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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GR Refiners; ACP PW; OPAP GA; TRESTATE GA; VRC PW; CBF PW;...

HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts: Q2 in line, with more confidence for FY25 but i...

Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts: Q2 in line, with more confidence for FY25 but i...

Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; INPST NA; ALE PW; TL Automotive; W...

HEADLINES: • cyber_Folks: 2Q25 results review – 66% yoy EBITDA growth, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 2Q25 results review – 21% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above the consensus POSITIVE • Shoper: 2Q25 broadly in line with expectations NEUTRAL • InPost: suing Allegro for breach of agreement • Turkish automotive: strong light vehicle sales in August NEUTRAL • Eurowag: 1H25E results preview (due out tomorrow)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GTC PW; AROBS RO; RO Macro; TL Macro; Greek Bank...

HEADLINES: • InPost: 2Q25 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance broadly maintained; domestic market recovery in 3Q POSITIVE • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • AROBS Transilvania Software: 2Q25 – trending up, despite continuing headwind from automotive vertical • Romania macro: fiscal consolidation effort moves forward, but politics remain jittery • Türkiye macro: 2Q GDP momentum points to a stronger 2025E outlook • Greek banks: commit an additional donation of EUR 75m each to s...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland – worst performer in August

EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...

PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
GPP CTP NV
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
OPTIMAr ELM CO
AQ OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB BANK OF CYPRUS
ALPHA ZABKA GROUP
PE RO ALPHA BANK S.A.
PREMIER ENERGY
Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Model Update

We have updated our financial model to reflect recent macroeconomic developments, setting a 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price of 0.790 RON, representing a 9.0% upside including the anticipated 0.020 RON special dividend following the 2024 fiscal year (regular dividend has been already paid out) and total dividend of 0.068 RON following the 2025 fiscal year. Consequently, we change our recommendation to Neutral from Accumulate for OMV Petrom.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PZU PW; DOM PW; BHW PW; EUR PW; DAT PW; TPE PW; CAI AV; MO...

HEADLINES: • PZU: 2Q25 results – beat on the bottom line, but insurance operations show some weakness and delivered below expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 2Q25 results – beat driven by stellar 37% gross profit margin POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: neutral 2Q25 results – beat on underlying bottom line driven by bond sales gains; negative NII trend NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 2Q25 – slightly above low expectations; new strategy publication in November POSITIVE • DataWalk: 2Q25 actual numbers fully in li...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TUPRS TI; KRU PW; WPL PW; ENA PW; G2M SS; TLV RO; TEN PW; ...

HEADLINES: • Tupras: enjoying life in the margins (stays BUY) • Kruk: 2Q25 beat, on a positive tax balance, lower financial costs and a drop in the cost to collect ratio POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 24% yoy, 6% above the consensus; weak 2H25E outlook NEGATIVE • Enea: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA 15% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply and better Generation; PLN 2.8bn capex, including wind farm acquisitions POSITIVE • Gentoo Media: 2Q25 financial...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | Full House in 2025e, but 2026 is another question

The catalyst – Q2’25 results on 3rd Sep look poised to be a positive catalyst: although the numbers are not likely to impress (EE revenues/EBITDA +4% yoy, DPS €0.65) and mgt may abstain from raising the guidance, commentary on the Q3 outlook is likely to be upbeat, as indicated by latest data. This is because of another series of record jackpot rollovers, which have brought Q3 (to-date) Joker GGR >€40m yoy. This means that contrary to market expectations – which envisaged a c€25-30m headwind due...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TEN PW; GPP PW; BFT PW; AKCNS TI; M RO

HEADLINES: • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 adjusted EBITDA down 11% qoq, 4-9% above expectations POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, in line with our forecast, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways – supportive of the 2026E outlook NEUTRAL • Akcansa: competition investigation launched NEGATIVE • MedLife: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 August)

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | Full House in 2025e, but 2026 is another question

The catalyst – Q2’25 results on 3rd Sep look poised to be a positive catalyst: although the numbers are not likely to impress (EE revenues/EBITDA +4% yoy, DPS €0.65) and mgt may abstain from raising the guidance, commentary on the Q3 outlook is likely to be upbeat, as indicated by latest data. This is because of another series of record jackpot rollovers, which have brought Q3 (to-date) Joker GGR >€40m yoy. This means that contrary to market expectations – which envisaged a c€25-30m headwind due...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DUNAHOUS HB; BFT PW; PKN PW; BHW PW; EME Macro/Strategy We...

HEADLINES: • Duna House: strong 2Q25, guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 adjusted EBIT up 17% yoy, marginally above our forecast NEUTRAL • Orlen: partner makes significant oil discovery in Norway POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: may pay out PLN 449m of 2019 net profit as a dividend NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (18-24 August) • Gentoo Media: 2Q25E financial results preview (due out tomorrow)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PE RO; PL Banks; DNP PW; BDX PW; KAP LI; MBR PW; CPS PW; T...

HEADLINES: • Premier Energy: focus on RES (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, some offset may come from slight cut in the bank tax NEGATIVE • Dino: 1-5% EBITDA miss in 2Q25; FY25E lfl guidance cut to mid-single digits NEGATIVE • Budimex: final 2Q25 results fully confirm prelims NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings call takeaways – optimistic outlook for 2H25E POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 2Q25 ear...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DOC AV; CGEO LN; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; KMGZ KZ; CBF P...

HEADLINES: • DO & CO: on the menu – fair value (downgraded to HOLD) • Georgia Capital: launches nine-month USD 50m buyback programme POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (11-17 August) • KazMunayGas: 2Q25E results preview (due on 22 August) NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 2Q25E results preview – 22% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 2 September) • Vercom: 2Q25E results preview – 20% yoy EBITDA growth (due on 2 September)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ECH PW; PKN PW; KAP LI; TLV RO

HEADLINES: • Echo Investment: sells 5.3k Resi4Rent units to TAG POSITIVE • Orlen: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 August) NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25E results preview (due on 22 August) NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2Q25E results preview (due on 28 August) • Short News (PCF)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CGEO LN; BIMAS TI; SOKM TI; KLKIM TI; AQ RO; SNG RO; RO Ma...

HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: multi-sector story (BUY - transfer of coverage) • BIM: solid operating results overshadowed by bottom-line miss in 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: bottom line misses expectations in 2Q25 NEGATIVE • Kalekim: 2Q25 – strong set of results POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 2Q25 – eyeing +6% EBITDA margin for 2H25E POSITIVE • Romgaz: 2Q25 results – better than our forecasts POSITIVE • Romania macro: GDP heading into a tough 2H • DIGI Communications: key takeawa...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CDR PW; PZU PW; MOL HB; ELPE GA; NLBR SV; CCC PW; AKCNS TI...

HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: opening the next chapter (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: CEO Klesyk dismissed NEGATIVE • MOL: 2Q25 results hit by one-off charge NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • NLB Group: material bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mainly to provisions and impairments released POSITIVE • CCC: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 1-5%, on the top line POSITIVE • Akcansa: 2Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Brisa: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Cimsa:...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (7 August 2025)

HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Petrom beats expectations, lifted by one-off litigation gain

• The company reported clean CCS operating profit of RON 1,188 mn, representing a 6% decline QoQ and a 14% decline YoY. However, it outperformed the consensus estimate of RON 1,111 mn, exceeding it by 7%, mainly due to stronger-than-expected performance in the E&P segment. The results were significantly boosted by a one-off litigation settlement, which increased EBITDA and EBIT by RON 200 mn. The outperformance was even more pronounced at the net profit level, further supported by RON 170 mn in ...

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