A director at Intralot S.A. bought 6,129,397 shares at 1.070EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 2Q25 below expectations, due to weak France NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 2Q25 results slightly above expectations, but down qoq NEUTRAL • Eurowag: 2Q25 results – beat on the top line, EBITDA a small miss NEUTRAL • CEZ: ANO’s campaign platform calling for 100% nationalisation NEUTRAL • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • Jumbo: sales growth momentum intact in August, +8% in 8M25; tightens grip on opex POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL ...
HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...
Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...
Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...
HEADLINES: • InPost: 2Q25 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance broadly maintained; domestic market recovery in 3Q POSITIVE • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • AROBS Transilvania Software: 2Q25 – trending up, despite continuing headwind from automotive vertical • Romania macro: fiscal consolidation effort moves forward, but politics remain jittery • Türkiye macro: 2Q GDP momentum points to a stronger 2025E outlook • Greek banks: commit an additional donation of EUR 75m each to s...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
Solid H1’25 performance, in broad sync with expectations – CCH delivered a solid H1’25 performance, with comparable EBIT up 15% yoy (12% organic) despite continued macro and geopolitical headwinds. The result was driven by 2-digit organic growth in Emerging Markets, with all segments contributing to revenue growth, supported by strong pricing discipline and favorable mix effects (both pack and category). While higher A&P spend weighed on profitability in Established and Developing markets, gross...
Solid H1’25 performance, in broad sync with expectations – CCH delivered a solid H1’25 performance, with comparable EBIT up 15% yoy (12% organic) despite continued macro and geopolitical headwinds. The result was driven by 2-digit organic growth in Emerging Markets, with all segments contributing to revenue growth, supported by strong pricing discipline and favorable mix effects (both pack and category). While higher A&P spend weighed on profitability in Established and Developing markets, gross...
The catalyst – Q2’25 results on 3rd Sep look poised to be a positive catalyst: although the numbers are not likely to impress (EE revenues/EBITDA +4% yoy, DPS €0.65) and mgt may abstain from raising the guidance, commentary on the Q3 outlook is likely to be upbeat, as indicated by latest data. This is because of another series of record jackpot rollovers, which have brought Q3 (to-date) Joker GGR >€40m yoy. This means that contrary to market expectations – which envisaged a c€25-30m headwind due...
The catalyst – Q2’25 results on 3rd Sep look poised to be a positive catalyst: although the numbers are not likely to impress (EE revenues/EBITDA +4% yoy, DPS €0.65) and mgt may abstain from raising the guidance, commentary on the Q3 outlook is likely to be upbeat, as indicated by latest data. This is because of another series of record jackpot rollovers, which have brought Q3 (to-date) Joker GGR >€40m yoy. This means that contrary to market expectations – which envisaged a c€25-30m headwind due...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...
OTE has reported an uninspiring set of 2Q25 results, with sales flat yoy, at EUR 913m (in line with our forecast) and the adjusted EBITDA up 1% yoy, to EUR 349m (in line with our estimate), due to Greek segment expansion offsetting the 67% yoy decline in the Romanian segment operating result. We see OTE’s 2Q25 results as neutral, as the adjusted EBITDA was in line with our expectations, while the company reiterated its 2025E outlook. The miss on the bottom line was driven primarily by the write-...
OTE has reported a mixed set of results; Greek MSR trends are much better sequentially and FSR growth is also a bit better, but EBITDA growth is actually slower sequentially due to elevated sales and marketing costs, which may be a warning sign of the future impact from PPC in the fixed market.
Q2 group EBITDAaL +0.6% yoy, a bit softer than expected due to Romania (RO); GR growth in sync with FY25 guidance – Q2 group adj. numbers look a tad below our forecasts, with the underlying pattern remaining largely unchanged: strong mobile (service rev. +3.2%), tepid but positive retail fixed (+0.6%), and RO weighing on group metrics (EBITDAaL loss €4.6m). Overall, group sales rose 0.3% yoy to €913m, with GR +1.1%. GR EBITDAaL advanced 2% to €333m, in sync with mgt FY guidance, while group EBIT...
Q2 group EBITDAaL +0.6% yoy, a bit softer than expected due to Romania (RO); GR growth in sync with FY25 guidance – Q2 group adj. numbers look a tad below our forecasts, with the underlying pattern remaining largely unchanged: strong mobile (service rev. +3.2%), tepid but positive retail fixed (+0.6%), and RO weighing on group metrics (EBITDAaL loss €4.6m). Overall, group sales rose 0.3% yoy to €913m, with GR +1.1%. GR EBITDAaL advanced 2% to €333m, in sync with mgt FY guidance, while group EBIT...
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: after a strong 1Q, earnings momentum may slow (downgrade to HOLD) • Halyk Savings Bank: acquires 49% of Uzbekistan’s Click POSITIVE • MONETA: 2Q25 results in line - guidance offers CZK 300-400m of upside risk to the bank's 2025E net profit forecast NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 1QF26 results - EBITDA 5% below our estimate, 14% below consensus NEGATIVE • Bank Pekao: Polish FinMin is drafting a bill to ban the sale of the State-owned shares of the bank NEUTRAL • GTC: Fitch down...
Since upgrading Aegean to a BUY in November last year, the stock has generated a total return of 49%, outperforming its European airline peers by 10%, and the Athens Stock Exchange by 5% over the period. We set our new 12M PT at EUR 14.0/share and downgrade Aegean to HOLD, as we believe the near-term earnings (2Q-3Q25E) could trail last year’s results slightly. After a very strong 1Q25, weaker near-term results could translate into the stock losing some momentum in the coming months. That said, ...
HEADLINES: • EMEA Airlines: 2Q25 traffic - Easter good, conflict bad • GEK Terna: motorway traffic grows faster than expected in 1H25 POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Allegro: expands its delivery network via a partnership with Zabka, adding 11,600+ new pick-up points NEUTRAL • Jahez: takeaways from the conference call on the Snoonu deal POSITIVE • Titan Cement: 2Q25E financial results preview (due on 31 July)
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