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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...

Care Property Invest: 3 directors

Three Directors at Care Property Invest bought 6,135 shares at between 12.260EUR and 12.560EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors o...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime

>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...

>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...

Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Risk of SOCIMI abolishment Fear of the SOCIMI abolishment stresses Eur...

Yesterday Spanish media reported on the potential abolishment of the SOCIMI status. The proposal comes from PSOE (socialists) and Sumar (Left winged). This is the REIT regime for listed companies that alows for a tax exemption. If this is the case corporate income tax would increase from 0% to 25%. It is very important to note that this measure is not yet approved. There is no visiblity yet on a potential alternative system. Additionally, measurements (cost shifts) could be taken to decrease the...

Cor Kluis
  • Cor Kluis

Adyen NV : The >20% revenue growth path is continuing well

>Conclusion: The >20% revenue growth path is continuing well - The 3Q24 net revenue growth of +21% yoy (cc) was 1-2pp less than we expected. As a consequence of the reduction of business of one single low revenue (high TPV / low take rate) client the Q3 TPV was lower and the take rate was higher. Most important is that the revenue growth remains at the >+20% level. The limited FTE growth and focus on profitable clients increases our confidence in the EBITDA margin exp...

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

NEXI Q3 (Neutral, TP: EUR7.2, +24%)/ Euro Payments wrap; Legacy limpin...

Volumes continue to be soft, if stable, for “legacy” players with Nexi reporting 3% y/y volume growth in Q3 (as in Q2) - identical trends to Worldline (see Q3 write up HERE) . Adyen volumes are of course well ahead; whilst legacy players confront macro pressures, and more, Adyen’s ability to gain share is both notable – and indeed essential for the equity story.

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Smart Grids under control, but tough charging equipment market...

>Feedback analyst conference call - Alfen’s analyst call was hosted by CEO Marco Roeleveld, CCO Michele Lesh and CFO Onno Krab. Key topics were the following:Outlook per sector:- Smart Grid Solutions, substation production is to increase to c. 100 per week in Q4, but in H1 2025 will drop back to 70 per week because of customer constraints. Hopes H2 2025 to be able to up production further, but dependent on clients. Key clients are the grid operators as small...

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

GBL Capital Markets Day

Yesterday, GBL hosted its CMD which included some 2027E targets for the approximate allocations to different sub-portfolios – what stood out was that the weight of listed assets would reduce from 60.0%+ currently to approximately 50.0% while private assets (direct private + GBL capital) could reach a weight of 55.0% (upper-end) within GBL's portfolio. We think that a private asset weight of more than 50.0% would make GBL more attractive since its portfolio will be only one of the few ways to gai...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

CMB.TECH (Hold, TP: USD14.10) - Diversification at a cost

CMB.TECH’s diversified and ‘future-proof’ approach may prove attractive in steadily managing shipping cycles, changing fundamentals and stricter environmental regulations. However, diversification also comes at a price, and its heavy newbuild programme is straining its balance sheet and the outlook for dividends. Thus, we currently see greater upside potential in its pure crude tanker peers. We reiterate our HOLD and have lowered our target price to USD14.1 (16.3).

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Smart Grids under control, but tough charging equipment market...

>Feedback analyst conference call - Alfen’s analyst call was hosted by CEO Marco Roeleveld, CCO Michele Lesh and CFO Onno Krab. Key topics were the following:Outlook per sector:- Smart Grid Solutions, substation production is to increase to c. 100 per week in Q4, but in H1 2025 will drop back to 70 per week because of customer constraints. Hopes H2 2025 to be able to up production further, but dependent on clients. Key clients are the grid operators as small...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

AALBERTS : Upping estimates and TP modestly after encouraging trading ...

>Trading update positive: positive volume trends, restructuring + M&A - Aalbert’s trading update was encouraging at all levels. The volume decline in Building Tech (BT) was much less than expected and is now on a course to become positive in H1 of 2025. The deterioration of volume in Industrial Tech (IT) was also more modest than assumed, signalling a solid performance of Semicon (high to mid single digit organic growth and a solid performance of Surface Technologies)...

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

ADYEN US (BUY, TP: EUR1,700, +28%) Adyen - Q3 and a volatile day; cal...

After a rollercoaster day, the stock seems to have landed in a sensible place: small miss, small down. We thought the earnings call was solid, as good as we were likely to get, management sounding confident on accelerating growth into FY 25.

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