A director at Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA bought 1,520 shares at 56.560PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: strategy focused on growth (stays BUY) • Ignitis Group: making headway (BUY - transfer of coverage) • PZU: 4Q24 well ahead of expectations, holding structure to be created within PZU group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q24 results – EBITDA up 9% yoy, 9% above our forecast and 1% above the consensus POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: FY24 results review NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 4Q24 earnings, and preview of a potential mega data centre NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 4Q2...
HEADLINES: • CEZ: Green Deal and grievances (downgraded to SELL) • Teknosa: weak set of results in 4Q24 NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (17-23 February) • MOL: 4Q results and 2025E guidance • EME Strategy: FTSE GEIS March 2025 Semi-Annual Review • Bank of Cyprus: launch of share buyback programme • Benefit Systems: decides on PLN 1bn five-year bond issue NEUTRAL • 4iG: 4Q24E preview – 20% yoy reported EBITDA increase expected (due on 28 February) • Sphera Group: 12% yoy EBITDA de...
EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...
A director at Asseco Business Solutions S.A. sold 9,000 shares at 60.000PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 59/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: 4Q24 traffic; could constrained capacity support fares in 2025E? • PZU: CEO Olech dismissed, former CEO Klesyk returns • PCF Group: reveals details behind Maverick work-for-hire project NEUTRAL • Krka: 4Q24E earnings preview (due on 30 January) • Alior Bank: 4Q24E preview (due on 4 March)
HEADLINES: • Elm: signs an agreement to acquire Thiqah for SAR 3.4bn POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: Investor Day takeaways NEUTRAL • Eurowag: solid 4Q24 results but slow growth and higher capex in 2025E NEGATIVE • PZU: appoints Andrzej Klesyk to the supervisory board • CCC: 4Q24E prelims preview - we expect 82% yoy EBITDA growth (due on 10 February, TBC) • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q24E results preview – we expect 2% yoy EBITDA erosion (due on 19 March)
EME Equity Market – December 2024 A green December. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 2.9% in EUR terms and 0.8% in USD terms in December. The Greek ASE Index (+5.5% mom in EUR terms) was the best performer, followed closely by the Czech PX Index (+5.0% mom in EUR terms). Solid performances were also reported by the BET (+2.4% mom), BUX (+2.2% mom) and ISE 30 (+1.5% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). The Polish WIG 20 Index (+0.4% mom in EUR terms) reported a muted performance.
HEADLINES: • PZU: discounted valuation for growing EPS and dividend yields (stays BUY) • Alior Bank: trading cheaply, but in stand-by mode (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: complicated, but not value destructive (stays BUY) • Romania macro: a frail situation • Georgia macro: NBG keeps policy rate unchanged, at 8.0%; sanctions from the US and the UK • Czech Republic macro: CNB keeps policy rate on hold • CEZ: government takes new nuclear financing plan under advisement NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: pre-clos...
We rate PZU a BUY, with a new 12M price target (PT) of PLN 64.9/share, offering 42% upside potential. PZU is one of our top picks among the regional financials. We see its discounted valuation (2025E P/E of 6.8x and P/BV of 1.2x), and its status as one of the most reliable dividend payers in the region (9%+ yield next year), as attractive. This is in combination with positive fundamentals, including improving EPS momentum (our 2025E EPS is +18% yoy) and a medium-term performance supported by the...
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: court in Liechtenstein appoints administrator for Zygmunt Solorz’s foundations NEGATIVE • Polish banks: to face the same dividend guidance from the watchdog as last year NEUTRAL • PZU: PFSA issues dividend payment guidance for 2025 NEUTRAL • PCF Group: limits scope of work on Project Bifrost and suspends work on Project Victoria NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: releases new Update 2.2 for Cyberpunk 2077 NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: cancellation of own shares NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: with coal, through thick and thin (Enea (HOLD), PGE (SELL) and Tauron (HOLD) - transfer of coverage) • Grupa Pracuj: volume rebound expected in 2025E (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: strong profits and attractive shareholder returns implied by 2025-27E strategy update POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB nominations and opinion polls swings • 4iG: 3Q24 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.26%, while WP TV at 0.69% in Novemb...
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
PZU has published its 2025-27E strategic outlook. The key takeaway for shareholders, in our view, is the target of at least PLN 6.2bn of net profit in 2027E, with a minimum 2027E DPS of PLN 4.5. In the strategic presentation, significant focus has been put on revenue growth engines, and each of the key revenue pillars is explained separately. Also important for the market is that the insurer may sell its c.32% stake in Alior Bank to its other subsidiary, Bank Pekao, in 1H25E. The banks are to in...
HEADLINES: • PZU: newswires drop a bomb just before company's strategic update – Bank Pekao may buy a 32% stake in Alior from PZU • cyber_Folks: concludes preliminary agreement to purchase a 49.9% stake in Shoper for a total of PLN 547.5m NEUTRAL • Shoper: preliminary agreement for the sale of 49.9% of SHO's shares to cyber_Folks at PLN 39/share NEUTRAL • Duna House: 3Q24 results – a good set of numbers POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 3Q24 results beat expectations POSITIVE • Tauron: full 3Q24 results i...
HEADLINES: • PZU: 3Q24 not as weak as feared – once the special claims end, should deliver a very strong profitability profile POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 3Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 13% yoy, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 3Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 8% yoy, 3% above our forecast and 6% above the consensus POSITIVE • OPAP: 3Q24 earnings beat expectations, as EBITDA jumps 24% yoy POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 3Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line NEUTRAL • Elbit Syste...
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: stellar 3Q24 print sponsored by OTP RO integration POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q24 results – small beat; FY24E guidance reiterated; buyback programme expires POSITIVE • Sok Marketler: highly weak set of results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • ONE United Properties: 3Q24 broadly in line with recent trends NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 3Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 3Q24 results highlights – improved outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: Oc...
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