Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: Reallocating Into Higher-Conviction Names Our Alpha Picks outperformed the STI on a price-weighted and market cap-weighted basis but underperformed on an equal-weighted basis. For Feb 26, we add CAO, RGL, HLA, and PROP and remove CLAR, KEP, MPM, and RSTON. The portfolio continues to be well-positioned ahead of expected EQDP-driven flows into small- and mid-cap stocks. Sector Update | Banking The appointment of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair has strengthened...
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
NPI from VivoCity surged 10.1% yoy in 3QFY26, driven by completion of asset enhancement for Basement 2 in Aug 25. Singapore accounted for 65.1% of NPI in 3QFY26. MPACT extended its lease with BMW by three years till 2031 but incurred mid-teens rental reduction starting Jan 26. Maintain BUY with a target price of S$1.84 due to growth from Singapore and an attractive FY27 DPU yield of 5.8%.
Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...
Top Stories Company Results | Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT SP/BUY/S$1.46/Target: S$1.84) MPACT’s 2QFY26 DPU of 2.01 S cents (+1.5% yoy) is in line with our expectation. VivoCity generated positive rental reversion of 14.1% and growth in tenant sales of 4.8% yoy despite disruption from the ongoing AEI. NPI margin improved 0.7ppt yoy to 75.0% in 2QFY26 due to lower utility rates. Maintain BUY with a target price of S$1.84 due to growth from Singapore and an attractive FY27 DPU yield...
Greater China Company Results | Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/HK$36.73/Target: HK$45.70) Han’s Laser’s 3Q25 revenue grew 35% yoy and 9% qoq to Rmb5.1b, while margins recovered sequentially by 4.7ppt qoq to 35.0%, beating estimates. This was mainly driven by the robust growth in its PCB equipment business which we estimate to have contributed to 62% of its bottom line in 3Q25. Going forward, we expect the PCB business, together with the Apple supply chain business, to continue to support Han’s L...
MPACT’s 2QFY26 DPU of 2.01 S cents (+1.5% yoy) is in line with our expectation. VivoCity generated positive rental reversion of 14.1% and growth in tenant sales of 4.8% yoy despite disruption from the ongoing AEI. NPI margin improved 0.7ppt yoy to 75.0% in 2QFY26 due to lower utility rates. Maintain BUY with a target price of S$1.84 due to growth from Singapore and an attractive FY27 DPU yield of 5.9%.
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming: Jul 25 GGR beat consensus by 5%, hitting post-pandemic high; raise full-year GGR forecast to 7% yoy growth. Results Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK/BUY/HK$3.09/Target: HK$3.60): 1H25: Results in line. Policy boost and supply discipline drive re-rating potential; upgrade to BUY. Update Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK/BUY/HK$6.91/Target: HK$7.83): Takeaways from luncheon: Growing the Peplink ecosystem. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Massive Outperformance For Jul 25 Our Alpha Picks portfolio surpassed the STI by a massive 12.4ppt in Jul 25. Add HLA, MPM and CSE; remove IFAST and SSG. Results Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT SP/BUY/S$1.28/Target: S$1.86) 1QFY26: Lower operating and interest expenses offset overseas headwinds. NetLink NBN Trust (NETLINK SP/BUY/S$0.895/Target: S$0.98) 1QFY26: Muted result...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Rebound falters, weighed down by weaker construction and input cost pressures. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales pressured by anti-involution initiatives. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.26/Target: HK$12.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Sales surge, driven by price cuts and new model launches. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Desay SV and Tuopu. Update Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$14.44/Target: HK$19.00) Revenue remains under pressure but stable operating margin is expected; increasing consumer preference for food delivery over dining in. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Jacobson Pharma (...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector REITs S-REITs monthly update (Apr 25). Results Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP/BUY/US$0.50/Target: US$0.90) 1Q25: Tech giants continue to invest in data centres and AI. Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP/BUY/S$0.545/Target: S$0.71) 1Q25: Defensive strength from mid-tier positioning and low leverage. Sheng Siong Group (SSG SP/BUY/S$1.76/Target: S$1.97) 1Q25: Expanding footprint to fuel growth. Update Wilmar International (WIL SP/BUY/S$3.06/Target: S$3.4...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: Takeaways from Shanghai Auto Show 2025. 1Q25 results review for BYD, GWM and GAC. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Consumer: Politburo meeting: Emphasising income improvement and service consumption; prefer consumer companies with strong cost control and domestic focus. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$397.00/Target: HK$510.00): 1Q25: Earnings double yoy, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$510.00. EVE Energy (300014 HK/BU...
VivoCity was the star performer with NPI rising 6.5% yoy in 4QFY25 despite disruptions from the ongoing enhancement at its basement 2. VivoCity registered stellar double-digit positive rental reversion of 16.8% and maintained high occupancy of 99.3%. Aggregate leverage receded by 0.5ppt qoq to 37.7% due to revaluation gains. MPACT trades at FY26 distribution yield of 7.0% and P/NAV of 0.69x, which has factored in a dimmer outlook for its overseas properties. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.62.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP/BUY/S$2.14/Target: S$2.37) 1Q25: A good start for a good year. Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT SP/BUY/S$1.22/Target: S$1.62) 4QFY25: Overcoming adverse operating challenges overseas. TRADERS' CORNER Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCBC SP): Trading SELL Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP): Trading SELL
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures remain. Sector Automobile Weekly: Direct impacts from US tariffs contained; indirect spillovers uncertain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$81.55/Target: HK$108.80) 1Q25 sales me...
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