We discontinue our coverage of the following stocks, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: AD Plastik Arena Hospitality Group Bittnet Ciech Conpet Dogus Otomotiv Ekspress Grupp Fintel Energija Immofinanz Kcell Kernel KGHM Komercijalna Banka NLB Banka Petrol Group S Immo Sava Re Shelly Group (formerly Allterco) STS Group Turk Telekom Turkcell Ulker Zagreb Stock Exchange
A director at Kernel Holding S.A. bought 1,200,000 shares at 1.875USD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: books miss in 2Q22, long-term outlook untouched, weak short-term headline earnings NEGATIVE • Bank Pekao: weaker-than-expected 2Q22 headline EPS, but results include lots of one-off charges NEGATIVE • Allegro: 2Q22 preliminary results in line for core business, but Mall Group disappoints NEGATIVE • Piraeus Bank: solid 2Q22, extreme discount vs. peers POSITIVE • ONE United Properties: raises EUR 52m in capital increase, vs. c.EUR 90m target, priced at 2.2x P/B POSITIVE • Tur...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: regaining power post-pandemic (stays BUY) • National Bank: 1Q22 - another strong quarter, on track to meet guidance POSITIVE • S Immo: solid 1Q22 numbers, AGM to vote on removal of voting rights cap on 1 June 2022 NEUTRAL • Polish banks: ZBP's estimates on potential cost of credit holidays • Polish banks: 1Q22 - big drops in retail mortgage market • Orange Polska: key takeaways from PAP interview with CEO NEUTRAL • Astarta Holding/Kernel: coverage under review
HEADLINES: • Cognor Holding: record results could serve as re-rating trigger (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Hungary macro: taxes and budget consolidation • Alpha Bank: strong 1Q22 numbers, with upside risk for FY22E estimates POSITIVE • Kernel: 3Q22 EBITDA materially below our estimates, amid weak farming segment result NEGATIVE • Aegean Airlines: 1Q22 - small beat, fare levels exceed expectations, summer outlook encouraging POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: 1Q22 earnings in line, still ...
HEADLINES: • PZU: 1Q22 - investment result holds up better than expected on equities and costs under control POSITIVE • PKO BP: 1Q22 results review - solid results • TBC Bank: 1Q22 highlights - good quarter • GTC: 1Q22 - results in line, DPS proposal of PLN 0.28 (a 5% yield) NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 1Q22 - tenants' sales edging above 2019 levels NEUTRAL • Ciech: 2022-24E strategy - high EBITDA target, solid cash generation, regular dividends POSITIVE • Astarta: 1Q22 conference call takeaways...
HEADLINES: • Kcell: attractively-valued frontier exposure (upgraded to BUY) • Halyk Savings Bank: 1Q22 highlights - trading income gives a boost, but still a good start • Astarta Holding: 1Q22 results weaker than expected, but leverage remains low NEUTRAL • CEE macro: strong, above-consensus growth in 1Q • Polish banks: government clears draft bill on mortgagors' aid measures; next step - parliament NEGATIVE • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 1Q22 earnings call POSITIVE • Shoper: post...
EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: Russia can live (but not thrive) without EU gas payments • Erste Bank: strong start to 2022 with the 1Q22 delivery POSITIVE • Kruk: publishes detailed 1Q22 - solid trends, but supported by positive revaluations, as suspected NEUTRAL • Tekfen Holding: 1Q22 results - another major miss NEGATIVE • Turkcell: 1Q22 results in line, except a 10% NI miss; FY22E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Enerjisa Enerji: 1Q22 results review - mixed, but FY guidance revised up NEUTRA...
HEADLINES: • PGNiG: Russia halts the flow of gas to Poland NEGATIVE • Alior Bank: disappointing 1Q22 delivery NEGATIVE • Aselsan: 1Q22 results - top-down beat, but management's guidance unchanged POSITIVE • Otokar: 1Q22 results - broadly in line, 12% NI beat POSITIVE • Zagreb Stock Exchange: 1Q22 results review - strong results, on high volumes traded in the quarter POSITIVE • TeraPlast: strong sales growth reported for 1Q22 POSITIVE • DataWalk: FY21 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries ...
