China’s internet companies reported resilient 3Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement in the online gaming and OTA sectors, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. Margin pressure in e-commerce due to the intense on-demand delivery competition is likely to ease in 4Q25, but could persist into 2026 given the continuous investment and tough comparison base boosted by the trade-in programme in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Alibaba, Tencent, TCOM, TME, Ne...
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY with a slightly lower target price of HK$44.00.
Top Stories Company Results | Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$30.72/Target: HK$44.00) Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY with a...
Greater China Company Results | Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$30.72/Target: HK$44.00) Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY w...
Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. Garnering the most interest was the AI theme driven by: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) self-sufficiency in chip development. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel demand during Golden Week. Maintain OVERWEIGHT...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. The AI theme garnered the most interest, attributable to: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) development of self-sufficient chips. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel ...
A director at Kingsoft Corp sold 1,322,800 shares at 35.060HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 77/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
Key investor focus areas discussed during the marketing trip include: a) key drivers for AI cloud and applications outperformance, b) sustainability of monetisation of AI applications, c) ROI of accelerating capex, d) self-sufficiency in chips development, and e) where the competition in food delivery and quick commerce is ultimately headed. We foresee that AI/AI Cloud, online gaming and OTAs are poised to benefit from further re-rating, supported by their outperformance in growth. Maintain OVER...
We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment.
We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment. WHAT’S NEW Ev...
China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Kingsoft’s 2Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 6.7% yoy to Rmb2.3b, 6% below consensus estimates. Gross margin shrank 2ppt yoy to 80.3%, falling short of consensus and our expectations. Operating profit plunged 52% yoy to Rmb383m, while operating margin fell 16ppt yoy to 17%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit grew 35% yoy to Rmb532m, with net margin expanding 7ppt yoy to 23%. Maintain BUY with a slightly lower target price of HK$45.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$87.25/Target: HK$88.00) Baidu’s 2Q25 earnings missed our expectations. Revenue dropped 4% yoy to Rmb32.7b, in line with consensus estimates. Gross margin dropped 8ppt yoy to 43.9%, below consensus expectations. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb4.4b, plunging 41% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 14%. Non-GAAP net profit slumped 35% yoy to Rmb4.8b, beating consensus forecasts. Maintain HOLD with an unchanged target price of ...
GREATER CHINA Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$87.25/Target: HK$88.00): 2Q25: Earnings missed expectations; release of next-gen Ernie bot in 2H25. Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$6.08/Target: HK$7.07): 1H25: Continuous margin expansion; strong order visibility into 3Q26. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$67.50/Target: HK$85.00): 2Q25: Core earnings beat estimates by 8%. Maintain BUY. Raise target price from HK$68.00 to HK$85.00. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$44...
WAIC 2025 was held in Shanghai on 26-28 July under the theme "Intelligent Horizons, Shared Future". The focus of WAIC this year shifted from LLM to the next frontier – AI applications and AI agents. As AI capabilities extend from the cloud to edge devices, a transformative evolution in human-AI interaction is underway, characterised by more tangible, embodied forms and empathetic voice interfaces. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet WAIC - Battlefield of AI applications and agents to reshape productivity. Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$111.70/Target: HK$146.00) 1H25: Results beat; benefitting from growing CRDMO service demand. Upgrade to BUY. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,525) 2Q25: Momentum builds, but 4Q25 to del...
We opine that the intact grossing momentum in 2Q25 coupled with the anticipation of high-quality game releases set a compelling prelude to the upcoming summer holiday boom. We like the online game sector as it is a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Our preference lies with Tencent, given its strong game grossing growth momentum and its position as a key proxy for AI application beneficiaries. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
Kingsoft’s 1Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue grew 9.4% yoy to Rmb2.3b, 6.0% below consensus estimates. Gross margin rose 1ppt yoy to 82.1%, in line with consensus and our expectations. Operating profit remained flattish yoy at Rmb601m, while operating margin shrank 2.4ppt yoy to 26%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit remained flattish yoy at Rmb284m, with net profit margin dipping 1ppt yoy to 12.1%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$47.00.
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