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Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

Xior Student Housing : From leverage constraints to growth gains, a po...

>Positive tone on Capital Markets Day - Last week Xior showcased its Basecamp portfolio in Copenhagen (Denmark) and Malmo (Sweden) during its Capital Markets Day. The company is close to solving its leverage issues, while issues pressuring the share price in 2022 and 2023 have been resolved. Highlights to us were the strong visibility on future like-for-like growth and the quality of its Basecamp product. We think the Xior platform is one of the best growth platforms...

Care Property Invest: 3 directors

Three Directors at Care Property Invest bought 6,135 shares at between 12.260EUR and 12.560EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors o...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime

>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+5)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...

>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...

Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Risk of SOCIMI abolishment Fear of the SOCIMI abolishment stresses Eur...

Yesterday Spanish media reported on the potential abolishment of the SOCIMI status. The proposal comes from PSOE (socialists) and Sumar (Left winged). This is the REIT regime for listed companies that alows for a tax exemption. If this is the case corporate income tax would increase from 0% to 25%. It is very important to note that this measure is not yet approved. There is no visiblity yet on a potential alternative system. Additionally, measurements (cost shifts) could be taken to decrease the...

Francesca Ferragina
  • Francesca Ferragina

Xior Student Housing/A focus on growth/BUY

Xior organised interesting Capital Market Days in Copenhagen and Malmo this week. We had the chance to visit 3 assets (part of the Basecamp deal). Various presentations focused on 9M results, the Danish market and the student housing market in general. The current strategy focus in on internal growth, via price management. With a significant shortage of housing in the market and inelastic demand, we think organic growth will continue to be robust in 2025. There is a generally positive attitude t...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Xior CMD Feedback, Basecamp DNA is an upgrade for Xior

Xior invited us to Copenhagen and Malmo to visit 3 properties out of the ex-Basecamp portfolio and presentations on other regions. The Basecamp deal transforms the DNA of Xior that can be replicated on a large part of the old portfolio. It also serves as an integration platform for acquisitions. While the timing of the deal hurt the company badly, there is an amount of goodwill (knowledge) that can be further monetized in higher rents and margins. The Basecamp “by Xior” platform caters largely ...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB...

: AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB, TESB BB, ALFEN NA

Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Care Property Invest 3Q24 results: +2% guidance increase

Care Property invest reports its 3Q24 slightly above our expectations and increases its FY24 guidance by 2% The dividend guidance remains stable at 1.0 DPS as the pay-out ratio is high. Operationally the company is performing in line with our expectations. The difference comes from slightly lower other opex (including settlement with a developer in 1Q24) and slightly lower financing costs. The debt ratio of CPINV remains high at 48.2% (excl leases at FV) or 45.5% LTV (incl leases at FV). This li...

Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

Care Property Invest : Q3 2024 results: Upgraded EPS guidance, with st...

>EPS outlook 2% up; cost of debt down; underlying metrics remain solid - FY 2024 outlook raised +2.4%, now being adj. EPRA EPS of € 1.05 (vs €1.025 before) and the company maintains the intention to pay a gross dividend of €1.00/sh.Variations in fair value of investment properties were -/- €2.1m for 9M 2024 and flat for Q3.Indexation (like-for-like rental growth) was 1.7%, similar to H1 given the majority of leases having added indexation in January.EPR...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...

With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...

Jean-François Granjon ... (+2)
  • Jean-François Granjon
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/30/2024

The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...

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