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Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 01.06.2022

 AT: IMMOFINANZ - CPI Property Group raises stake in IMMOFINANZ to 76.9% during additional acceptance period (neutral)  AT: Wienerberger - Moody's affirmed Ba1 rating, outlook changed to positive from stable (neutral)  PL: Bank Pekao - Increasing interest rate offer for deposits with maturity (neutral)  PL: mBank - Demerger of mBank's mortgage bank arm with no share issue requirement (neutral)  RU: InterRAO - Shareholders approve 2021 dividends (positive)  RU: OGK-2 - Board recommends 2021...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 30.03.2022

 AT: FACC - FY 21 results in line with preliminaries, outlook wording confirmed  AT: Utilities - Drought likely to affect Q1 22 hydro output (negative)  AT: Wienerberger - 0.69% of the capital repurchased so far (neutral)  DE: Encavis - Encavis delivers on results and guidance beat (positive)  RU: Inter RAO - Not discussing delisting from the Moscow Exchange (positive)  RU: RusHydro - Paying agent blocks coupon payment on RUB eurobond over British sanctions (negative)  RU: Russia - Minist...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 16.03.2022

 AT: Andritz - Andritz received small press section rebuild order (neutral)  AT: OMV - Strategy 2030 aims at moving to a more sustainable way of doing business (neutral)  AT: Strabag, UNIQA - Strabag syndicate cancelled by Haselsteiner Group (neutral)  PL: Bank Handlowy - DPS of PLN 5.47 to be proposed from 2021 profit (neutral)  PL: mBank - No significant change in risk provisioning in 2022 expected by the CRO (neutral)  RU: Inter RAO - Interfax: Inter RAO considers delisting from Moscow ...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+8)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 16, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - POLYMETAL TUMBLES 33% AS FTSE EXCLUSION FURTHERS RUSSIA'S ISOLATION FROM GLOBAL MARKETSMoscow equity trading remains closed by the CBR. Among the only instruments still trading, Polymetal's London listing fell 33%, while FTSE announced the exclusion of the shares from its indexes, eliminating one of the last examples of Russia being included in global markets. STORIES> Oil and gas: Not benefiting much from strong Brent, but gaining from weak ruble> Tatneft: Moderate miss in 4Q2...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+11)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 16 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - АКЦИИ ПОЛИМЕТАЛЛА УПАЛИ В ЦЕНЕ НА 33% ПОСЛЕ ИСКЛЮЧЕНИЯ ИЗ ИНДЕКСОВ FTSEТорги акциями на Московской бирже по-прежнему не проводятся по решению ЦБ РФ. Бумаги Полиметалла с листингом в Лондоне - один из немногих российских инструментов, остававшийся на глобальных рынках, - упали в цене на 33% после того, как FTSE объявила об их исключении из своих индексов. Рубль торгуется около 105-110 за доллар. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть под давлением перед публикацией ежемесячного отчета МЭА...

Andrew Keeley ... (+10)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - February 28, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - NONRESIDENT SECURITY SALES FROZEN; POSSIBLE RUSSIA-UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS IN FOCUSThe RTS finished the week with a 33% decline to 937 and valuations at levels not seen since 2008 or earlier. This morning, the CBR froze security sales for nonresidents and delayed the opening of stock trading until at least 13:00 Moscow time. Negotiations scheduled between Russia, Ukraine and Belarus are the obvious focal point for markets, as well as any other news flow on market restrictions or sa...

Andrew Keeley ... (+10)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 28 февраля 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ЗАПРЕТ ДЛЯ НЕРЕЗИДЕНТОВ НА ПРОДАЖУ РОССИЙСКИХ ЦЕННЫХ БУМАГ; В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ ПЕРЕГОВОРЫ МЕЖДУ УКРАИНОЙ И РОССИЕЙИндекс РТС по итогам прошлой недели упал на 33% до 937 пунктов, рыночные оценки достигли уровней, которые не наблюдались как минимум с 2008 года. Сегодня утром Банк России ввел запрет для нерезидентов на продажу российских ценных бумаг и отложил начало торгов на рынке акций до 15:00 мск. В центре внимания сейчас, конечно, переговоры между Россией и Украиной, а ...

Inter RAO Q4 21 Earnings Preview - Positive results expected, yet turb...

-EBITDA to be boosted by the same factors as in Q1-3 21: higher yoy electricity prices, exports and electricity generation -The current geopolitical environment raises questions regarding turbine localisation plans, with the topic to be possibly touched upon during the conference call -Positive market reaction still possible

Despite a better risk assessment and improving to Neutral, INTER RAO Y...

INTER RAO YEES PAO (RU), a company active in the Conventional Electricity industry, improves its market behaviour and slightly increases its general evaluation. The independent financial analyst theScreener just upgraded the stock market behaviour as defensive. At a fundamental level, theScreener confirms 1 out of 4 possible stars; the general evaluation is slightly increased to Neutral but the title remains under pressure. As of the analysis date February 22, 2022, the closing price was RUB 3.2...

Dmitry Troshin ... (+2)
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin

Russian Utilities - Following Interest Rate Trend

The shares of Russian power-generating companies (gencos) dropped 12% in ruble terms in 2021, underperforming the broader market by 27 pp amid an acceleration in inflation and rise in interest rates in Russia, which dimmed the dividend outlooks and the increased capex risks. Given the depressed current share prices, most of the stocks offer attractive returns. We expect to see investors become a bit more interested in the sector during the dividend season in June-July, but we do not anticipate a...

