BRD-GSG is proposing a 50% dividend payout ratio from its 2025 net profit, below the 60% we assumed back in 2025 and implying a c.18% lower DPS for 2025 than we expected (RON 1.11 vs. RON 1.36). At the current price levels, this implies a 3.8% dividend yield. This proposal is subject to approval at the GSM, to be held on 29 April.
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik (BUY, PT TRY 207.5): 4Q25 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • CCC: acquisition of controlling stake in MKRI NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: fined PLN 34m by Poland's antitrust regulator NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate down 1% mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA marginally above zero in...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: rates unchanged, and some positive news • Murapol: sells 767 and hands over 1,286 units in 4Q25 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1Q26 revenues growth eases to 4% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • XTB S.A.: over 250k new clients in 4Q25 in sight NEUTRAL • PZU/Bank Pekao: merger uncertain even by end-4Q27E, according to the Minister of State Assets NEUTRAL • CTP: prices EUR 500m 4Y bond at 3.4%; leases space in Amsterdam to Crisp POSITIVE • Wizz Air: may grow capacity by ...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 4Q25 trading update – miss on annual investments, but recoveries strong NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska/Erste Bank: shift of shareholdings finalised as of 9 January NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: December sales increased by 13.6% yoy NEUTRAL • Duna House: strong 4Q KPIs; Czexit; Italy stake raised to 95% POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 trading update and 2026E volume guidance NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-8 January)
HEADLINES: • Text: preliminary 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – MRR of USD 6.98m (-1.1% qoq and -1.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • PZU/Bank Pekao: delay merger deadline NEGATIVE • mBank: to face PLN 362.1m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: updates market on the impact of sale of 60% stake in Santander Consumer Bank NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: calls EGM for 22 January NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court upholds May ruling on Solorz family succession POSITIVE •...
HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m • Auto Partner: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.1bn offer selected by PKP PLK POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 November-4 December) • Postcards from Prague • Dino • Enea • Warsaw Stock Exchange • CEZ • Banca Transilvania • BRD-GSG • Cimsa • Akcansa • Artea Bankas • Ignitis • NLB Group • Mavi: 3Q25E earnings preview (due out 10 December)
Most Turkish non-financial public debt issuers have published their 3Q/9M25 results (we expect Limak Group entities to report by end-December). Below, we have revised and updated our view on Turkish corporate bonds based on the published results and corporate commentary.
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group: 3Q25 results and earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 3Q25 – slightly above our low expectations, but below the consensus; strategy publication postponed to 9 December NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q25 conference call highlights POSITIVE • EME Strategy: FTSE GEIS November 2025 review results • Duna House: 3Q25 – strong summer, FY guidance upgraded POSITIVE • GEK Terna: 9M25 results in line; EBITDA jumps 66%, thanks to Attiki Odos • Athens Exchange Group: FTSE to reduce ...
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