HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: 4Q24 results miss expectations, on jumping SG&A costs NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: 1Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: 1Q25 results and new strategy presentation call takeaways NEUTRAL • EMEA airlines: 1Q25 traffic; demand concerns vs. cheaper USD and oil • CEZ: ANO promising privatisation and lower fees NEGATIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells Chilean RES for USD 815m (EUR 710m) POSITIVE • Polish banks: Trea...
HEADLINES: • Halyk Bank: efficient frontier (stays BUY) • Diagnostyka: 4Q24 prelims and DPS proposal ahead of expectations POSITIVE • Kety: 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries, PLN 48.78 DPS proposed NEUTRAL • Kety: new strategy assumes PLN 1.35bn in EBITDA in 2029E, close to our forecast NEUTRAL • CEZ: said to be nearing sale of nuclear SPV to the State POSITIVE • Poland macro: mixed results in March • Greece macro: 2024 budget surplus triggers one-off fiscal easing this year • Kazatomp...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: Noctis in Dies* (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Huuuge Games: 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA 5% above our forecast, share buybacks not a priority NEUTRAL • PGE: key takeaways from the 4Q24 results call NEUTRAL • Tauron: key takeaways from the 4Q24 results call NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: earnings call takeaways – challenging 1Q25E, but rather optimistic on FY25E outlook NEUTRAL • InPost: acquisition of Yodel for GBP 106m debt swap NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 4Q24E preview – 35% y...
HEADLINES: • Titan Cement: cementing its leadership (BUY - transfer of coverage) • 11 bit studios: 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA above our expectations, headlines hit by substantial write-offs POSITIVE • PGE: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Tauron: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: 1Q25 sales up 39% yoy, to PLN 22.1m POSITIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market up by a strong 15% yoy in 2M25 POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: signs supply agreement with CE...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: income on tap, with rerating potential (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: 2025-27E strategic targets • Auto Partner: final 4Q24 results slightly above the prelims NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 1Q25 traffic – a strong start to the year POSITIVE • Greece macro: improvements in 1Q • Hungary macro: duality in the economy continues • Wirtualna Polska: Warner Bros. Discovery keeps TVN POSITIVE • DataWalk: issues 750,000 shares at PLN 77.76/share POSITIVE • Alior Bank: 1Q25E preview (...
Yesterday (14 April), after the market closed, Bank Pekao published its 2025-27E strategic targets. The bank is targeting a minimum 18% ROE, with a maximum 35% C/I ratio and the COR falling into a range of 65-75bps. The dividend policy has been kept unchanged with regards to the targeted payout ratio, in a range of 50-75%, conditional on significant changes in RWA growth, pending meeting the regulatory requirements and receiving the watchdog’s consent. The strategy is based on three pillars: (i)...
HEADLINES: • Enea: full 4Q24 results in line with preliminaries; PLN 7.9bn capex planned in 2025E NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 4Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 15% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Kruk: issues 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Aegean Airlines: 1Q25 traffic – a strong start to the year POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 1Q25 traffic – 4% ASK growth yoy NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: March sales growth recovers to 13% yoy, but still well below our FY expectations NEUTRAL • Bank M...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: agrees to limit retail fees NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: EGM approves capital increase, via issuance of up to 280k new shares NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: may face change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: March sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q25 bookings at USD 62m, almost flat qoq NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: tariff impact – a preliminary assessment • VIGO Photonics: signs framework agreement with PCO on infrared arrays; minimum 2026-31 contract value of PLN 191.9m POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: confirms 4Q24 preliminary EBITDA of PLN 261m NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: Medicover gets conditional approval to acquire CityFit gyms NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • CEZ: ANO wants to nationalise CEZ • Richter: proposes D...
HEADLINES: • CIS-plus macro: Georgia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan face indirect risks from US tariffs, but growth trajectory to remain intact • CD Projekt / gaming sector: Nintendo delays Switch 2 pre-orders in the US, due to tariffs NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: new US tariffs should have a marginal impact on the company's business NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: US import tariffs unlikely to affect demand or margins NEUTRAL • DataWalk: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call POSITIVE • Hungarian telecoms: g...
HEADLINES: • LPP: mediocre 4Q24 – EBIT 4-5% below expectations, but decent start to the year; FY25E guidance broadly maintained, and FY26-27E guidance of stable margins, despite major sales growth acceleration POSITIVE • EEMEA macro: US reciprocal tariff effects • Trade Estates: strong 2024 results POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line with the consensus, but net income weak NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 4Q24 in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Text: 4Q24-25 (calendar 1Q25) prelimi...
HEADLINES: • Mavi: a mispriced story with solid fundamentals (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkish banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, Isbank and Yapi Kredi with HOLDs) • Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY) • Benefit Systems: March sports cards addition surprises positively, mostly in Poland POSITIVE • MOL: announces dividend proposal of HUF 275/share NEUTRAL • EU macro: cohesion funds can be deployed for defence, housing and energy investments • Dino...
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Shoper: 4Q24 results in line with prelims, sound cash flow generation NEUTRAL • Kety: 1Q25 results close to our expectations and relatively flat yoy NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: publishes 2025 budget POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (24-30 March)
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • Asseco Poland: 4Q24 review – net profit up 9% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • InPost: 4Q24 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA growth guidance in the mid-20%s, but a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Kety: solid full 4Q24 results, with EBITDA 12% above preliminaries POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 4Q24 review and 2025E guidance highlights • Titan Cem...
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