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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Montea Montea invests in two new prime locations in NL

Montea invests EUR 29.7m in two prime locations in the Netherlands. In Diemen, Montea has acquired a highly coveted plot comprising c. 28k sqm, which will be let on a long-term lease to the current tenant. In Oss, Montea will develop a distribution center for Vos Logistics. This will add to the company's two existing properties in the same area. Montea targets to achieve an average initial yield of 6.9% across the two investments. Montea recently updated its Track27 program and estimated that 35...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime

>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...

>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+6)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Cofinimmo: Dividend and investment neutrality reconfirmed. KPN: 3Q24 preview. Melexis: 3Q24 Preview, some auto weakness expected. Montea: Sound results, no sign of tenants slow down. Proximus: Small 3Q24 beat and guidance increase on Domestic, DIGI late arrival; Data centers sold in sale and lease back. Signify: 3Q24 results, some sequential improvement Wereldhave: Strong Dutch LFL growth, guidance confirmed Xior Student Housing: Stronger organic trends

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Montea 9M24 Results, no signs of market distress

Net Rental Income 9m24 came in line with our expectation at 83.2m vs. 83.8m. Like-for-like growth over 3Q24 stood at 3.4%. EPRA EPS of 3.53 is perfectly on track to reach the FY24 target of 4.73 (incl. 0.18 from FBI). Montea also confirmed FY25 EPRA EPS at 4.75. The lease renewal rate stood at 92%, so recent fears about tough market conditions in the Benelux are overdone. Another positive effect is a flat Net Initial yield at 5.1% after a period of regular yield expansion. LTV% remains in the sa...

Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

Montea : Q3 2024 results: challenges in signing new leases, leading to...

>Projects in execution declines; landbank declines; EPS outlook reiterated - Deployment of land bank decreases: € 132m capex in execution (H1: €214m); for € 260m capex ‘permit obtained, not yet pre-let’ (H1 2024: €260m); € 40m ‘pre-let, permit expected in due course’ (H1 2024: €40m). €83m in developments were delivered in Q3.Outlook recurring activities reiterated: EPRA EPS € 4.55 (FY2024) and €4.90 (FY2025).Total land bank came down to 1.8m sqm (H1 2024: 2....

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ATEB BB, MTLS US, MONT BB, PROX BB, QFG BB, TINC BB, X...

: ATEB BB, MTLS US, MONT BB, PROX BB, QFG BB, TINC BB, XFAB FP, XIOR BB, DEME BB

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+3)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Montea Montea monte la barre (raises the bar)

On the CMD in June, Montea already earmarked the French market as a prime target for growth. Rumours soon surfaced about Montea bidding for a logistic portfolio from Tristan Partners. The “Reverso” portfolio is a subset of a portfolio that Tristan Capital opportunistically acquired in 2020 in a sale-lease-back from Jacky Perrenot (after LBO). Montea increases the scale of its portfolio in France significantly. The deal is announced at a yield of 5.6%, but Montea believes it can crank the yield o...

Christophe Chaput ... (+3)
  • Christophe Chaput
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : The recovery is only beginning and the best is yet to come

The rate cut carried out and yet to come (ECB: -125bp to -150bp to come by end-2025e) is a real driver for listed real estate and creates the conditions enabling it to outperform. In this context, we are lifting 23 target prices for the 42 stocks covered. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing are now our Top Picks. Aedifica (Outperform vs Neutral) should also benefit. Lastly, we are lowering Care Property to Neutral and SFL to Underperform. - >...

Christophe Chaput ... (+3)
  • Christophe Chaput
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : La reprise ne fait que commencer et le meilleur est à venir

La baisse de taux actée et à venir (BCE : -125 à 150 pb à venir d’ici fin 2025e) agit comme un véritable catalyseur pour l’immobilier côté et crée les conditions lui permettant de surperformer. Dans ce cadre, nous relevons 23 objectifs de cours sur 42 valeurs suivies. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing constituent désormais nos top picks. Aedifica (Surperformance vs Neutre) devrait également en bénéficier. Enfin, nous abaissons Care Property à N...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM International: Promising next generation SiC Epi system. Exor: Read-across for Stellantis' profit warning. Montea: FBI recognition for 2023. OCI: Sale of Clean Ammonia to Woodside closed. UCB: Positive KOL feedback in Hidradenitis Suppurativa

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