T CEO John Stankey recently said that “I’ve never seen federal policy this supportive of market-based investment in advanced networks.” That statement raises multiple interesting investor related questions about what does, and does not, support investment in advanced networks, including the relative importance of those policies that drive supply and those that drive demand, and how government is treating advanced networks versus networks that have lower cost structures but also involve lower pe...
We believe that positive EBITDA growth and strong FCF per share growth this year mean that Charter’s stock is due for a positive revaluation. In this note, we review changes to our estimates, and comparisons with guidance and consensus. We have also updated our target valuation for Charter. Our revised price target is $328 (+47% from the close). Please see separate notes reviewing results and thoughts following the earnings call. Our broadband subscriber and total EBITDA estimates remain nearly ...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Our portfolio of Top Picks has started 2026 strongly, up 6% ytd already. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
We shared our view of Charter’s results this morning. Subscriber and EBITDA results were better than expected. In this note following the earnings call and our follow-up conversations, we address the following key investor issues including 1) broadband subscriber trends; 2) price increases and broadband ARPU; 3) EBITDA growth; 4) amended MVNO agreement; and 5) Leverage.
Charter’s broadband losses were better than expected. Revenue missed but EBITDA beat estimates on lower costs. We expect the stock to trade up on these results, but where it winds up for the day will depend on commentary around 1Q subscriber trends and 2026 EBITDA guide. A reassurance that Charter will grow EBITDA in 2026 would be good for the stock.
With the CHTR/Cox deal moving towards approval and CMCSA out of running for WBD, we are again getting questions as to whether CMCSA could buy the combined CHTR/Cox entity. Further, as our New Street colleagues discussed yesterday, there has been a divergence in the stock price performances of Comcast and Charter driven by a potential ‘value unlock’ resulting from a potential split of Comcast cable from NBCU. It is beyond the scope of our expertise to analyze the financial details that could jus...
Tower revenue trends were slightly slower across the board except for Indus Towers as it benefited again from VIL’s network catch up spend. EBITDA margins were roughly stable across EM except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation. Africa continue to perform well and the LatAm Towers space had a decent Q3.
We are taking 3Q25 results and the most recent cNPS data and laying out our latest thinking and forecasts ahead of 4Q results. We expect 4Q results and attendant 2026 guidance to contain material information value for investors and we wanted to share our latest forecasts, data, and trends as a starting point as we navigate this impactful season.
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