AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Calendar of upcoming activities – Well testing at Welchau is now expected to start in January. The shallow gas drilling programme will start February 2026 while oil appraisal drilling is scheduled for 3Q26. Pulsar Helium (PLSR LN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: High pressure at Jetstream #3 – Jetstream #3 has intersected two gas-bearing intervals at ~523 meters and 621 meters...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 3Q25 very solid; 20%+ ROE delivery; key catalyst will be M&A decisions NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 3Q25 beat driven purely by positive LLPs balance, still no breakthrough in NII performance NEUTRAL • ING BSK: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • mBank: 3Q25 bottom line misses estimates, but purely on higher tax and FX mortgage saga provisions NEUTRAL • Kruk: 3Q25 results a mixed bag – recoveries strong, revenues down, no breakthrough in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat...
Cyfrowy Polsat has become a diversified corporation, adding real estate and clean energy to its core TMT business (90% of revenues) in 2022 and 2023 respectively. While these additions open new avenues for growth, they have resulted in one of the highest leverage levels in the TMT sector and led to a dividend cut in 2023. The new clean energy venture required significant upfront capital expenditure and now appears to fall short of initial management expectations. In addition, family dispute at t...
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: solid 3Q25 bottom line, but waiting for a change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q25 results do not bring much to the table NEUTRAL • Zabka: 3Q25 a notch above the consensus POSITIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 3Q25 results – sales up 59% yoy, to PLN 7.34m POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 results – CCS EBITDA above estimates POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 results – net income beat NEUTRAL • Borouge: 3Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 fin...
HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: crude headwinds (downgraded to HOLD) • Budimex: 3Q25 EBITDA flat yoy, as expected NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: 3Q25 results – in line with expectations NEUTRAL • WOOD Flash – Georgia Capital: solid 3Q25 financial results – positive view maintained, discount to NAV remains attractive POSITIVE • Georgia Capital: 3Q25 conference call takeaways • OTE: increases prices by 2.6% from December 2025 POSITIVE • Borouge: 3Q25E results preview (due out tomorrow) NEUTRAL • OMV: 3Q25E r...
HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: a flash in the pan (Enea and Tauron stay HOLD, PGE stays SELL) • Bank Millennium: posts solid 3Q25, all priced in NEUTRAL • Akbank: 3Q25 highlights – no major surprises, but NIM recovery remains slow and 2026E COR guidance appears cautious NEUTRAL • Kety: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orlen: wins USD 146m from Gazprom POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT delivers 100bps cut, in line with the co...
HEADLINES: • Hidroelectrica: water should yield more (SELL - transfer of coverage) • MONETA Money Bank: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 2% above the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Kety: full 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Sarantis: 3Q trading update slightly below expectations; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • MOL: to become a holding company NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: CEO favours Poland ...
We think that the robust outlook for Polish economic growth should offset mid-term uncertainty on fiscal policy and political risk. We have made a slight upward revision to our forecasts for pre-tax profit (by 1% to 4%) but lowered our EPS forecasts by 21% for 2026e and 4% for 2027e. After factoring in the full impact of the new tax bill, we have adjusted our target prices but remain cautiously positive on Polish banks. We favour mBank (upgrade to Outperform) for its upbeat long-term outlook and...
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