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Krisztian Karikas
  • Krisztian Karikas

Top line growth remained solid, but net profit disappoints

DIGI has reported its Q1 results today morning. While the revenue growth remained solid, supported by the strong underlying performance from key markets, net profit was quite disappointing in this quarter which came in at EUR 5.9mn, 73% down YoY.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Polish Food Retail – DNP PW; EUR PW; JMT PL; ZAB PW; BFT P...

HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...

Lukasz Wachelko ... (+3)
  • Lukasz Wachelko
  • CFA
  • Maria Mickiewicz

Polish Food Retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY...

We believe that, after the price war-impacted 2024 and the seasonally-challenged 1Q25, Polish grocers should enjoy Easter-supported demand and a leap in the VAT hike in 2Q25E. In our view, the Polish consumer has matured, following the tough experience of the pandemic, and the inflation bubble that followed. With a propensity to consume no longer close to 100%, we see the rollout-led growth as more tangible than pure lfl expansion. Within the high-growth names, we prefer Żabka (initiation with a...

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - May 2025 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.

Chris Hoare ... (+2)
  • Chris Hoare
  • David Lopes

CelcomDigi – Q1 25 Quick Take: Topline recovery delayed by prepaid sof...

What’s New: Recovery in service revenue trend was delayed by Prepaid competition although prepaid net additions were encouraging. EBITDA growth improved to flat while underlying EBIT was up 6.3% YoY. Management reiterated its FY25 guidance and for it to work, ARPU needs to stabilise given that prepaid subscriber base is now rising again. In terms of shareholder remuneration, the company proposed a quarterly dividend of RM 3.7sen, which is unchanged from previous quarter.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BDX PW (upgraded to BUY); HSBK LI; TEN PW; GEV CP; TITC GA...

HEADLINES • Budimex: growth acceleration on the horizon (upgraded to BUY) • Halyk Bank: 1Q25 results highlights before the call POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA 15% above our forecast, but April sales disappoint NEGATIVE • GEVORKYAN: strong 1Q25 - EBITDA 15% above our expectations; 2025E conservative guidance POSITIVE • Titan Cement: completes divestment of its 75% stake in Adocim in Eastern Türkiye NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: key takeaways from our call with the CF...

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Food Retail: trade war lifted multiples, beware of future sector rotat...

European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each

Haidje Rustau
  • Haidje Rustau

Digi Communications - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2025 Results - Lucror Ana...

Digi Communications has released its Q1/25 numbers. Revenues rose 19.7% y-o-y to EUR 533 mn, driven by improvement across divisions. EBITDA growth was more modest at 4.6%, while the margin narrowed. Subscriber trends remained robust. OCF generation was solid, supported by the EBITDA increase, while cash generation and capex were largely stable. We calculate net leverage of 2.7x. Management was pleased with the results, highlighting that Digi has delivered another record quarter. Its focus re...

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Vallourec, Aggreko, TK Elevator, Aston Martin, Techem, Bite, Virgin Media O2, NewDay, Sunrise, Digi Communications, Telecom Italia, Banijay, Liberty Global, Solenis, Air France-KLM, Flos B&B Italia (formerly International Design Group), Forvia (formerly Faurecia), Flora Food Group (formerly Upfield), Premier Foods, The Very Group, Lecta, Air Baltic, Teva, Standard Profil

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Digi (Underweight) Q1 25: Full steam ahead on Portugal fibre roll

Digi has given KPIs for Portugal for the first time on a LFL basis and has added +68k in mobile and +10k for broadband. This is ahead of the full year run rate in our model, and so if this pace can be maintained, it would be doing well we think.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 05/15/2025

Maxeda: solid Q4 results and Q1 expected to be strong. Further bond buybacks.|Ubisoft: sharp decline in 2024/25 earnings, no rebound expected in 2025/26|Forvia is considering selling its spare parts division|Techem Q2 25 results: Good earnings print; ownership change and mandatory call remain open|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 15/05/2025

Maxeda : de bons résultats T4 et un T1 qui devrait l’être tout autant. Poursuite des rachats de dettes.|Ubisoft : résultats 2024/25 en forte baisse, pas de rebond attendu en 2025/26|Forvia envisagerait la cession de sa division de pièces détachées|Techem Q2 25 results: Good earnings print; ownership change and mandatory call remain open|

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PZU PW; CEZ CP; EUR PW; GPW PW; SFG RO; TLV RO; BVB RO; DI...

HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Kantar, Digi Communications, Bite, Banijay, Lowell, Lecta, Aggreko, Trivium, Fedrigoni, Softbank Group, Cheplapharm, Air Baltic, Vallourec

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Jeronimo Martins: rerating not over yet with better margin prospects

Following a strong Q1, we see several positive signs around a price war easing in Poland and have increased our Polish EBITDA and our PT from EUR21 to EUR25. In line with our January 2025 upgrade to Buy, we continue to see a rerating path to >20x P/E, which is the normalised level in no Polish c

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; MOL HB; OTP HB; EAT PW; NLBR SV; ETE GA; EUROB G...

HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q25 results – strong EBITDA, big net income beat POSITIVE • OTP Bank: neutral 1Q25 results, but supported strongly by Russian operations NEUTRAL • AmRest: 1Q25 below expectations, due to EUR 5m negative one-off NEUTRAL • NLB Group: small bottom-line miss in 1Q25, but guidance maintained NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: 1Q25 highlights POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q25 highlights NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q25 highli...

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