, lower financial costs and a drop in the cost to collect ratio POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 24% yoy, 6% above the consensus; weak 2H25E outlook NEGATIVE • Enea: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA 15% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply and better Generation; PLN 2.8bn capex, including wind farm acquisitions POSITIVE • Gentoo Media: 2Q25 financial...
Banca Transilvania (TLV) reported its 2Q25 results this morning (26 August), posting shareholder net profit of RON 1,087m (+10% yoy), a small (4%) miss vs. our expectations. The NII and NFC were below expectations, but offset partially by a better other income delivery. Costs were in line, and the provisions booked were the major source of the delta, but were also offset partially by the lower net profit attributable to minorities. All-in-all, we view the results as slightly negative, due to the...
HEADLINES: • NEPI Rockcastle: 1H25 good (first look), FFO guidance revised upwards POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 2Q25 highlights – 2025E guidance revised down, but still targeting >30% ROE NEGATIVE • Turkish Airlines: buys a stake in Air Europa for EUR 300m • 11 bit studios: early access release date for Moonlighter 2: The Endless Vault set as 23 October NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: 2Q25E preview – just flat earnings yoy (due on 18 September)
HEADLINES: • Echo Investment: sells 5.3k Resi4Rent units to TAG POSITIVE • Orlen: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 August) NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25E results preview (due on 22 August) NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2Q25E results preview (due on 28 August) • Short News (PCF)
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...
OTE has reported an uninspiring set of 2Q25 results, with sales flat yoy, at EUR 913m (in line with our forecast) and the adjusted EBITDA up 1% yoy, to EUR 349m (in line with our estimate), due to Greek segment expansion offsetting the 67% yoy decline in the Romanian segment operating result. We see OTE’s 2Q25 results as neutral, as the adjusted EBITDA was in line with our expectations, while the company reiterated its 2025E outlook. The miss on the bottom line was driven primarily by the write-...
OTE has reported a mixed set of results; Greek MSR trends are much better sequentially and FSR growth is also a bit better, but EBITDA growth is actually slower sequentially due to elevated sales and marketing costs, which may be a warning sign of the future impact from PPC in the fixed market.
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