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Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 02/19/2026

Constellium: very strong Q4 2025 results with the momentum continuing into H1 2026|Eramet publishes weak results for 2025 but takes radical measures to rapidly improve its financial structure, notably with a plan to strengthen its equity capital by € 500m|AF-KLM: Unit costs under control enabling good profitability levels|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 19/02/2026

Constellium: very strong Q4 2025 results with the momentum continuing into H1 2026|Eramet publie de faibles résultats 2025 mais prend des mesures radicales pour améliorer rapidement la structure financière, notamment avec un projet de renforcement des fonds propres de 500 m EUR|AF-KLM: Unit costs under control enabling good profitability levels|

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PEO PW; PKN PW; KRU PW; OPL PW; MBR PW; CDR PW; GEKTERNA G...

HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 4Q25 delivery bodes well for 2026E outlook POSITIVE • Orlen: 4Q25 results – strong underlying EBITDA POSITIVE • Kruk: buys material portfolio in Italy – very strong start to 2026E in terms of investments scale POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs PLN 7.5m contract NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA to decline by 48% qoq (due on 19 March) • GEK Terna: EUR 1.1bn planned Vrochonera HPS project secures ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPL PW; CDR PW; RICHT HB; RO Macro; SNP RO; SNG RO; ELPE G...

HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: THEON NA; DSPW CP; MOL HB; MOL HB; ELPE GA; FROTO TI

HEADLINES: • Theon International: 4Q25 trading update - strong margin beat POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: signed a contract for turbine delivery in Dukovany NEUTRAL • MOL: asks for crude oil from the Strategic Reserve NEGATIVE • MOL: 4Q25E – results preview (due on 20 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: consortium with Chevron signs concession for four new offshore E&P blocks NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: proposes distribution of TRY 3.64 DPS NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; WPL PW; BDX PW; PKN PW; INPST NA; ENA PW; TPE PW;...

HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; ING PW; MBK PW; CAR PW; VGO PW; GEKTERNA GA; DIGI ...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EAT PW; SFG RO; INPST NA; MIL PW; PGE PW; APR PW; DVL PW; ...

HEADLINES: • AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera downgraded to HOLD) • InPost: EUR 15.6 offer from FedEx, Advent, A&R and PPF consortium POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q25 delivery, beat due to tax differences NEUTRAL • PGE: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: January sales growth drops to 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Develia: 4Q25E preview – 30% EBITDA drop, following margin normalisation (due on 3 April) • 4iG: 4Q25E preview – 4%...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LPP PW; PL Macro; BDX PW; EBS AV; SNG RO; RO Macro; HTO GA...

HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Erste – reinitiation of coverage

We reinitiate the coverage of Erste Bank with a Neutral recommendation. Our 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price is EUR 107.0, which implies an upside potential of approximately 4.6%. For 2025, we forecast a dividend of EUR 0.76 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of 10%. At current levels, the stock trades at 1.88× P/TBV, 13.7× 2025 P/E, and 11.5× 2026 P/E.

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Raiffeisen beats consensus on lower costs and impairments

Key message: Raiffeisen beat market consensus on ex-Russia profit, delivering EUR 416m versus EUR 325m consensus, driven mainly by lower operating costs, lower Polish FX-related expenses, and lower loan-loss impairments, partly offset by significantly weaker other operating income. The lower cost base and reduced impairments point to efficiency improvements and a healthier-than-expected credit environment, reflected in low default levels. Raiffeisen proposed a EUR 1.60 dividend, slightly a...

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