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Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

China Internet. Deeper Dive Into Agentic AI And The Rise Of AI Super A...

To-C applications growth is accelerating among mega-cap players with super apps, while emerging unicorns focus on To- B and To-prosumers in specific AI scenarios/verticals and on physical AI in verticals such as mobility and smartphone. For the next 6-12 months, we are eyeing key AI narratives: a) rollout of super apps leveraging on agentic AI, b) leading LLMs in specific verticals unlocking monetisation potential, and c) key drivers of cloud revenue growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: Baidu,...

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

China Internet: Deeper dive into agentic AI and the rise of AI super a...

Highlights  To-C applications growth is accelerating among mega-cap players with super apps, while emerging unicorns focus on To-B and To-prosumers in specific AI scenarios/verticals and on physical AI in verticals such as mobility and smartphone. For the next 6-12 months, we are eyeing key AI narratives: a) roll-out of super apps leveraging on agentic AI, b) leading LLMs in specific verticals unlocking monetisation potential, and c) key drivers of cloud revenue growth. Over time, we expect fur...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+13)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, February 02, 2026

Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

iFlytek (002230 CH): 2025 profit alert: 40-70% yoy net profit growth o...

Highlights  In iFlytek’s 2025 positive profit alert, it expects net profit attributable to shareholders to soar 40-70% yoy, reaching Rmb785m-950m. Stripping out non-recurring items, net profit is projected to surge 30-60% yoy to Rmb245m- 301m. We forecast a 2025 revenue growth of 16% yoy to Rmb27b.  Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Rmb70.00. Analysis  iFlytek secured 210 winning bids in 2025 with a disclosed contract value of Rmb2.316b, ranking first among general-purpose large lan...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Strong AI-driven IPO Wave Set To Unfold In 2026.

We reckon that the AI wave is driven by key themes including: a) recurring AI LLM/applications and cloud revenue growth, and b) a wider deployment of proprietary and data driven AI agents by vertical players to strengthen competitive moats. Amid an uncertain competitive backdrop, we opine that cloud hyper-scalers are key beneficiaries underpinned by their ecosystem scale and technological capabilities, underscoring growing investor confidence in the AI-driven sector’s re-rating. Maintain OVERWEI...

Audrey Celia ... (+16)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, January 12, 2026

Greater China Economics | Inflation December CPI inflation rose to 0.8% yoy (+0.1ppt mom), the strongest reading ytd, with a sharp rebound in food prices. Core CPI remained at 1.2% yoy, the highest level for 2025, with goods inflation strengthening further while services inflation continued to ease slightly. PPI deflation moderated to 1.9% yoy (+0.3ppt mom), supported by improvements in mining and consumer goods pricing. Overall, the data suggests tentative price stabilisation, although defl...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

iFlytek Inc (002230 CH): 2Q25: Results miss expectations; narrowing lo...

iFlytek reported its 2Q25 results. 2Q25 revenue grew 10% yoy, missing our and consensus estimates. Gross margin shrank 1.3ppt yoy to 40.3%, stemming from ramped up AI investments. Net loss shrank 54% yoy to Rmb46m, missing the street’s estimates. Net margin inched up 1ppt yoy to -1% in 2Q25, primarily due to viable monetisation from diverse AI applications. Upgrade to HOLD with a higher target price of Rmb50.00.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

iFlytek Inc (002230 CH): 2024 and 1Q25: Earnings miss on heightened R&...

iFlytek reported its 2024 and 1Q25 results. 2024 revenue grew 19% yoy, below forecasts, while adjusted net profit rose 59% yoy to Rmb188m, 65% below consensus estimate. Meanwhile, 1Q25 revenue grew 28% yoy to Rmb4.7b, in line with consensus expectation. Adjusted net loss came in at Rmb228m, missing consensus estimate by 92%, while adjusted net margin improved 4ppt yoy to -4%. Maintain SELL with an unchanged target price of Rmb35.00.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+7)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, April 23, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Initiate Coverage Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$47.80/Target: HK$60.00) TME is the world’s largest online music platform by MAU, and has sustained the biggest market share of about 70% in the online music industry since 2016. It operates leading music apps including QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music and WeSing. We initiate coverage with a BUY rating and target price of HK$60.00 (US$15.00). Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/HOLD/Rmb13.99/Target: Rmb15.00) ...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+14)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 23, 2025

GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$47.80/Target: HK$60.00) World’s largest music platform with evolving social ecosystem. Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/HOLD/Rmb13.99/Target: Rmb15.00) 2024: Results in line; maintain 2025 revenue growth estimate of 8.8% yoy. iFlytek (002230 CH/SELL/Rmb45.18/Target: Rmb35.00) 2024 and 1Q25: Earnings miss on heightened R&D spending; solid top-line growth. Update Sunn...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Key takeaways from marketing trip.

