HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...
We maintain our BUY on Modivo (formerly CCC), but cut our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 142, from PLN 227. Following the successful introduction of its own off-price concept and licensed brands, Modivo switched to another gear, but encountered a wall of weak demand, triggered by a decline in the propensity to consume and the unfavourable weather. From the peak of its inventories in 3Q24, the company has reduced its rotation by 10%, at the expense of a 160bps gross margin investment in FY25E. Stil...
HEADLINES: • European Oil and Gas Monthly: February 2026 – trouble brewing in Hormuz • EME Macro/Strategy: Hungary – the Tisza policy programme • cyber_Folks: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 72% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Shoper: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 14% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 3% above our expectations POSITIVE • Vercom: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 25% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: outlook imp...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 4Q25 miss, due mainly to allegations about food safety in Czechia NEGATIVE • Kruk: 4Q25 results – bit of a mixed bag • Text: 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – EBITDA down 25% yoy, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Enea: impairments and higher provisions to reduce 2025 net income by PLN 1.37bn and EBITDA by PLN 162m NEUTRAL • CTP: 4Q25 results and conference call • Richter: 4Q25 beat, on gross margin and tight opex control POSITIVE • Duna House: 4Q25 in line, guidance implies ...
A director at Grupa Kęty S.A. sold 600 shares at 1,065.170PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 62/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
EM corporate reporting season is in full swing. We review the most important updates among the corporates we cover: Sisecam, Erdemir, Ford Otosan and three UAE real estate/development companies - Emaar, Aldar Properties and Omniyat Holdings. We also reopen a trade idea in WESODA bonds, as the ultimate shareholder-related risks now appear resolved. Despite a somewhat weak outlook for 2026, we expect WESODA to return to the debt capital markets with an interesting transaction.
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy Exploration (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Momentum accelerating. Potential resources increase in Austria – The Welchau‑1 well is scheduled for re‑entry in February to test the Reifling reservoir. An acid stimulation will be performed on the perforated interval to address wellbore damage and improve productivity in the carbonate section. The operation should also yield additional insight into the deeper Welchau...
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