reports
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Long majors vs short LCC : le choix de 2026
Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Long legacy carriers vs short LCC: the choice for 2026
For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
INF INFOTEL SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
AUB AUBAY SA
DSV DSV PANALPINA A/S
ATE ALTEN SA
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
COK CANCOM SE
BC8 BECHTLE AG
ADN1 ADESSO AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
ALSN ALSO HOLDING AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
ECONT ECONOCOM GROUP SE CLASS D
REY REPLY S.P.A.
AEIN ALLGEIER HOLDING AG
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
NA9 NAGARRO
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
GSK GSK PLC
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ATO ATOS SE
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
INF INFOTEL SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
AUB AUBAY SA
DSV DSV PANALPINA A/S
ATE ALTEN SA
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
COK CANCOM SE
BC8 BECHTLE AG
ADN1 ADESSO AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
ALSN ALSO HOLDING AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
ECONT ECONOCOM GROUP SE CLASS D
REY REPLY S.P.A.
AEIN ALLGEIER HOLDING AG
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
NA9 NAGARRO
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
GSK GSK PLC
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ATO ATOS SE
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; Polish media; DVL PW; SNP RO; BELA GA; Turkish aut...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
- Oleg Galbur
- Gabor Bukta
Halfway out of the turbulence
Summary We leave our TP at 20.0 GBP and reiterate our Buy recommendation, reflecting the ongoing restructuring story. Following the fiscal Q3/26 conference call held on 29 January, we repeatedly concluded that the fruitful strategic overhaul is under way. The management is building back confidence, so that’s good news for value investors. The problem is that they have to manage high-capacity growth (+24% seats and +30% ASK) during fiscal Q2/27. Key question remains how the market will be able ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; TEN PW; MUR PW; MONET CP...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
R22 R22
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
VRC VERCOM SA
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; XTB PW; CCC PW; OPL PW; HUG PW; TEN PW; RBW PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik (BUY, PT TRY 207.5): 4Q25 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • CCC: acquisition of controlling stake in MKRI NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: fined PLN 34m by Poland's antitrust regulator NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate down 1% mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA marginally above zero in...
CEZ CEZ AS
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
RICHT RICHTER
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
HUGE HUUUGE
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
H2O ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SPLUS HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON SHOPPER PARK PLUS ZRT
ZAB THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PE RO ZABKA GROUP
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (30 January 2026)
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: preliminary 2025 results, and initial 2026E guidance • Budimex: consortium wins PLN 4bn PKP PLK Rail Baltica tender POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: 3Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA up 15% qoq (due on 20 March) • OMV: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Krka: preliminary 4Q25 revenues in line, but operating earnings miss NEGATIVE • Short News (HTO, ASELS)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; CCC PW; ALE PW; INPST NA; BDX PW; SPL PW; SNP RO;...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY26 – broadly in line NEUTRAL • CCC: profit warning – 4Q25 EBITDA down 50-60% yoy, FY25E guidance missed by 15% NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro raises delivery fees by c.4%, effective as of 2 March NEUTRAL • Budimex: extension of strategic options review process for FBSerwis until April 2026 NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q25E preview (due on 4 February) • OMV Petrom: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Titan: EUR 350m bond at 3.5% to fund M&A and...
- Nicolas David
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
SGE SAGE GROUP PLC
DGE DIAGEO PLC
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
SAND SANDVIK AB
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
OMV OMV AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
STR STRABAG SE
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
- Nicolas David
LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
SGE SAGE GROUP PLC
DGE DIAGEO PLC
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
SAND SANDVIK AB
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
OMV OMV AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
STR STRABAG SE
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
- Oleg Galbur
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16.01.2026
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Uzbekistan production boost: two new wells onstream in February – The first horizontal well is now onstream. Only the shallower interval has been tested to date, delivering 3.6 mmcf/d. The full ~1 km lateral — including the zones with the strongest gas‑show responses — has not yet been accessed. A larger‑diameter coiled‑tubing unit than is currently available is required to d...
FP TOTAL SE
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
OMV OMV AG
SEY STERLING ENERGY PLC
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
REP REPSOL SA
EOG. ECO ATLANTIC OIL & GAS
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PANR PANTHEON RESOURCES
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
BWE BW ENERGY
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
SHELL ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
CDR CONDOR ENERGIES INC
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – Wizz Air: may grow capacity by c.20% in FY27E
In an interview with Bloomberg, Wizz Air’s CEO, Jozsef Varadi, has suggested that the airline may grow faster than the latest guidance implied, driven by the unparking of grounded aircraft and new aircraft deliveries. Bloomberg has reported that the CEO was suggesting that the airline may grow capacity by around 20% in FY26E yoy. We believe this is a misinterpretation of what the CEO meant, as it would require an unrealistic acceleration of capacity growth in the January-March period. We have re...
- Nicolas David
- Oliver Metzger
SGE SAGE GROUP PLC
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
GBF BILFINGER SE
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
FHZN FLUGHAFEN ZURICH AG
OMV OMV AG
G24 SCOUT24 AG
GEBN GEBERIT AG
RWE RWE AG
FIE FIELMANN AG
PGHN PARTNERS GROUP HOLDING AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
TUI TUI AG
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Nicolas David
- Oliver Metzger
SGE SAGE GROUP PLC
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
GBF BILFINGER SE
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
FHZN FLUGHAFEN ZURICH AG
OMV OMV AG
G24 SCOUT24 AG
GEBN GEBERIT AG
RWE RWE AG
FIE FIELMANN AG
PGHN PARTNERS GROUP HOLDING AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
TUI TUI AG
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
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