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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Macro; NRP NA; TXT PW; MIL PW; APR PW; PL Telecoms; ELM...

HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP on a protracted hold • NEPI Rockcastle: sells Promenada Novi Sad in Serbia for EUR 177m POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 1Q24-25 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 518m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 2Q24E NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: June sales growth at 11% yoy, below our expectations NEGATIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • Elm: announces resignation of CEO and new CEO appointment NEUTRAL • Greek...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TXT PW; MOH GA; ADNOCDRI UH; KRKG SV

HEADLINES: • Text: 1Q24-25 (calendar 2Q24) preliminary results – USD 22.6m preliminary cash flow (up 12% yoy, 4% qoq) POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: to sell EUR 18.2m worth of Ellaktor shares (ELLAKTOR GA), as Reggeborgh exercises call option POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: awarded USD 733m contract for three new rigs POSITIVE • Krka: 2018 appeal against EU perindopril anticompetition case overturned NEUTRAL • Short News (HTO)

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: another positive month for most EM...

EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TXT PW; TL Macro; PKO PW; PL Macro; SPL PW; WIZZ LN; PPC G...

HEADLINES: • Text: 4Q23-24 (calendar 1Q24) results – EBITDA down 12% yoy, 11% below our forecast NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: giving credit where credit is due, but keep realistic lags in mind • PKO BP: partial resolutions of AGM, dividend approved, AGM paused • Poland macro: CPI well-behaved, wage growth still soaring • Santander Bank Polska: 2Q24 CHF mortgage saga charges of PLN 1,109m NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: calls to improve Air Traffic Control in Europe in wake of delays NEGATIVE • Public Power Cor...

Gek Terna S.A.: 2 directors

Two Directors at Gek Terna S.A. sold 90,000 shares at 16.600EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; CTPNV NA; EU Macro; TL Macro; CZ Macro; GPW PW; CP...

HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q24E CHF mortgage saga cost at PLN 1bn NEGATIVE • CTP: issues EUR 500m unsecured loan at 4.7% fixed, buys back EUR 500m of outstanding bonds POSITIVE • Europe macro: June surveys confirm stagnant industry, but rising inflation expectations • Türkiye macro: CBT extends the hawkish hold • Czech Republic macro: CNB preparing the ground for slower rate cuts • Warsaw Stock Exchange: OGM approves dividend of PLN 3/share NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: to invest in 500 MW wind farm proje...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OTP HB; RICHT HB; TL Macro

HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: just too much of a discount (upgraded to BUY) • Richter: takeaways from the Women’s Healthcare call NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: good tourism data ahead of the summer this year • Short News (MTELEKOM)

Natalia Svyriadi
  • Natalia Svyriadi

Aegean Airlines | Flying high

Another upgrade on more resilient yields – 2024 looks set to be far more resilient than embedded in our previous estimates, given the strong demand and reasonable capacity additions in the remainder of the year. The improved outlook is manifested in our upgraded 2024e, where we fine tune our unit revenue assumption now envisaging flat yields yoy. On the cost side, we factor in the agreement with Pratt & Whitney on a compensation scheme for the grounding of the Airbus Family neo fleet, underlying...

Natalia Svyriadi
  • Natalia Svyriadi

Aegean Airlines | Flying high

Another upgrade on more resilient yields – 2024 looks set to be far more resilient than embedded in our previous estimates, given the strong demand and reasonable capacity additions in the remainder of the year. The improved outlook is manifested in our upgraded 2024e, where we fine tune our unit revenue assumption now envisaging flat yields yoy. On the cost side, we factor in the agreement with Pratt & Whitney on a compensation scheme for the grounding of the Airbus Family neo fleet, underlying...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Eurowag (stays BUY), OMV AV, GEKTERNA GA/TENERGY GA

HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): migration season starts now (stays BUY) • OMV: the company and its Partners have been awarded a second CO2 storage licence in Norway • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • Terna Energy: coverage discontinued • Short News (WPL, MTELEKOM)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Eurowag (stays BUY), OMV AV, GEKTERNA GA/TENERGY GA

HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): migration season starts now (stays BUY) • OMV: the company and its Partners have been awarded a second CO2 storage licence in Norway • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • Terna Energy: coverage discontinued • Short News (WPL, MTELEKOM)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Flash - GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu D...

