AT: Flughafen Wien - Significant hike of FY 22 guidance (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Starting share buyback programme for up to 1% of share capital (positive) AT: STRABAG - Resignation of Peter Krammer became effective as of June 12 (neutral) RO: Medlife - Medlife opens a new clinic in Targu Mures, and expands its regional presence through two acquisitions (positive) RU: Transneft, RusHydro - Government decree provides for RUB 23.3 bn in 2021 dividends from RusHydro and RUB 76 bn from T...
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
AT: CA Immo - Q1 ahead of expectations, additional valuation effects (positive) AT: EVN - Q2 operating result above expectations, net income affected by goodwill impairment, net guidance confirmed though (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Solid Q1, no new guidance or dividend announcement yet (neutral) AT: UBM Development - Relatively uneventful Q1 with results in line with pre pandemic years HU: OTP - OTP bought 100k of its shares (neutral) PL: CCC - Interview with HalfPrice CEO (neutral) RO: BRD-GSG,...
HEADLINES: • Georgian banks: game on - banks are cheap (Bank of Georgia upgraded to BUY, TBC Bank Group stays BUY) • Bank Handlowy: posts huge turnaround in profitability in 1Q22 POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q22 - better than expected results POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 1Q22 results solid and on track to meet FY22E budget • Aygaz: 1Q22 results review - 44% NI beat, driven by Entek and Tupras • Motor Oil Hellas: deal with Ellaktor - strong expansion into RES • Public Power Corporation: i...
MARKET COMMENT - RSPP PROPOSES STRIPPING MINORITY RIGHTS, EU AND US OFFICIALS CONSIDER MORE SANCTIONS AND EXPELLING RUSSIA FROM THE G20The Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs proposed to the government to strip nonresident minority shareholders of their shareholder rights on a temporary basis, according to RBC and other sources. Top EU and US officials remarked that more sanctions would be considered Thursday. Equity trading remains suspended in Russia. STORIES> RSPP proposes to st...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РСПП ПРЕДЛАГАЕТ ВРЕМЕННО ОГРАНИЧИТЬ В ПРАВАХ ИНОСТРАННЫХ МИНОРИТАРИЕВ, ЕС И США РАССМАТРИВАЮТ ВОЗМОЖНОСТЬ ВВЕДЕНИЯ НОВЫХ САНКЦИЙРоссийский союз промышленников и предпринимателей предложил правительству временно ограничить в правах иностранных миноритариев, сообщают РБК и другие источники. ЕС и США рассмотрят в четверг возможность введения новых санкций. Торги акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему не проводятся. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть после ралли начали стабилизироваться в предд...
MARKET COMMENT - GOVERNMENT MULLS BUYING MORE STOCK, MSCI EXPELS RUSSIARussian stocks remained frozen in Moscow and were mostly frozen abroad as well yesterday. The government is mulling tapping more of the NWF to buy Russian stocks. MSCI will expel Russia from global benchmarks, and ratings agencies have cut the market to junk status.STORIES> MSCI expels Russia from global and emerging benchmarks> GDP could decline by 10-15% in 2022> Weekly inflation surges to 0.45% over February 19-25> Basic s...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗПроизводство в базовых отраслях российской экономики выросло в январе на 1% по сравнению с предыдущим месяцем (с учетом корректировки на сезонную составляющую) после роста на 0,6% в декабре. Динамика улучшилась благодаря оптовой торговли и грузообороту транспорта. В период с 19 по 25 февраля потребительские цены в России выросли на 0,45% против 0,24% неделей ранее. Причинами, судя по всему, стали повышение спроса на непродовольственные товары, а также ослабление рубля, котор...
MARKET COMMENT - RDX DOWN MORE THAN IN 1998, MSCI RUSSIA THE MOST SINCE 2008 AS MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS CLOSEDWhile Moscow stock trading remains closed, offshore and composite indexes dropped another 6-57%. The RDX offshore DR index has now fallen 91% since its October decade-long peak, a fall sharper than that of 1998 or 2008. The government announced plans to support the market with share purchases, while capital restrictions and supply shocks have also been in the news.STORIES> Government mull...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСегодня утром котировки Брент выросли до $111/барр., и, вероятно, поднимутся еще выше, хотя МЭА объявило, что страны ОЭСР скоординированно выведут на рынок 60 млн барр. нефти из своих стратегических резервов. После объявлений ВР и Equinor, сделанных ранее на этой неделе, еще несколько крупных международных нефтяных компаний сообщили о решении продать свой бизнес в России или выразили серьезную обеспокоенность сложившейся ситуацией.НОВОСТИ> Нехватка предложения начала сказыва...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...
