HEADLINES: • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Zabka: key takeaways from the Investor Day POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways • CCC: final 2Q25 EBITDA 3% below the prelims, on an earlier recognition of costs NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: end-3Q25 card base at 2.38m, Türkiye accelerated in September NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: September capacity growth slower than the summer, but better load factor NEUTRAL • OTE/DIGI Communications: sale o...
HEADLINES: • Zabka Group: 2026-28E rollout targets raised to 1.3k stores p.a.; dividend policy announced POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 losses deeper qoq on lower revenue and material write-offs • Rainbow Tours: consolidated August sales +17.6% yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales +7.9% yoy POSITIVE • Polish utilities: electricity sales tariffs for 4Q25 set at PLN 573/MWh POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: September Sensor Tower bookings estimates flat mom, improvement in core games N...
A director at OTP Bank Plc bought 27,000 shares at 28,627.000HUF and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: growth acceleration priced in already (downgraded to HOLD) • GTC: moves to amend terms of the two outstanding Forint bonds • OTE/DIGI Communications: Telekom Romania sold to DIGI and Vodafone for EUR 70m POSITIVE • EMEA Airlines: flights cancelled in Europe over weekend due to cyberattack on airport software • Wizz Air: strike on 26 September may disrupt operations in Italy NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Titan: Fidelity Investments cuts ownership...
HEADLINES: • Romanian Oil & Gas: still beyond the horizon (OMV Petrom downgraded to HOLD, Romgaz stays HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: Türkiye – twin deficits ameliorate, challenges persist • Huuuge Games: 2Q25 in line with expectations, USD 120m share buyback announced POSITIVE • Noval Property: 1H25 – FFO seems en route to exceed FY guidance POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways – to test new small warehouse in Germany NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: to pay extra dividend in October POSIT...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: 2Q25 EBITDA misses our and the market's expectations by 4-5% NEGATIVE • Eurozone macro: so far, so good • Colt CZ Group SE: multiple military contracts POSITIVE • CEZ: Babis will not buy CEZ "at any price" NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: PGE, Enea and Tauron contract 5.9 GW of new capacity obligations for 2026 NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation soars in August • Türkiye macro: interest rates drop, but monetary stance remains tight • LPP: 2Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITD...
HEADLINES: • Sarantis: 1H25 in line with expectations; profit guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1H25 earnings beat on one-offs; broadly in line on an underlying basis POSITIVE • Footshop: 2Q25 broadly in line with our estimates; 2025E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • PGE: 2Q25 results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Enea: 2Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: August sales growth decelerates to 5% yoy NEGATIVE • Georgia Capital: announces early redemption of USD 100m ...
HEADLINES: • PGE: decent 2Q25 recurring EBITDA, 8% above our expectations; strong cash generation POSITIVE • CEZ: ANO deputy chair puts cost of CEZ nationalisation at CZK 250bn POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-7 September) • Greece macro: 2Q GDP – first impressions • VIGO Photonics: signs letters of intent with PCO and CRW Telesystem-Mesko POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 2Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth forecast (due on 11 September) • Short News (CDR)
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: all about capital returns (stays BUY) • Colt CZ Group SE: acquires SNC – a strategic move POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 2Q25 EBITDA 14-24% above our and the market's expectations; guidance on new projects POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 2Q25 EBITDA 19-24% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) results – EBITDA down 21% yoy, 5% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 2Q25 soft, but better than we expected; FY25E budget cut NEGATIVE • MedLi...
We keep OTP Bank as a BUY, with an increased 12M price target (PT) of HUF 34,877/share, offering 16% upside. We appreciate its strong results delivery and we expect this to continue. We forecast a 2025E ROE of short of 21% (excluding the Russian operations, 18%+). Our current forecasts, based purely on organic growth, imply upside vs. the current consensus estimates. However, if this was OTP’s only story, we would see its current valuation as offering too little upside to guarantee an outright p...
HEADLINES: • PZU: 2Q25 results – beat on the bottom line, but insurance operations show some weakness and delivered below expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 2Q25 results – beat driven by stellar 37% gross profit margin POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: neutral 2Q25 results – beat on underlying bottom line driven by bond sales gains; negative NII trend NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 2Q25 – slightly above low expectations; new strategy publication in November POSITIVE • DataWalk: 2Q25 actual numbers fully in li...
HEADLINES: • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 adjusted EBITDA down 11% qoq, 4-9% above expectations POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, in line with our forecast, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways – supportive of the 2026E outlook NEUTRAL • Akcansa: competition investigation launched NEGATIVE • MedLife: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 August)
HEADLINES: • Duna House: strong 2Q25, guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 adjusted EBIT up 17% yoy, marginally above our forecast NEUTRAL • Orlen: partner makes significant oil discovery in Norway POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: may pay out PLN 449m of 2019 net profit as a dividend NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (18-24 August) • Gentoo Media: 2Q25E financial results preview (due out tomorrow)
HEADLINES: • Premier Energy: focus on RES (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, some offset may come from slight cut in the bank tax NEGATIVE • Dino: 1-5% EBITDA miss in 2Q25; FY25E lfl guidance cut to mid-single digits NEGATIVE • Budimex: final 2Q25 results fully confirm prelims NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings call takeaways – optimistic outlook for 2H25E POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 2Q25 ear...
We see this news as outright negative, which could halt the robust share price performance of the Polish banks, for some time at least. One aspect is the direct financial impact of the proposed tax regime change for the sector, and another is that such a change could reduce trust in the stability of the operating backdrop of banking (and other sectors, potentially) in Poland. This could result in international investors applying a higher market risk premium to the Polish market, going forward, i...
HEADLINES: • Solutions by STC: balance of risks to the upside (upgraded to BUY) • TBC Bank: 2Q25 results and conference call highlights • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 2Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • Jahez: weak 2Q25 financial results, with significant pressure on the EBITDA margin NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: July sales growth accelerates marginally, to 11% yoy NEUTRAL • Austriacard: 1H25E earnings preview (due on 28 August)
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