On 20 June, GEK Terna announced the long-rumoured sale of 36.59%-owned Terna Energy (TENERGY) to Masdar, the United Arab Emirates green energy vehicle, at EUR 20.0/share. Following the deal, Masdar will launch a mandatory public offer to acquire the minorities, also at EUR 20.0/share, with the whole process expected to be concluded towards the year end. The deal implies an EV/EBITDA multiple of about 16x on our 2024E estimates, but leaving aside the crystallisation of value, the sale makes stron...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Türkiye - inflation accounting, ELPE GA/MOH GA, GEKTERNA G...

HEADLINES: • EME Strategy: Türkiye - inflation accounting - demystifying the enigma • Greek refiners: Finance Ministry to impose an unexpected windfall tax on refiners • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • LPP: the Prosecutor’s office has opened an investigation against Hindenburg Research • Uzbekistan macro: notes from our recent trip • Short news (MTELEKOM)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SNP RO, RICHT HB, MIL PW, KRU PW, PCF PW, 11B PW

HEADLINES: • OMV Petrom: strategy update • Richter: acquires Belgian BCI Pharma to identify WHC preclinical drug candidates • Bank Millennium: ends repair programme • Kruk: announces a portfolio purchase in Spain • PCF Group: Project Gemini plan agreed and content rider concluded • 11 bit studios: Creatures of Ava to be released on 7 August • Short News (ALR, PKO BP, MTELEKOM)

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

WOOD Flash - OMV Petrom: strategy update

OMV Petrom held a capital markets day (CMD) on 19 June, to update its 2030E strategy and provide new targets to the market. The previous strategy update was held at the end of 2021, when the macro environment was less favourable. In this plan, therefore, the assumptions on crude oil and gas prices, and refining margins, have all been revised upwards. The 2030E target for Clean CCS EBIT has decreased slightly to EUR 1.4bn, from EUR 1.5bn, but expectations for the interim period are much higher. C...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Hungary macro; SNP RO; MTELEKOM HB

HEADLINES: • Hungary macro: MPC transitions to a vigilant phase • OMV Petrom: updates its dividend policy and proposes paying a special dividend • Magyar Telekom: announces a HUF 24.0bn buyback

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: 11B PW (upgraded to BUY), CEZ CP, PEO PW/PZU PW, GEKTERNA ...

HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: awaiting a major boost in 3Q24E (upgraded to BUY) • CEZ: no counter-proposal from the State on the CZK 52/share dividend • GEK Terna: close of Attiki Odos deal delayed, rather as expected • Bank Pekao/PZU: press speculation that Luminor Bank is being offered to Polish financial institutions

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SAR GA; KLKIM TI; GPP PW

HEADLINES: • Sarantis: STR8 CEE-based growth story (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Kalekim: strong set of 1Q24 IAS 29 results POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: new online job ads down 15% yoy in May 2024 NEGATIVE

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – EU Elections; LAMDA GA; BIMAS TI; LPP...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: how big should the political risk premium in Europe be? • Lamda Development: 1Q24 – with the wind in its sails • BIM: strong set of results in 1Q24 POSITIVE • LPP: 1Q24 strong, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained POSITIVE • CCC: 1Q24 results in line with prelims; positive trends maintained in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • US macro: Fed pushes back on rate cuts • Jahez: announces SAR 150m real estate purchase NEUTRAL • Text: 4Q23-24E preview – 1% yoy EBITDA drop expected (due...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: FROTO TI; CZ Macro; HU Macro; RICHT HB; BELA GA; SNP RO

HEADLINES: • Ford Otosan: getting ready to fire on all cylinders (upgraded to BUY) • Czech Republic macro: May inflation moderates, to hit the low point soon • Hungary macro: May inflation up, but in line with expectations • Richter: acquires Mithra assets for an EV of EUR 175m NEUTRAL • Jumbo: turnover +10%/+8% in May/5M24 POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: to invest EUR 750m in renewable fuels at Petrobrasi refinery NEUTRAL • Short News (ALR, PKO)

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