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Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash – Lamda Development: another land plot sales tranche, to li...

Lamda has announced the sale of another tranche of land plots within the Ellinikon. It is selling land with a buildable area of up to 86k sqm, with uses ranging from residential (30k sqm), office space (37k sqm) and educational institutions (20k sqm). The selling price of EUR 120m exceeds the current book value of the plots (EUR 37m) significantly, again. In addition to the cash inflows, the deal should also front-load the P&L recognition of the profits from the Ellinikon, driving c.EUR 82m of a...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ALARABIA AB; NOVAL GA; MOH GA; CAR PW; LAMDA GA; MBK PW; C...

HEADLINES: • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: waiting for better times (downgraded to HOLD) • Noval Property: 1H24 – recurring results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: fire at refinery NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: another land plot sales tranche, to lift NAV by 6% POSITIVE • mBank: UniCredit seeks regulator's approval to reach 30% stake in Commerzbank • CTP: raises EUR 300m through an ABB, at EUR 16.0/share • 11...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; LAMDA GA; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; BOCH LN

HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: margins and fares normalising, after stellar 2023 (stays HOLD) • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (9-15 September) • Bank of Cyprus: AGM approves delisting from the LSE, and relisting on the ATHEX POSITIVE • Short News (CEZ, RICHT)

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash – Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, ca...

The tenant sales performance at the existing malls remains solid (up 6% vs. 1H23), and the progress on selling down the Little Athens apartments has been fast, with prices ahead of the budgeted levels. We also understand that the leasing demand for the two Ellinikon malls has been very strong, and we see some upside for the rent levels we were budgeting for in our initiation on the stock (June 2023). With the rates coming down, this should have a positive impact on the future valuations of the E...

Jakub Caithaml ... (+2)
  • Jakub Caithaml
  • Peter Palovic

Aegean Airlines: margins and fares normalising, after stellar 2023 (st...

We maintain our HOLD rating on Aegean Airlines, adjusting our 12M price target (PT) to EUR 11.0/share, implying 2% upside. In 3Q24E, we expect the RASK to drop 3% yoy, driven by high competition, industry-wide pressure on fares, and the high base of last year. This will likely put some pressure on profitability. We pencil in the 3Q24E EBITDA margin to fall 4ppts yoy, to 31%, driven by a weaker RASK and higher ex-fuel unit costs (due mainly to GTF engine inspections) in the key summer quarter. De...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LAMDA GA; CZG CP; PKN PW; VGO PW; KMGZ KZ; PCO PW

HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: 1H24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • Orlen: discussing possible deals for Grupa Azoty’s polyolefins business NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: signs a conditional agreement with the EIB for the financing of the HyperPIC project NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: begins construction of a polyethylene complex NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 4Q24E trading update preview (due on 26 September)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KTY PW; AEGN GA; LPP PW

HEADLINES: • Kety: casting a wider net abroad (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Aegean Airlines: 2Q24 – pressure on EBITDA less severe than we anticipated POSITIVE • LPP: 2Q24E results preview – EBITDA growth deceleration to 8% yoy (due on 25 September)

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash - Aegean Airlines: to invest up to EUR 50m in Volotea, coul...

Aegean Airlines has announced that it may be buying up to a 21% stake in Volotea, investing up to EUR 50m via convertible notes, in two tranches of Volotea capital increases. At this stage, we see this mostly as a financial investment. That said, the two carriers will also be cross-selling each other’s tickets, and Volotea may use Aegean’s maintenance facilities and its flight simulators. Privately-owned, we have not found Volotea's recent financial statements, so we cannot assess the implied mu...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Czech PX index in positive te...

EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BOCH LN; BHW PW; TXT PW; SFG RO; M RO; ELPE GA; MBR PW; NO...

HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: room for further rerating (stays BUY) • Bank Handlowy: writes down remaining goodwill on retail banking fully in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • Text: 1Q24-25 (calendar 2Q24) results – EBITDA down 2% yoy, but 5% above the consensus POSITIVE • Sphera Group: strong 2Q24 results, as expected NEUTRAL • MedLife: 2Q24 confirms operational earnings recovery, net profits still weak NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q24 results – weak net income, due to one-off costs NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings cal...

