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Francesca Ferragina
  • Francesca Ferragina

Benelux Real Estate sector update/Wind of change

With an improving macroeconomic outlook and companies trading at appealing multiples, we are positive on the Benelux real estate sector (current discount to 2024F NAV of 25.6% vs average 2019-23 premium of 4% for our coverage universe). We believe the transaction market is set to reopen as companies step out of defensive mode with valuations stabilising and balance sheets in order. Following some first meaningful deals seen in 4Q24, we expect more to come. During 2025, we expect the attention to...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Development pipeline update. NN Group: Weaker Sol 2, Cap Gen on solid track though. Staffing: Hays' 2Q24/25 trading - slight beat, underlying weaker, 1H25 outlook below. Vonovia: Deutsche Wohnen disposal of nursing company Pflegen & Wohnen. WDP: New office in Paris. Zabka: Biedronka FY24 sales

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Elia Group Stop the value destruction, time to reconsider

Elia is caught is a vicious value destruction circle and should reconsider its strategy. The company has aligned its Capex with the grid development plans that are in turn based on valid net-zero ambitions. These are no longer supported by the populist political environment (despite Valencia/LA fires). Our assumptions were relatively conservative as we assumed Elia could raise capital at around EUR 100 per share. In June 2022, a rights issue raised 590m at 124.5 per share. The market is now sign...

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

TINC Datacenter United valuation post merger with Proximus' PDC busine...

TINC announced that regulatory approvals were received for the strategic transactions involving the partial sale of Datacenter United to Cordiant Digital Infrastructure Limited (CORD) and acquisition of the data centre business of Proximus Group by Datacenter United. Given the rise and subsequent proliferation of AI across various sectors, we expect Datacenter United (DCU) to become an important growth component within TINC's overall portfolio. In its press release, CORD provided critical data p...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Stephane Houri
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

TINC DCU Divestment & Acquisition Of Proximus' PDC Business Get Approv...

TINC announced that both the partial sale of Datacenter United (to Cordiant Digital Infrastructure Limited) and the acquisition of Proximus' datacenter business by Datacenter United have received regulatory approvals. The remaining conditions to closing relate to the transfer of the relevant businesses and the closing of both transactions. The transactions are expected to be closed during 1Q 2025. The transactions will have a positive impact of €0.55ps (Cap. Gain of ~€20.0m) to the last reported...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - December 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -3.1% d...

1M Performance - Absolute: During Dec'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -3.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (-4.3%) while single-asset holdings posted a significantly less negative return of -0.6%. The 3 top performers during the period were D'Ieteren Group (+26.6%), Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (+7.0%) and KBC Ancora (+7.0%) while the 3 worst performers were Exor (-5.4%), Heineken Holding (-3.6%) and Gimv (-1.1%). FY24 Performance - Relative: During ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+2)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter

ODDO : La baisse des taux d’intérêt favorise l’immobilier : nos top pi...

Le maintien d’un environnement baissier des taux d’intérêt devrait être porteur pour le secteur immobilier en 2025 et lui permettre de continuer à surperformer. Dans ce contexte, nous privilégions le commerce et le résidentiel allemand , qualifiés de «safe haven» et plus spécifiquement Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing pour un potentiel moyen de +30%. Elles sont les plus à même pour nous d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance / repositionnement. Nous abaisson...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+2)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter

ODDO : Interest rate winds favor real estate: Our top picks for 2025

An environment of further interest rate decline is set to underpin the real estate sector in 2025 and see it continue to outperform. On this basis, we prefer retail and the German residential market, which are seen as safe havens, more specifically Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing for an average upside of +30%. They are the best positioned, as we see it, to execute their growth/repositioning strategies. We have downgraded Branicks, Cofinimmo, Icade and Patr...

Aedifica: 3 directors

Three Directors at Aedifica bought 2,214 shares at between 54.400EUR and 54.636EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 59/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Elia: New CEO appointed; close to home. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex November 2024 box office revenue at 94% of 2019, up 41% YoY

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Wim Lewi
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
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