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Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Smartphone supply chain recovery on track; China st...

Our recent checks across the supply chain indicates high visibility of a specs upgrade trend in the coming two quarters, which can offset any potential moderation in shipment volume. For investors, while there are still concerns over iOS’ demand and the sustainability of this recovery cycle, interest in the smartphone supply chain is gradually improving thanks to recent launches which come with more exciting new features. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Takeaways from recent company visits; maintain OVER...

We recently visited UBTech and BYDE in Shenzhen. Both companies are actively developing AI-driven products for industrial use cases, and both are starting to see real demand for AI-driven applications with small-batch shipments from clients or for internal uses. However, the development of humanoid robots and industrial GenAI will likely take a couple of years before it becomes more viable, due to reliability issues and constraints on hardware.

Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Maintain preference for the more defensive AI-devic...

1H24 results are mixed. AI infrastructure-related businesses remain robust, with solid guidance for 2H24-25, but the market’s high expectations, mounting geopolitical tensions and a lack of long-term visibility have capped upside in the near term. As such, we continue to prefer AI-device names as we expect more meaningful developments in the edge-AI ecosystem throughout 2H24 thanks to new hardware and OS launches. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: Xiaomi and Lenovo.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+9)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, September 11, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Exports rebounded in August but outlook remains challenging. Sector IT Hardware Maintain preference for the more defensive AI-device plays as uncertainty remains high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/HOLD/Rp7,250/Target: Rp7,760) 7M24: Strong ...

AAC Technologies Holdings Inc: 1 director

A director at AAC Technologies Holdings Inc sold 58,557,001 shares at 0.000HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last ...

Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

AAC Technologies (2018 HK): 1H24: Solid beat on margins; multiple grow...

AAC’s 1H24 earnings grew 257% yoy to Rmb537m, significantly exceeding our and consensus estimates. The strong growth was mainly driven by an all-around beat in gross margins across all business segments amid better end-demand, specs upgrades and a competitive landscape. Going forward, the product mix improvements, AI smartphone upgrades, and automotive business will continue to drive earnings recovery from 2H24-2026. Upgrade to BUY and raise target price to HK$38.10.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, August 23, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$31.25/Target: HK$38.10) AAC’s 1H24 earnings grew 257% yoy to Rmb537m, significantly exceeding our and consensus estimates. The strong growth was mainly driven by an all-around beat in gross margins across all business segments amid better end-demand, specs upgrades and a competitive landscape. Going forward, the product mix improvements, AI smartphone upgrades, and automotive business will continue to drive earnings recovery from 2H24-2...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+18)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, August 23, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$31.25/Target: HK$38.10): 1H24: Solid beat on margins; multiple growth trends through 2H24-2026. Upgrade to BUY. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/ HK$54.45/Target: HK$91.00): 1H24: Strong beat in results; eyeing 9-11% three-year CAGR for OPAT per share. Baidu Inc (9888 HK/BUY/HK$86.45/Target: HK$110.00): 2Q24: Earnings beat; modest online ad growth; solid AI cloud revenue growth. Country Garden Services (6098 HK/SELL/HK$4.15/Target: HK$3.70): 1H24: Exp...

Greater China Research Team ... (+2)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

Greater China Daily: Monday, July 22, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector IT Hardware: AI investments to remain elevated but edge AI plays are more attractive. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. We are shifting our preference to edge AI picks, as we see an improved visibility on the recovery in global smartphone and PC shipment in 2H24. With this, coupled with the pick-up in AI device shipment towards year-end and a more undemanding valuation, we expect edge AI plays to outperform the AI infrastructure supply chain, which is now under pressure from profit-tak...

Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: AI Investments To Remain Elevated But Edge AI Plays...

We are shifting our preference to edge AI picks, as we see an improved visibility on the recovery in global smartphone and PC shipment in 2H24. With this, coupled with the pick-up in AI device shipment towards year-end and a more undemanding valuation, we expect edge AI plays to outperform the AI infrastructure supply chain, which is now under pressure from profit-taking, and mounting geopolitical risks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: Lenovo and BYDE.

Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

AAC Technologies (2018 HK): 2H23 Results Slight Beat; Outlook in 2024 ...

AAC’s 2H23 net profit rose 21.5% hoh to Rmb590.1m, slightly above our estimates. Revenue was weaker than expected, but this was more than offset by resilient margins and strong control on operating costs. The outlook for 2024 is also solid, with management providing a strong 20-30% revenue growth target thanks to a 10-15% growth from the legacy business as well as the consolidation of PSS. Upgrade to BUY and increase target price to HK$27.20.

