Louisiana was the second state to release their final proposal at the end of last week. Virginia just beat Louisiana and was the first. Louisiana Local Fiber Consortium, which includes T-Mobile, was the big winner again. Surprisingly, Comcast was the only large Cable operator among the winners. The ILECs won less than we expected. Fiber continues to be the technology of choice for BEAD. In this short note, we discuss the proposal, compare the results with our estimates from Broadband Insights da...
A director at Charter Communications Inc sold 162,694 shares at 378.500USD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...
In this installment of our Autumn for Broadband series, we provide a quick update on trends in the broadband market based on what we have seen from the companies that have reported so far. Net adds remained nearly flat compared to a year ago (when adjusted for ACP impact) but were within the pre-pandemic norm. Industry subscriber trends have mostly stabilized over the past 3 quarters, but y/y growth remains below pre-pandemic levels.
This note belatedly covers 2Q results and model update. We also provide thoughts on EBITDA growth for the year along with other industry / Charter-specific themes emerging from the results. The major changes to the model are higher broadband losses and lower EBITDA in 2025. FCF is higher. We are close to consensus on EBITDA and slightly above on FCF. Our near-term price target is $450 (+60%).
Charter and Comcast announced that they have signed an MVNO with T-Mobile that will target new business customers (here). In this quick note we provide thoughts on implications for Verizon, T-Mobile, Charter, Comcast, and the industry more broadly.
This report provides a detailed update to our fiber forecast, with implications for the Fiber and Cable operators. The analysis suggests a strong incentive for Mobile and Cable operators to continue to consolidate assets. The analysis leverages the latest release of FCC data coupled with new features and data sets that have been built into Broadband Insights.
We hosted the second webcast of our AI transforming Industries series a few weeks ago. We had a fantastic conversation with Vipul Ved Prakash, CEO of together.ai, a GPU “Neo-Cloud” with tens of thousands of Nvidia GPUs deployed, powering open-source models and high-performance AI workloads at scale. Please see the link below our top thoughts on the back of this conversation, along with a full transcript.
Advance / Newhouse filed their latest Charter ownership disclosure earlier today. The buyback amount of $1.7BN for the quarter was almost double the Consensus estimate of $0.9BN. It is a touch below our estimate of $1.8BN, but we were miles ahead of Consensus. Buyback estimates for the quarter and the year should be revised higher.
We have updated the price targets for our coverage as a result of the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Prior to the bill becoming law, we had already added the value of tax reform to our price targets on a probability-weighted basis. We have now increased the probability from 75% to 100%.
We hosted the third webcast of our AI transforming Industries series last week. We had a fantastic conversation with Ketan Karkhanis, CEO of ThoughtSpot on how AI is disrupting business analytics. Please see the link below our top thoughts on the back of this conversation, along with a full transcript.
Capex ROI is the trending question these days, but what does it actually mean? In a “replatforming”, capex are enablers of revenue growth and productivity enhancements, as long as they are the foundation for a good “right to make money” (a defensible competitive advantage) and meet good demand. Our “Special Replatforming Theory” looks at how it has been at play for a decade already at hyperscalers, and how we expect the next 10 years to play out, with AI bringing an even more capital-intensive...
Earlier this month, as expected, Secretary of Commerce Lutnick released new rules for BEAD, requiring all the states to rebid and prioritizing the lowest cost option. Our initial reaction was that the new rules would shift funds from fiber to satellite, a negative for wired providers including CMSCA, CHTR, T, and VZ/FYBR. We still think that but in talking to numerous stakeholders, that magnitude of the shift may be less than we initially thought. In this note we examine two themes that have ...
Two Directors at Cisco Systems Inc sold 24,404 shares at between 65.521USD and 65.536USD. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over th...
While we have been intensively focused on such things as a Presidential intervention to prevent a Chapter 11, we admit that our mind occasionally drifts to thoughts of summer. So to help others who may have similar thoughts, we thought, in honor of summer beginning, we should provide our thoughts as to which alcohols pair best with the purchase of the stocks we cover (actually, we just asked ChatGPT and, given its attitude about intellectual property, we have no fears about just cutting and pas...
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