Can Demir ... (+2)
  • Can Demir
  • Miguel Dias

Bank of Cyprus: room for further rerating (stays BUY)

Following the 2Q24 results, BOCH raised its 2024E guidance, driven by better-than-expected trends and a more favourable interest rate outlook. We have revised our 2024E and 2025E net income estimates by 14% and 4%, respectively. The bank plans to improve its market visibility by delisting from the London Stock Exchange (LSE) and relisting on the Athens Stock Exchange (ATHEX). Despite a 24% rerating post-2Q24 earnings, we believe the valuation remains attractive, with our 2024E multiples of 4.8x ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CCOLA TI; HSBK LI; BOCH LN; CCC PW; DNP PW; KAP LI

HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: mixed results in 2Q24; 2024E guidance revised downwards NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: 2Q24 highlights – quarter in line, margin makes up for soft COR and fee growth • Bank of Cyprus: to hold EGM on 13 September • CCC: to purchase 2.5% Modivo shares for PLN 100m NEUTRAL • Dino: 2Q24E preview – 4% yoy EBITDA erosion expected (due on 22 August) • Kazatomprom: 2Q24E results preview (due on 26 August) NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ESLT IT; AQ RO; IGN1L LH; DIGI RO; ETEL EY; PL Macro; RO M...

HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 2Q24 results – strong growth, and improved cash flows and margins POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: earnings remain on target for FY24E POSITIVE • Ignitis Group: raises FY24E adjusted EBITDA guidance after the 2Q24 results POSITIVE • DIGI Communications: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Telecom Egypt: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Poland macro: flash GDP surprises positively • Romania macro: 2Q GDP flash estimate underperfo...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OTP HB; BOCH LN; BVB RO; MOL HB; MTELEKOM HB; CEZ CP; CAR ...

HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: 2Q24 results broadly in line, FY24E guidance unchanged, new taxes in Hungary to bite a little NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: 2Q24 highlights POSITIVE • Bucharest Stock Exchange: good volumes drive solid bottom-line delivery in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • MOL: 2Q24 results NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • CEZ: takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call POSITIVE • Inter Cars: July sales growth jumps to 18% yoy, after disappointing May-June POSITIVE • DI...

Can Demir
  • Can Demir

WOOD Flash – Bank of Cyprus: 2Q24 highlights

Bank of Cyprus (BOCH) has reported EUR 138m in net income in 2Q24 (EUR 270m in 1H24) and posted a positive set of results, particularly on the NIM and COR fronts compared to our 2024E expectations and its own guidance. Management has also upgraded the guidance and announced its intentions to delist from LSE and relist on the Athens Stock Exchange (ATHEX), to find more liquidity for the stock. We rate Bank of Cyprus a BUY, with a price target (PT) of GBp 451/share, and we like the results. The ba...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greek ASE – best performer in July

EME Equity Market – July 2024 Greece the biggest winner, while Poland the clear loser in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.1% in EUR terms and 0.3% in USD terms in July. The Greek ASE Index posted the best performance for the month, advancing by 5.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a broadly similar performance in Hungary, Czechia and Romania (+ 2.9%, 2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Turkish ISE30 Index declined by 1.6% mom in EUR terms, but the clear loser was the Polis...

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO SHOPER SA
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MIL PW; BDX PW; EMEA Airlines; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; ...

HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: 2Q24 – big beat on headline profit, underlying results largely in line NEUTRAL • Budimex: preliminary 2Q24 EBIT in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • EMEA airlines: 2Q24 traffic; summertime sadness • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (22-28 July) • Text: secures new (fifth) patent in the US POSITIVE • Arcelik: change of CFO NEUTRAL • Greek banks: 2Q24E previews (reporting season starts on 31 July) POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q24E preview – flat adjusted EBITD...

Jakub Caithaml ... (+2)
  • Jakub Caithaml
  • Peter Palovic

WOOD Flash – EMEA airlines: 2Q24 traffic; summertime sadness

For the European airlines, the past two months have been marked by concerns over pricing, as July demand surprised on the downside. Difficult weather, ATC capacity not keeping up with the industry growth, and the CrowdStrike software glitch all led to elevated levels of long delays and non-completions, which is weighing on customer satisfaction and which may be another drag on profitability. A number of airlines have published profit warnings (perhaps most notably Ryanair, which said, last week,...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LAMDA GA; MYTIL GA; GPP PW; CBF PW; VRC PW

HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: closes sale of Ellinikon resi land plots for EUR 106m POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1H24 results – a glimpse into a much-improved future POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q24E preview – flat yoy adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 29 August) • cyber_Folks: 2Q24E preview – 16% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 3 September) • Vercom: 2Q24E preview – 31% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 3 September)

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash – Lamda Development: closes sale of Ellinikon resi land plo...

Lamda has closed the sale of five Ellinikon land plots for EUR 106m. We see the sale (which was flagged in advance, and which has been closed broadly in line on both timing and price) as positive. The transaction front loads P&L gains (c.EUR 76m, or EUR 0.4/share, a 5% NAV uplift), as well as cash inflows from the Ellinikon (c.EUR 106m, EUR 0.6/share, or c.8% of the company's market cap), and de-risks the project.

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