MARKET COMMENT - NONRESIDENT SECURITY SALES FROZEN; POSSIBLE RUSSIA-UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS IN FOCUSThe RTS finished the week with a 33% decline to 937 and valuations at levels not seen since 2008 or earlier. This morning, the CBR froze security sales for nonresidents and delayed the opening of stock trading until at least 13:00 Moscow time. Negotiations scheduled between Russia, Ukraine and Belarus are the obvious focal point for markets, as well as any other news flow on market restrictions or sa...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ЗАПРЕТ ДЛЯ НЕРЕЗИДЕНТОВ НА ПРОДАЖУ РОССИЙСКИХ ЦЕННЫХ БУМАГ; В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ ПЕРЕГОВОРЫ МЕЖДУ УКРАИНОЙ И РОССИЕЙИндекс РТС по итогам прошлой недели упал на 33% до 937 пунктов, рыночные оценки достигли уровней, которые не наблюдались как минимум с 2008 года. Сегодня утром Банк России ввел запрет для нерезидентов на продажу российских ценных бумаг и отложил начало торгов на рынке акций до 15:00 мск. В центре внимания сейчас, конечно, переговоры между Россией и Украиной, а ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: forecasts guidance update • Erste Bank: very solid 4Q21, issues optimistic 2022E guidance and recommends 2021 DPS of EUR 1.6 • LiveChat Software: 3Q21-22 (calendar 4Q21) results - EBITDA up 15% yoy, 6% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Electrica: 4Q21 results review - deep losses reported NEGATIVE • Bittnet Systems: 4Q21 results review - 71% yoy EBITDA drop, 81% below our estimate NEGATIVE • AD Plastik: 4Q21 review - weaker than expected, and outlook uncertain NEG...
AT: EVN - Q1 21/22 EBITDA in line, net better than expected, EUR 200-240 mn net income guidance confirmed (neutral) AT: IMMOFINANZ - CPI reaches 53.3% stake in IMMOFINANZ (neutral) AT: Rosenbauer - Company intends to increase stake in its American subsidiary (positive) AT: Wienerberger - Divestment of French plastic piping business planned (positive) HR: Ericsson Nikola Tesla - Good performance in Q4 21 at all levels (positive) HR: Hrvatski Telekom - EBITDA margin set to further impr...
HEADLINES: • MOL: prices, pumps, and polyol (upgraded to BUY) • TeraPlast: waiting for demand to boost margins (stays HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: forecasts revision guidance • Hellenic Petroleum: 4Q21 results - big beat on net income; EUR 0.4 dividend • MedLife: 4Q21 earnings miss on third-party costs and drug distribution NEGATIVE • Transgaz: 4Q21 results - better than expected on higher financial gains • Alro: 4Q21 results - better-than-expected net profit • Conpet: 4Q21 results - close ...
HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: locked into the merger (downgraded to HOLD) • Russia macro: recognition of LPR/DPR and what may follow • Aeroflot: escalation of conflict in Ukraine increases risk of sanctions NEGATIVE • PGNiG: 4Q21 estimates - huge beat on EBITDA • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q21 results - strong beat POSITIVE • Shoper: solid preliminary 4Q21, with strong top-line growth and number of merchants POSITIVE • Ekspress Grupp: 4Q21 EBITDA 23% above our expectations POSITIVE • Brisa: strong ...
MARKET COMMENT - GRIM DONBASS HEADLINES, HOPES FOR A PRESIDENTS' SUMMITThe RTS fell 4% on Friday to 1,391 following bearish headlines from southern Russia and eastern Ukraine late in the afternoon. Global markets were also soft, the MSCI ACWI slipping 0.9%. Russia assets are higher early this morning, corresponding with news of a more mixed global environment and hopes for a summit between the Russian and US presidents. STORIES> Sharp escalation in tensions ahead of diplomatic meetings this week...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ПЕССИМИСТИЧНЫЕ СООБЩЕНИЯ О СИТУАЦИИ НА ДОНБАССЕ, НАДЕЖДЫ НА САММИТ ПРЕЗИДЕНТОВ РФ И СШАИндекс РТС в пятницу упал на 4% до 1 391 пункта после появления к вечеру пессимистичных сообщений о ситуации на востоке Украины. Глобальные рынки также снижались, индекс MSCI ACWI отступил на 0,9%. Сегодня утром российские активы растут в цене на фоне сообщений о неоднозначной ситуации на глобальных рынках и надежд на саммит президентов России и США. НОВОСТИ> ВВП России в 2021 году увел...
We continue to track the Ivanovs' savings and spending patterns, as well as their perceptions, to get an idea of how entire sectors and individual companies are performing and might perform in the future. We also look at competition among the public retailers. The main conclusions from the most recent survey are as follows:> The fieldwork took place from November 22 to December 10, when the number of new Covid-19 cases in Russia was close to a historic high, inflation was on the rise, the ruble ...
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