Damon Shen ... (+5)
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kate Luang

Greater China Daily: Friday, March 22, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Channel checks and observations of Shanghai/Hong Kong primary markets. Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/ HK$22.70/ Target: HK$27.20) 2H23 Results Slight Beat; Outlook in 2024 seems promising. Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$46.85/Target: HK$63.00) 2023: Results in line but forward shipment guidance weaker than expected. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Crystal International (2232 HK/NOT RATED/HK$3.30) 2023: Results in line with guidance, ...

Damon Shen ... (+11)
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kate Luang
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, March 22, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Channel checks and observations of Shanghai/Hong Kong primary markets. Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/ HK$22.70/ Target: HK$27.20): 2H23: Slight beat in results; outlook in 2024 seems promising. Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$46.85/Target: HK$63.00): 2023: Results in line but forward shipment guidance weaker than expected. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Crystal International (2232 HK/NOT RATED/HK$3.30): 2023: Results in line with guidance, bul...

Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Updates on MWC 2024 and read-through on FII from NV...

We see an improvement in China’s smartphone sales, while ongoing MWC showcased a wider user case of edge AI’s application on smartphones and PCs. On the other hand, positive comments from key AI infrastructure supply chain players and the launch of the groundbreaking video generation tool Sora had driven a rapid recovery in investment sentiment towards China’s cloud AI plays. Thus, we recommend BUY on cloud AI plays like FII, and smartphone recovery plays such as Sunny Optical. Maintain OVERWEIG...

Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Better visibility for specification upgrade trend. ...

We are seeing better visibility on the specification upgrade trend in 2024, with most brands more willing to provide meaningful upgrades to the camera specs of their highend smartphones in order to compete with Huawei. Gen-AI capabilities will likely be a major driver of replacement demand going forward, which can benefit high-end models’ sales too. We prefer brands with more exposure to high-end phones, and we prefer lens over modules suppliers due to better ASP/margins upside. Maintain OVERWEI...

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+2)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Shipment on track for sequential recovery. Remain c...

We believe the smartphone market is on track for a sequential recovery from 3Q23, driven by restocking demand and new model launches. Latest checks show that the reception to the new iPhone 15 series and Huawei Mate 60 series was exceptional, and may lead to short-term pressure for other competing brands. We are also turning more cautious on the recovery in 2024, and we trim our ASP and margins assumption for the suppliers due to the slower-than-expected recovery in the macro environment. Mainta...

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+2)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

AAC Technologies (2018 HK): 1H23: Margins deteriorated further; better...

AAC’s 1H23 net profit plunged 57% yoy to Rmb150, which is at the higher end of the profit warning range. The plunge is due to the deterioration in Android acoustic products and further margins deterioration across all segments. The silver lining is that the precision mechanics products registered strong growth on the back of new order win, while there is better visibility over a sequential recovery in 2H23. Maintain HOLD and cut target price to HK$14.50.

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+11)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Terence Chiu
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Friday, August 25, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/HOLD/ HK$15.56/ Target: HK$14.50) 1H23: Margins deteriorated further; better visibility of recovery in 2H23. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/ HK$69.95/Target: HK$95.00) 1H23: VONB in line; margin slumps a concern. Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb18.02/Target: Rmb26.00) 1H23: Satisfactory results; strong demand to further boost revenue growth. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$4.11/Target: HK$6.30) 1H23: Earnings continue to thrive despit...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+17)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Sunny Chen
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, August 25, 2023

GREATER CHINA Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/HOLD/ HK$15.56/ Target: HK$14.50): 1H23: Margins deteriorated further; better visibility of recovery in 2H23. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/ HK$69.95/Target: HK$95.00): 1H23: VONB in line; margin slumps a concern. Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb18.02/Target: Rmb26.00): 1H23: Satisfactory results; strong demand to further boost revenue growth. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$4.11/Target: HK$6.30): 1H23: Earnings continue to thrive despite...

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+2)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Sector approaching trough in 3Q23, end-demand to pi...

We expect the destocking phase in the smartphone market to conclude by 2Q23, and end-demand to recover by 4Q23 as a new round of replacement cycle arrives. Interests for spec upgrades in high-end smartphones remains elevated as smartphone brands turn more positive on recovery in 2H23. We may see more headwinds in 1H23 for components suppliers amid intense competition, while a lower component costs environment will benefit the smartphone brands throughout 2023. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

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