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Claire Wang Kelai ... (+2)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

China Longyuan Power (916 HK): 1Q25: In line; cautious outlook amid ri...

Longyuan reported 1Q25 earnings of Rmb1,977.1m (-21.8% yoy). Wind power generation rose to 17,776GWh (+4.4%), yet still trailing the pace of capacity expansion. Weaker wind resources and a higher curtailment rate of 4.4% continued to weigh on wind power utilisation hours, which declined to 585 hours (-55 hours). We remain cautious regarding the potential impacts of the post-530 policy shift and persistent uptrend in curtailment rates. Maintain HOLD. Target price: HK$6.60.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, April 30, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/HOLD/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.00) CCB delivered disappointing 1Q25 results as net profit declined 4.0%, dragged by NIM compression and tepid fee income. Furthermore, revenue growth was no longer supported by trading gains, as yields rebounded during 1Q25. Asset quality was a silver lining as CCB highlighted the sequential improvement in the retail and property developer segments. Management also noted that tariff risk is manageable in terms of...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+18)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, April 30, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/HOLD/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss due to weaker NIM and fee income; tariff risk is limited. Downgrade to HOLD. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.10/Target: HK$6.60): 1Q25: In line; cautious outlook amid rising curtailment rates and upcoming policy shift. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$44.50/Target: HK$49.00): 1Q25: Earnings down 2.1% yoy on weaker trading gains. Estun Automation (002747 CH/SELL/Rmb19.17/Target: Rmb...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+2)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

China Longyuan Power (916 HK): 2024: In line; poor wind resources weig...

Longyuan reported 2024 earnings of Rmb6,378.7m (+2.0% yoy), within expectations. 2024 power generation was 75,546GWh (-0.9% yoy), dragged by wind power generation of 60,550GWh (-1.3% yoy). A low wind speed (-2m/s yoy) and higher curtailment rate at 3.86% (+0.16ppt yoy) have continued to weigh on wind power utilisation hours at 2,190 hours (-156 hours). Longyuan is on track to achieve its installed capacity target of 50GW by end-25. Maintain HOLD. Target price: HK$6.70.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Guan An Tan
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, April 1, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Manufacturing PMI strengthened further to 50.5 (+0.3pt mom) while non-manufacturing PMI improved to 50.8 (+0.4pt mom) as construction activity improved to 53.4 (+0.7pt mom), alongside a moderate recovery in services at 50.3 (+0.3pt mom). Small-sized enterprises saw a notable improvement to 49.6 (+3.3pt mom) despite being in the contractionary zone, pointing to a broadening of the recovery. Sector Aviation The three airlines’ 2024 results were in line but at the h...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Guan An Tan
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, April 1, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines: Expecting a turnaround in 2025 on better supply-demand balance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$5.87/Target: HK$6.80): 2024: Results miss; targets accelerated revenue growth but slight gross margin improvement in 2025. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.23/Target: HK$6.70): 2024: In line; poor wind resources weigh on power generation despite robust new installation. China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK/BUY/HK$13.90/Target...

Ziv Ang Sze Champ
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

China Longyuan Power (916 HK): 3Q24: In line; 3Q24 wind power generati...

Longyuan reported 9M24 earnings of Rmb5,667.9m (-11.4% yoy), within expectations. 9M24 power generation was 56,847GWh (+2.4% yoy), contributed by stronger 3Q24 wind power generation at +6.2% yoy (2Q24: -10.8% yoy). Low wind speed ytd was 5.6m/s (- 0.1m/s yoy) and declining average on-grid tariff continued to drag on the wind power segment’s revenue. Wind power utilisation hours fell to 1,607 hours (-108 hours). Maintain HOLD. Target price: HK$6.50.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Friday, November 1, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI October’s manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1% (+0.3ppt mom), with improvements across all composite indices. However, new export orders and inventory of finished goods continued to contract, with increases in purchase prices. The non-manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2% (+0.2ppt mom), showing broad-based improvements across all indices but a slight dip in construction PMI. Activity for small-sized firms contracted, likely impacted by fewer new manufacturing export orders....

Colin Lee ... (+21)
  • Colin Lee
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, November 01, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Broad-based improvement in PMI. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.11/Target: HK$14.60): 3Q24: Premiumisation slows down in China; in-home channel to be a focus. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$33.50/Target: HK$40.90): 3Q24: Solid set of results; 4Q24/2025 growth may accelerate further. Maintain BUY. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.91/Target: HK$6.50): 3Q24: In line; 3Q24 wind power generation up 6.2% yoy. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/HOLD/HK$11.54/Tar...

Ringo Tang Chi Yu ... (+2)
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

China Longyuan Power (916 HK): 1H24: Below expectations; power generat...

