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Rok Stibric
  • Rok Stibric

PZU : Rating upgrade driven by strong operational momentum and clear s...

PZU continues to execute well on its 2025-2027 strategic targets, with improving non-life profitability and expanding life and health business segments. Positive trends should drive the EPS growth of 5.7% CAGR, just below the AT&CEE average. The stock offers the highest DY in our sector coverage (8%+) and a superior ROE within the AT&CEE peer group. Our valuation analysis indicates 19% upside from current levels and triggers an upgrade of our rating to Outperform.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKN PW; VGO PW; Poland macro; BDX PW; PZU PW; SFG RO; CEZ ...

HEADLINES: • Orlen: makes an offer to buy Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 sales up 48.5% yoy to PLN 23.3m POSITIVE • Poland macro: August balance of payments data underscores weak exports • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from Budimex's consortium scored highest in the PKP PLK tender POSITIVE • PZU: the new CEO gives one of his first interviews, discussing the potential PZU–Pekao merger NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: Hard Rock Cafe joining the company’s brand portfolio POSITIVE • CEZ: AN...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; EUROB GA; CTPNV NA; PGSUS TI; CIMSA TI; 11B PW; E...

HEADLINES: • OPAP: announces all-share merger with parent Allwyn International NEUTRAL • Eurobank: acquires Fairfax's 80% stake in Eurolife's life insurance business NEUTRAL • CTP: issues EUR 600m 6.5Y green bonds at a 3.625% coupon POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: ASK up 17% in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Cimsa: grey cement grinding plant in Houston has been commissioned POSITIVE • 11 bit: management board member sold shares worth PLN 0.3m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (6-12 October) • Titan: ...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts - Allwyn deal: Brave new era; from yield to grow...

Transformative deal with Allwyn – Allwyn and OPAP have announced they have agreed to merge through an all-share combination, creating the world’s 2nd-largest listed lottery and gaming operator with a combined equity value of €16bn. The new group will retain its primary listing on the ATHEX, while pursuing a secondary listing in London or New York after completion. It will be renamed Allwyn and re-domiciled to Switzerland, aligning with Allwyn’s global headquarters. Allwyn, which already owns 51....

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts - Allwyn deal: Brave new era; from yield to grow...

Transformative deal with Allwyn – Allwyn and OPAP have announced they have agreed to merge through an all-share combination, creating the world’s 2nd-largest listed lottery and gaming operator with a combined equity value of €16bn. The new group will retain its primary listing on the ATHEX, while pursuing a secondary listing in London or New York after completion. It will be renamed Allwyn and re-domiciled to Switzerland, aligning with Allwyn’s global headquarters. Allwyn, which already owns 51....

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; MONET CP; ZAB PW

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: announces PLN 1.15bn of FX mortgage saga losses in 3Q25E NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 23 October) • Zabka: 3Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 October) NEUTRAL • Short News (PEO)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DIA PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; TEN PW; PL Telecoms; GTC PW; TPEIR...

HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Romanian BET in the lead in Septem...

EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...

BRE MBANK SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
OMV OMV AG
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
Jakub Caithaml ... (+2)
  • Jakub Caithaml
  • Peter Palovic

Aegean Airlines: strong CF, but waiting for an earnings inflection poi...

We have revised our forecasts for Aegean Airlines, following the 1H25 results, maintaining our HOLD rating and nudging our 12M PT upwards to EUR 14.5. Our forecast changes for 3Q-4Q25E are minor, reflecting stronger-than-expected capacity growth. Management remains upbeat on the late-summer demand, and we have raised our 2H25E earnings slightly vs. our prior estimates. We continue to highlight Aegean’s strong cash generation, which could improve in FY26E, as PDPs turn into inflows. With a core a...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PCO PW; BELA GA; THEON NA; Czech Republic macro; EWG LN; P...

HEADLINES: • Pepco: lfl recovery continued in 4Q25, with Poland falling behind W. Europe; another EUR 50m buyback announced POSITIVE • Jumbo: 1H25 earnings slightly lower than expected - adj. EBITDA +7% yoy to EUR 165m NEGATIVE • Theon International: wins another sizeable OCCAR contract POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Eurowag: TA Associates completes GBP 56m ABB • PZU: new acting CEO appointed, pending PFSA approval NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: proposes an extraordinary DPS of RO...

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash – Aegean Airlines: 2Q25 in line; cash flow contracting; gui...

Aegean's 2Q25 numbers are fully in line with our estimates. The operating cash flow after leases is down by around 30% compared to the previous two years. However, the guidance on the summer sounds optimistic, and offers possible upside for our ASK estimate for 3Q25E. This may, however, may be offset by the RASK being slightly weaker in 3Q25E, reportedly (we have been pencilling it in as flat yoy). The company is guiding for a brisk 9% seat growth in 4Q25E, which could indicate some upside for t...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (17 September 2025)

HEADLINES: • Noval Property: 1H25 – FFO en route to exceed our FY estimate POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 2Q25 in line; cash flow contracting; guidance encouraging NEUTRAL • Tauron: 2Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: special dividend proposal POSITIVE • Shoper: acquires remaining 40% stake in Sempire for PLN 15m, as expected NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: signs framework agreement with Saudi Aramco POSITIVE

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MTLN GA; ENA PW; CCC PW; TOASO TI; SAR GA; GEKTERNA GA; VG...

HEADLINES: • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1H25 EBITDA -6% yoy, hit by one-offs NEUTRAL • Enea: full 2Q25 results in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • CCC: CEO finds back-to-school sales strong, maintains FY25E guidance, considering buyback POSITIVE • Tofas: details of new LCV model (K9) announced POSITIVE • Sarantis: 1H25E preview – 14% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due out today, after the close) NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1H25E results preview (due out tomorrow) • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25E results preview – 76...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GR Refiners; ACP PW; OPAP GA; TRESTATE GA; VRC PW; CBF PW;...

HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts: Q2 in line, with more confidence for FY25 but i...

Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts: Q2 in line, with more confidence for FY25 but i...

Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...

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