HEADLINES: • Romanian utilities: for those willing to wait (Electrica stays BUY, Transgaz stays HOLD, Transelectrica upgraded to HOLD) • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q22 results review - strong beat vs. expectations on low provisions • Bank Millennium: 1Q22 results review - results in line with expectations • Polish banks: government proposals to aid mortgagors may hit Polish banks' 2022-23E earnings NEGATIVE • Garanti: 1Q22 highlights NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 1Q22 results - EBITDAaL up 2% yoy, in ...
HEADLINES: • PCF Group: adjusted EBITDA in line with our forecast; Outriders Worldslayer release at end-June NEUTRAL • Hellenic Bank: FY21 - moving in the right direction • Shoper: management call takeaways - 2022E to focus on growth, rather than margins NEUTRAL • Kernel: 3Q22 trading update NEUTRAL • PGNiG: operating estimates for 1Q22E, no major surprises • Fondul Proprietatea: State could consider offer of new shares in Hidroelectrica after Fondul's offer NEUTRAL • Petrol Group: AGM appro...
HEADLINES: • InPost: e-commerce growth at courier multiples (upgraded to BUY) • Ciech: bumpy road, but got there finally (stays BUY) • Patria Bank: profitability set to grow, but valuation remains fair (stays HOLD) • Astarta Holding: 1Q22 trading update - strong volumes, despite the war POSITIVE • CCC: final 4Q21 results above prelims, mainly on one-off POSITIVE • LPP: 4Q21 slightly below prelims on war-related write-downs; no surprises in FY22E guidance NEUTRAL • Shoper: 4Q21 broadly in line...
HEADLINES: • Polish financials: PZU - higher rates and for longer (stays BUY); Bank Pekao - standing firm against the headwinds (stays BUY); Alior Bank - too cheap to ignore (upgraded to BUY) • Romania macro: the government announces a support package for both individuals and companies • Fondul Proprietatea: end-March NAV could be at least 5% higher mom • Famur: 4Q21 EBITDA 16% below market expectations NEGATIVE • LPP: FY22E rollout plans raised to 500k sqm POSITIVE • Inter Cars: CFO says tha...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: strong March sales, despite ailing Ukrainian business POSITIVE • Astarta: 4Q21 EBITDA slightly above our forecast NEUTRAL • Russia macro: the CBR cuts the key rate by 300bp in an unscheduled meeting last Friday • Hellenic Bank: NPE portfolio sale • Ekspress Grupp: proposes a share buyback programme • Orange Polska: 1Q22E - 2% adjusted EBITDAaL increase expected (due on 25 April) • STS Group: 4Q21E results preview - 25% yoy EBITDA drop from a high base (due on 27 Apri...
HEADLINES: • GTC: solid results, in line with expectations, FFO I reaches EUR 74m for the year POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: meets FY21 targets, guiding for flat FY22E recurring EBITDA • Romania macro: monetary tightening cycle continues • Transgaz: proposes RON 14.82 DPS (6.9% dividend yield), reflecting 93% dividend payout ratio POSITIVE • Purcari Wineries: calls GMS to approve RON 0.51 DPS, share buyback and share capital increase • PGE: Polish state agrees to buy up to PLN 3.2bn of...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
HEADLINES: • Addiko Bank: outlook remains good, despite increased risks (stays BUY) • Huuuge Games: 4Q21 adjusted EBITDA 6% above our expectations and 8% ahead of the consensus POSITIVE • Kernel: 2Q22 results slightly better than expected, balance sheet position remains strong POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: 4Q21 results review - a softer quarter • Alro: takeaways from the FY21 earnings call • Fondul Proprietatea: Ministry of Energy confirms agreement on Hidroelectrica GMS to approve listin...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: call takeaways - sound card base recovery & normalising activity, but SG&A pressure NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: blocks its games in Russia and Belarus NEGATIVE • Wizz Air: expects to fly slightly lower capacity in 1H FY23E, commences hedging NEUTRAL • Kernel: update on current operations • Purcari Wineries: management assesses risk of war spilling over into Moldova as extremely remote • Electrica: sues regulator for recognition of a price below the market for grid...
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