Longyuan reported 1H24 earnings of Rmb3,985.9 (-20.8% yoy), below expectations. 1H24 power generation was flattish at 40,081,845MWh (+0.8% yoy), with wind power generation falling 4.6% yoy. Low wind speed (-0.25m/s yoy to 5.85m/s in 1H24) saw wind power utilisation hours being reduced to 1,170 hours (-101 hours). The average on-grid tariff declined to Rmb423/MWh (-Rmb34/MWh). The installed capacity expansion target for 2024 remains at 7,500MW. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price: HK$6.10.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Friday, August 30, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Baosteel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb5.85/Target: Rmb7.90) Baosteel reported 1H24 earnings of Rmb4,554.6m (-0.2% yoy), representing 34% of our full-year estimate and below expectations. Steel products’ gross margin rose to 3.7% (+0.7ppt yoy). Differentiated products’ sales volume increased to Rmb15.09m (+17.2% yoy), remaining as the key earnings contributor during the industry downcycle. Steel products’ export volume grew to 3.05m (+2% yoy), on track to achieve the annual target...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Paula Ruth
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 30, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$27.65/Target: HK$42.50)                                  1H24: Results missed on margins. Expect peak season to bolster profitability in 2H24. China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$4.04/Target: HK$5.22)                                        1H24: Steady profit growth; accelerated revenue expansion in 2H24. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.16/Target: HK$6.10)                     1H24: Below expectations; power generation dragged by low wind speed. ...

Ceilica Su Rui ... (+2)
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

China Longyuan Power (916 HK): 1Q24: Below expectations; low wind spee...

China Longyuan Power reported 1Q24 earnings of Rmb2,481.7m (+2.6% yoy), below expectations. Wind power generation was up by merely 1.4% yoy although installed capacity was 6.1% higher yoy. Lower wind power utilisation hours at 640 hours (-14 hours yoy) were the key reason, due to a 0.1m/s lower wind speed and higher curtailment rate of 4.22%. The ratio of market power sales rose to 42.1% (1Q23: 40.8%). Average wind power tariff was Rmb0.4437/kWh. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$6.40.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, April 29, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile We raise 2024 forecasts on China’s PV sales growth and PEV sales growth from +8%/+21% to +10%/+24% on bigger-than-expected subsidies for the cash-for-clunker program and zero downpayment auto loans. Meanwhile, we lift the target prices of BYD, Geely, GWM, GAC and Yadea to HK$160.00/HK$13.00/HK$13.50/HK$3.30 /HK$20.00 respectively. Upgrade GWM from HOLD to BUY, and upgrade GAC from SELL to HOLD. Top BUY: CATL, Geely and Yadea. Top SELL: BYD, Li Auto and XPeng. ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+19)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Jun Sian Tan
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, April 29, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.72/Target: HK$6.40): 1Q24: Below expectations; low wind speed weighed on performance. COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.62/Target: HK$6.75): 1Q24: Results in line; steady performance in a seasonally slow quarter with headwinds. Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/BUY/Rmb14.13/Target: Rmb18.50): 1Q24: ICL revenue growth satisfactory; esoteric testing and self-developed product segments remain 2024’s key growth drivers. Foshan Haitian Flavou...

Ceilica Su Rui ... (+2)
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

China Longyuan Power (916 HK): 2023: Below expectations; slower-than-e...

Longyuan reported 2023 earnings of Rmb6,200.4m (+26.5% yoy), below expectations. Revenue declined 5.6% yoy to Rmb37,638.4m, dragged by a 4.9%/23.6% decline in wind/photovoltaic power tariffs and slow capacity expansion. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 4.5ppt to 62.3%, supported by an improvement in wind power utilisation to 2,346 hours (+50 hours). Renewable subsidies collected in 2023 slowed to Rmb6.3b (- 70% yoy). Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$6.50.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, April 2, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI First expansion in six months. Sector Aviation Airlines: Expecting a turnaround in profitability in 2024 with moderate international travel recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Macau Gaming Mar 24 GGR up 6% mom; May 24 Golden Week a potential catalyst. Results China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$3.68/Target: HK$4.43) 2023: Results in line; healthy channel inventory and improved operating efficiency to drive growth. Upgrade to BUY. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.4...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+16)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Jun Sian Tan
  • Ken Lee
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Paula Ruth
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, April 02, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: Expecting a turnaround in profitability in 2024 with moderate international travel recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.48/Target: HK$6.50) 2023: Below expectations; slower-than-expected pace of capacity expansion. China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK/BUY/HK$11.26/Target: HK$19.42) 2023: Results beat expectations; watching for stabilisation of profitability in 2024. China Resources Gas (1193 HK/BUY/HK$24.9...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+18)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Jun Sian Tan
  • Ken Lee
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, October 30, 2023

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines: 3Q23 results broadly in line; bottom line turned around in the seasonal peak quarter. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.90): 3Q23: In line; 3Q23 wind power utilisation hours down 34 hours yoy. Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/HOLD/HK$3.76/Target: HK$4.00): 3Q23: Below expectations; 3Q23 WTG sales growth slows to +6.0% yoy. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$10.82/Target: HK$13.50): 3Q23: Earnings tripl...

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+18)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jessie Guo Yuting
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Sabrina Soh
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Waritthorn Kaewmuang
  • Zhifeng Shen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, October 31, 2022

GREATER CHINA Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$10.00/Target: HK$18.90): 3Q22: In line; improved wind power utilisation hours. China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb167.45/Target: Rmb223.00): 3Q22: Sharp declines on low traffic flow and high base; positive on future expansion. Estun Automation (002747 CH/HOLD/Rmb19.99/Target: Rmb21.50): 3Q22: Takeaways from post-results meeting. Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK/BUY/HK$4.94/Target: HK$7.50): 3Q22: Earnings miss estimat...

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