The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

iFlytek Inc (002230 CH): 3Q24 - Profit turnaround despite higher R&D i...

iFlytek reported its 3Q24 results. 3Q24 revenue grew 16% yoy to Rmb5.5b, 4-6% below our and consensus estimates. Gross margin remains flattish yoy at 40.9%, mainly supported by the solid sales momentum of consumer hardware. Net profit came in at Rmb57m, beating the street’s estimate but missing our estimate. Net margin inched up 1ppt yoy to 1% in 3Q24, despite mounting investment to foster LLM development. Maintain SELL with an unchanged target price of Rmb35.00.  Top-line growth still intact ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Government policy rollout to boost consumption and dri...

In view of a stronger-than-expected government policy rollout, we reckon that the improved consumption sentiment will benefit e-commerce, local life services and OTA companies. In 2H24, we expect the undemanding valuations of internet companies to be repaired by shareholder returns, cross-border expansion and easing competition. Meanwhile, we believe monetisation momentum will be fuelled by AIGC development and adtech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Jonathan Koh ... (+9)
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 09, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
2013 WEIMOB INC
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
ITMAX ITMAX SYSTEMS BHD
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outl...

2Q24 revenue growth was lukewarm, hampered by a subdued macro backdrop, but most earnings beats were delivered by internet companies. We expect consumers to continue switching to service- and experience-oriented, which will benefit OTA, local life services and online games amid the summer holiday period. Key catalysts in 2H24 that will drive internet companies’ valuation repair include shareholder returns, cross-border expansion, easing competition and more, in our view. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+12)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 10, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures rising. Sector Construction Building on the positive development of macroeconomic policies in 2H24-2025. Internet 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outlook remains promising. INDONESIA Small...

Iflytek Co Ltd: 3 directors

Three Directors at Iflytek Co Ltd bought 578,600 shares at between 34.580CNY and 34.610CNY. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

iFlytek Inc (002230 CH): 2Q24 -- Top-line in line; higher R&D investme...

iFlytek reported its 2Q24 results. 2Q24 revenue grew 15% yoy, largely in line with our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 2.4ppt yoy to 41.6%, benefitting from the solid sales momentum of consumer hardware. Net profit turned to a net loss of Rmb100m, beating our estimates but missing the street’s estimates. Net margin fell 4.4ppt yoy to -2% in 2Q24, primarily due to mounting investment to foster LLM development. Maintain SELL with an unchanged target price of Rmb30.00.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

iFlytek Inc (002230 CH): 1H24 bottom line alert; gradual 2Q24 net marg...

In iFlytek’s 1H24 bottom line alert, it forecasts a net loss of Rmb380m-460m, which represents a negative turnaround from the group’s net profit of approximately Rmb73.6m in 1H23. Therefore, we estimate IFRS net loss at Rmb408m and non-IFRS net profit at Rmb447m, representing a net margin of -8% in 2Q24, below our and consensus estimates. Downgrade to SELL with a lower target price of Rmb30.00.  Bottom line miss. iFlytek Inc (iFlytek) recorded a 1Q24 loss of Rmb300m, while 2Q24 IFRS loss shou...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

iFlytek (002230 CH): FY23 and 1Q24: Earnings missed; dividend of Rmb1....

iFlytek reported its 2023 and 1Q24 results. 2023 revenue grew 4% yoy, below expectations, while net profit rose 17% yoy to Rmb657m, 12% lower than consensus estimates. Meanwhile, 1Q24 revenue grew 26.3% yoy to Rmb3.65b, in line with consensus expectations. Net profit came in at Rmb300m, below consensus forecasts by 73%. Adjusted net loss expanded 30% yoy to Rmb441m. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Rmb40.00.

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