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Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

OMV exceeded market expectations in Q1 2024

Key Message OMV reported a clean CCS-based operating result of EUR 1,483 mn, marking a29% decrease YoY, but a 4% increase QoQ. This result is also considerablyabove the consensus estimate by 7%. With this result, OMV exceeded marketconsensus by 15%. The positive surprise was driven by the Chemicals(Petrochemistry) and Energy (E&P) segments, although the Fuels and Feedstocksegment performed below expectations.Key positives The most significant positive development is the recovery indicated by E...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; GEV CP; DAT PW; WPL PW; GPP PW; ACP PW

HEADLINES: • mBank: revises up 1Q24 FX mortgage saga costs NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 4Q23 results broadly in line; new contracts from Poland and Sweden NEUTRAL • DataWalk: preliminary 1Q24 results – sales up 100% yoy, to PLN 6.43m POSITIVE • DataWalk: key takeaways from the 1Q24 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: real users in April 2024 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q24E preview – 9% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 21 May) • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q24E results preview – flat y...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.75 per share: Raising new equity to fund a high impact activity programme – ADX has raised A$13.5 mm of new equity priced at A$0.105 per share. One free-attaching option will be issued for evert two placement shares with an exercise price of A$0.15 per share and an expiry date of 08/05/2026. The proceeds from the raise will fund (1) the production testing of the 450 m gas column encountered at ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies in the green in Ap...

EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE SHOPER SA
AIRA BOROUGE
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
GEVORKYAN A.S.
Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SPL PW; PEO PW; PCF PW; EBS AV; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO...

HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24 results – 19%+ headline ROE affected only slightly by FX mortgage saga costs • Bank Pekao: 1Q24 results in line with market's expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 4Q23 headlines hit heavily by write-offs, but a more limited EBITDA loss than we had expected NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q24 results – chemicals stronger than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 1Q24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • Garan...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Jeronimo Martins : Q1 EBITDA beats our numbers and the consensus

>Calendar and FX certainly help but let’s not overlook the volume-driven underlying growth - Sales grew at a pace of +19% y-o-y to € 8.1bn (vs +17% in Q4) with the group’s l-f-l expanding at +6% (vs +10% in Q4). By business, Biedronka sales grew +19% to € 5.8bn, accelerating vs Q4 (+19%) helped by the calendar effect (3pp) and the FX (8pp). L-f-L only deteriorated 50bp q-o-q to 4.6% which is remarkable in a disinflationary context and proves right Biedronka’s volume-d...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; SIPCHEM AB; KRU PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; T...

HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak bottom-line performance in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Sipchem: 1Q24 results – weak net income NEGATIVE • Kruk: issues flash 1Q24 net profit of PLN 338m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (22-28 April) • Türkiye macro: MPC takes a pause, but hiking cycle not over yet • OTP Bank: CEO Csanyi speaks at AGM on future acquisitions and Russian exposure POSITIVE • Budimex: BXF Energia acquires 60 MW photovoltaic project NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: dividend policy for 2023-25E and p...

Moody's Ratings affirms CA Immo Baa3 rating; outlook stable

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today affirmed the Baa3 long term issuer and senior unsecured ratings of CA Immobilien Anlagen AG ("CA Immo"). The outlook changed to stable from negative. RATINGS RATIONALE The Baa3 rating for CA Immobilien Anlagen AG (CA Immo) is bolstered by its prime office port...

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Jeronimo Martins: Q1 topping expectations; price war ongoing in Poland

With Q1 topping expectations in terms of both sales and EBITDA, notably thanks to Biedronla, we foresee a positive share price reaction this morning. But reiterated gloomy FY guidance combined with no early signs of the price war easing in Poland still suggests caution is advisable.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: JMT PL; CAR PW; MBR PW; SHO PW; TL Macro; UZ Macro; PL Ban...

HEADLINES: • Jeronimo Martins: small beat in 1Q24 NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: 4Q23 net profit in line with prelims, a miss vs. our initial forecasts due to lower gross margin NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 4Q23 earnings call takeaways – supportive 2024E outlook POSITIVE • Shoper: earnings call takeaways – strong April, optimistic on 2024E outlook POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: MPC takes a pause, but hiking cycle not over yet • Uzbekistan macro: CBU keeps rates on hold • Polish banks: Polish Supreme Court reconfirms th...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+4)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/25/2024

Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+4)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 25/04/2024

Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Wizz Air : Reassuring trading update for FY 2024

>FY 2024 pretty much in line with expectations - Wizz Air has just released an unaudited post-close trading update for the FY to end-March 2024. Net income is expected in the range of € 350 - 370m for FY, in line with guidance. We were expecting € 357m and the Visible Alpha consensus €352m. Total revenue is expected to be in the range of € 5,050 - 5,100m (ODDO BHF: € 5,165m, VA € 5,154m) reflecting stronger ticket revenue and pricing, partially offset by softer ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Wizz Air : Reassuring trading update for FY 2024

>FY 2024 pretty much in line with expectations - Wizz Air has just released an unaudited post-close trading update for the FY to end-March 2024. Net income is expected in the range of € 350 - 370m for FY, in line with guidance. We were expecting € 357m and the Visible Alpha consensus €352m. Total revenue is expected to be in the range of € 5,050 - 5,100m (ODDO BHF: € 5,165m, VA € 5,154m) reflecting stronger ticket revenue and pricing, partially offset by softer ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MONET CP; ALR PW; SHO PW; MBR PW; WIZZ LN; ASELS TI; OPL P...

HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: strong 1Q24 delivery, on better-than- expected revenues POSITIVE • Alior Bank: books small beat on 1Q24 delivery, driven by low credit risk charges; robust 2024E outlook supported POSITIVE • Shoper: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA 9% above our expectations; FY23 results in line with prelims POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 4% miss vs. our 4Q23 adjusted EBITDA forecast, weak cash flows NEGATIVE • Wizz Air: fiscal 2024 post-close trading update POSITIVE • Aselsan: CEO's comments on exports...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPL PW; VGO PW; GTC PW; PL Macro; HU Macro; KRU PW; BHW PW...

HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 1Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 5% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: strong miss on EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • GTC: 4Q23 – no material revaluation result, focus remains on refinancing ahead NEUTRAL • Poland macro: retail sales stay brisk in March • Hungary macro: MNB slows down pace of rate cuts • Kruk: 1Q24E preview (due on 8 May, after the close) • Bank Handlowy: 1Q24E preview (due on 9 May) • Eurocash: 1Q24E results preview – 16% yoy EBITDA ...

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