Cole Akeson ... (+6)
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Maria Martynova
  • Research Team
  • Sergey Donskoy

CIS Market Daily - February 11, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - HIGHEST US CPI IN FOUR DECADES, NORMANDY IMPASSE SIGNAL DECLINESAlthough markets were flat to positive early in the day, the US CPI report came in higher than expected and broke a four-decade record, sending US indexes down 1.6-2.1% by the close. Russia had outperformed, the RTS climbing 0.8% to 1,547. However, the combination of global markets repricing US inflation and rates risks, and a downbeat impasse from yesterday's Normandy talks, has left major Russia indicators down 1-...

Anton Chernyshev ... (+7)
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Maria Martynova
  • Research Team
  • Sergey Donskoy

CIS Market Daily - 11 февраля 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ ВЫСОКАЯ ИНФЛЯЦИЯ В США И ГЕОПОЛИТИКАГлобальные фондовые рынки вчера росли большую часть дня, пока в США не вышли данные, которые показали, что годовая инфляция достигла нового максимума за 40 лет. На этом фоне основные американские фондовые индексы упали на 1,6-2,1%. Индекс РТС вчера вырос на 0,8% до 1 547 пунктов. НОВОСТИ> Данные по инфляции в США вызвали резкие колебания цен на нефть; рынок ждет отчета МЭА> Сокращение выручки АЛРОСА в январе с уровня г...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+13)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Igor Rapokhin
  • Igor Vasilyev
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Maria Martynova
  • Research Team
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Yuri Popov

CIS Market Daily - December 15, 2021

MARKET COMMENT - RUSSIAN STOCKS FULLY RECOVER FROM EARLY PLUNGEAsian and European stock indexes closed around 1.0% lower yesterday. US stocks also faltered, with benchmark indexes closing down 0.7-1.1% in the wake of an above-consensus November PPI reading. In Russia, stocks plunged during the morning session but recovered throughout the remainder of the day, with the RTS finishing flat. STORIES> Liquid part of NWF to exceed 10% of GDP as soon as 2023> CBR Preview: Doubling down on tightening> ...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+11)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Igor Rapokhin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team
  • Yuri Popov

CIS Market Daily - 15 декабря 2021

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РОССИЙСКИЙ РЫНОК В ТЕЧЕНИЕ ВЧЕРАШНЕЙ СЕССИИ ОТЫГРАЛ УТРЕННИЕ ПОТЕРИАзиатские и европейские фондовые индексы вчера снизились примерно на 1,0%, американские -на 0,7-1,1%. Российский рынок упал в начале торгов, но затем восстановился, индекс РТС по итогам дня не изменился. НОВОСТИ> В 2023 году ликвидная часть ФНБ превысит 10% ВВП> Прогноз итогов заседания ФРС США: пока еще аккуратное ужесточение> Прогноз результатов заседания ЦБ РФ: ключевая ставка удвоится по итогам этого г...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+7)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - November 26, 2021

MARKET COMMENT - NEW AFRICAN COVID-19 VARIANT TRIGGERS A GLOBAL SELLOFFWhile the US was closed for holiday, the RTS (1,666) edged up 0.3%, MSCI EM 0.1% and MSCI Europe 0.5%. However, APAC markets and global futures are sliding sharply today following headlines regarding a new variant of Covid-19 emerging from Africa. Thin turnover due to the US holiday, along with portfolios being prepared for the year-end, likely magnifies the effect, but past variant scares have eventually become buying opport...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+7)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 26 ноября 2021

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НОВЫЙ ШТАММ КОРОНАВИРУСА ИЗ АФРИКИ СПРОВОЦИРОВАЛ ВОЛНУ ПРОДАЖ НА МИРОВЫХ РЫНКАХРынки в США вчера были закрыты в связи с праздником, индекс РТС подрос на 0,3% до 1 666 пунктов, MSCI EM - на 0,1%, MSCI Europe - на 0,5%. Впрочем, сегодня рынки АТР и фьючерсы на мировые фондовые индексы резко снизились после сообщений о новом штамме коронавируса, который появился в Африке. Небольшие объемы торгов из-за выходного дня в США, а также подготовка инвесторов к концу года, вероятно,...

Inter RAO Q3 21 - FY 21e EBITDA guidance raised on positive results

EBITDA, NI propped up yoy by generating and trading segments, slightly above expectations FY21e EBITDA guidance up to around RUB 160 bn We expect a positive market reaction

Andrey Gromadin ... (+5)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Cole Akeson
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - November 23, 2021

MARKET COMMENT - SHARPEST P/E DISCOUNT SINCE 4Q14 ON POLITICAL NEWS, GLOBAL DECLINESThe RTS saw its sharpest one-day decline in 19 months, falling 5.5% to reach 1,628. The forward P/E discount to the MSCI EM at circa 55% has now grown to its highest level since a brief time in 2Q19, a level previously not sustained since 4Q14. Meanwhile, retreating equity and other indicators globally suggest another weak morning for Russia, though it is worth noting that the developing global environment favors...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+6)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Cole Akeson
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 23 ноября 2021

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ДИСКОНТ В ОЦЕНКЕ РОССИЙСКОГО РЫНКА ДОСТИГ МАКСИМУМА С 4К14 НА ФОНЕ ПОЛИТИЧЕСКИХ НОВОСТЕЙ И ГЛОБАЛЬНОГО ПЕССИМИЗМАИндекс РТС вчера пережил самое резкое дневное падение за 19 месяцев, отступив на 5,5% до 1 628 пунктов. Дисконт к индексу MSCI EM по коэффициенту "цена/прибыль" теперь составляет около 55%. Последний раз столь низкое значение на короткое время было зафиксировано в 2К19, а до этого - лишь в 4К14. Глобальное снижение фондовых и прочих рынков указывает на то, что ...

Inter RAO Q3 21 Earnings Preview - Export, domestic fundamentals to ke...

EBITDA to continue being supported by trading and generation segments Export and domestic electricity prices and export volumes to be the main EBITDA driver yoy Positive market reaction possible

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