HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: FY 1H26 financial results review and conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: signs Social Agreement for 2026-27 with trade unions POSITIVE • Budimex: GDDKiA cancels selection for Starogard Gdański bypass NEGATIVE • CEZ: minority shareholders group suing State for WFT damages NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2025: Postcards from Prague • CD Projekt • cyber_Folks/Shoper • Orange Polska • Text • Vercom • 4iG • Magyar Telekom • Titan
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets have repriced • Text: 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – EBITDA down 29% yoy, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: strong 3Q25 beat on EBITDA and net profit, following the strong gross margin and cost discipline POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q25 results review – 3Q25 EBITDA up 92% yoy, 11-15% above our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • PGE: stable to declining recurring EBITDA outlook for 2026E NEUTRAL • H...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
A director at ING Bank Śląski S.A. sold 1,162 shares at 340.000PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: eyes 19% ROE and is more open to higher dividend payouts in its strategy update POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 3Q25 delivery with a 7% beat to consensus POSITIVE • Murapol: 3Q25E close to our forecasts with weaker revenue, but stronger gross margin NEUTRAL • Orlen: swaps some Norwegian assets with DNO NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext reportedly reaches the acquisition threshold NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: 3Q25 net profit of RON 0.73bn, 14% lower yoy; conse...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 3Q25 very solid; 20%+ ROE delivery; key catalyst will be M&A decisions NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 3Q25 beat driven purely by positive LLPs balance, still no breakthrough in NII performance NEUTRAL • ING BSK: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • mBank: 3Q25 bottom line misses estimates, but purely on higher tax and FX mortgage saga provisions NEUTRAL • Kruk: 3Q25 results a mixed bag – recoveries strong, revenues down, no breakthrough in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat...
We think that the robust outlook for Polish economic growth should offset mid-term uncertainty on fiscal policy and political risk. We have made a slight upward revision to our forecasts for pre-tax profit (by 1% to 4%) but lowered our EPS forecasts by 21% for 2026e and 4% for 2027e. After factoring in the full impact of the new tax bill, we have adjusted our target prices but remain cautiously positive on Polish banks. We favour mBank (upgrade to Outperform) for its upbeat long-term outlook and...
HEADLINES: • Orlen: makes an offer to buy Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 sales up 48.5% yoy to PLN 23.3m POSITIVE • Poland macro: August balance of payments data underscores weak exports • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from Budimex's consortium scored highest in the PKP PLK tender POSITIVE • PZU: the new CEO gives one of his first interviews, discussing the potential PZU–Pekao merger NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: Hard Rock Cafe joining the company’s brand portfolio POSITIVE • CEZ: AN...
HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: high steam pressure needs to cool off (downgraded to SELL) • Diagnostyka: testing positive (downgraded to HOLD) • Dom Development: 3Q25 – record sales, strong handovers, optimistic outlook POSITIVE • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond on 3 October POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 2Q25-26 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • European Oil and Gas Monthly: September 2025 – droning on about margins • 4iG: signs letter of intent with Axiom Space NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange...
HEADLINES: • Czech macro: parliamentary elections – 3-4 October • Text: preliminary 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – MRR of USD 7.06m (down 1.5% qoq, up 0.3% yoy) NEGATIVE • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: TSS sends open letter to ACP's shareholders and proposes new incentive scheme NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong momentum in light vehicle sales continued in September • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Romanian BET in...
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