A director at United Bank Ltd bought 3,307 shares at 313.000PKR and the significance rating of the trade was 34/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today upgraded the long-term deposit ratings to Caa2 from Caa3 of five Pakistani banks: Allied Bank Limited (ABL), Habib Bank Ltd. (HBL), MCB Bank Limited (MCB), National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and United Bank Ltd. (UBL). We have also upgraded ABL, HBL, MCB and UBL's ...
A director at Habib Bank Ltd sold 72,805 shares at 140.047PKR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
A director at MCB Bank Ltd bought 814,623 shares at 183.760PKR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has completed a periodic review of the ratings -and other ratings that are associated with the same analytical units for the rated entity(entities) listed below. The review was conducted through a portfolio review discussion held on 30 November 2023 in which Mo...
MCB has posted consolidated 2QCY23 NPAT of PKR14.7bn (EPS: PKR12.38), up a massive 6.4x YoY and 25% QoQ. This takes 1HCY23 NPAT to PKR28.6bn (EPS: PKR24.13), up 2.5x YoY. The result is much better than our estimated 2Q EPS of PKR9.85, led by a sharp rise in NII (+80% YoY) and very strong fee income delivery (up 37% YoY). Results were accompanied by a second interim cash dividend of PKR7.0/sh – slightly higher than estimated, taking 1HCY23 DPS to PKR13.0/sh. 2QCY23 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS: * MCB r...
* The signing of the IMF SBA programme has improved prospects for Pakistan’s economy, with the banking sector being the best performing at the Index in July. UBL has led the pack on a laser-sharp focus on profitability and excellent dividend yield. * We raise CY23-27f EPS estimates for UBL by 13% on average, on strong margin expansion and asset quality. We also incorporate an ultra-high cash payout ratio for the next 1-2yrs (c 100% payout in CY23f), with capital ratios appearing adequat...
HBL has reported 2QCY23 NPAT of PKR13.0bn (EPS: PKR8.86), up 3.8x YoY / flat QoQ. This takes 1HCY23 NPAT to PKR26.2bn (EPS: PKR17.86), up 2.2x YoY. The 2Q result is in line with our expected EPS of PKR8.90, while the interim DPS of PKR2.00 is higher than our estimated DPS of PKR1.50. While total provisions and admin expenses are slightly higher than expected, these have been offset by strong non-interest income led by fee. Strong performance has led to improvement in T1 and CAR to comfortable...
UBL has posted consolidated 2QCY23 NPAT of PKR12.7bn (EPS: PKR10.39), up a massive 4.8x YoY and 11% QoQ. This takes 1HCY23 NPAT to PKR27.5bn (EPS: PKR22.01), up 2.3x YoY. The result is higher than our projected 2Q EPS of PKR9.50, with the deviation primarily stemming from a deferred tax reversal which reduced the overall effective tax rate. UBL also announced a higher than expected dividend of PKR11.0/sh vs. our estimate of PKR10.0/sh, translating into a 106% payout. 2QCY23 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS...
* Pre-tax 2QCY23 profits for the IMS Banking Universe are expected to rise 10%QoQ, reflecting strong core performance. However, net earnings may come off by 15%QoQ due to retrospective impact of super tax (10% vs. 4% previously). Payouts should remain broadly intact. * Domestic asset quality has remained resilient, which should keep the cost of risk in check. Impairment, if any, should also be contained compared to the last few quarters. We expect MEBL to stand out due to the lagged ass...
* With the IMF staff-level agreement in place, the much needed breathing space for Pakistan's economy reinforces our liking for the banking sector. The absence of banks from debt restructuring in Zambia and Sri Lanka also provides comfort if this conversation crops up again in Pakistan next year. * 1QCY23 results indicate underlying profitability is strong, on rising margins and resilient asset quality. Our 2023-27f earnings estimates remain broadly unchanged, even as we conservatively ...
UBL has posted consolidated 1QCY23 NPAT of PKR14.2bn (EPS: PKR11.62), up 53% YoY and 9% QoQ. The result is significantly above our projected EPS of PKR10.15, with the deviation stemming from very high Fx gains (other line items are broadly in line). Results were accompanied with a record-high interim dividend of PKR11.0/sh vs. our estimate of PKR6.0/sh. 1QCY23 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS: * UBL has reported NII of PKR34.9bn, up 10% QoQ and 56% YoY – inline with estimates. This is a function of both m...
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