In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in June 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on deve...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in May 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on devel...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in April 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on dev...
The Asia Trade Book for April 2025 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in March 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on dev...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in February 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in January 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...
In our inaugural Asia Monthly for 2025, we share our regional credit outlook for the year, with a focus on China, Macau, India and Indonesia. We also provide a review of 2024, in which we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements for the year. In addition, we provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases in December 2024, summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well a...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in November 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
The Asia Trade Book for November 2024 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in October 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...
In Shanghai, the new home market shrank further with divergence among regions; the secondary market saw volume rebound with a weak ASP performance. In Hong Kong, sales performance is still divergent among developers despite new home transactions growing by nearly 15x mom in Mar 23, reflecting a mild recovery of market sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top picks: CR Land, COLI, SHKP and LINK REIT.
New-home sales in 50 core mainland cities weakened further in the second week of March. Second-hand home sales in Beijing/Shanghai/Guangzhou/Shenzhen are picking up while transaction volume was still lower yoy in Jan-Feb 24. Hong Kong property sales volume continues to surge. However, home buyers are still very picky and sensitive to pricing. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the China and Hong Kong property sector. Expect attitudes toward POE and quasi-SOE developers to improve in the near term.
The 2024 NPC meeting gave little evidence of strong policy support to the property sector. New-home sales in 50 core mainland cities remain weak. Second-hand home sales in Beijing/Shanghai/Guangzhou/Shenzhen are picking up. Hong Kong saw a very strong rebound in new-home sales after the 2024 Budget Speech. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the China and Hong Kong property sector. Expect a continuous sales recovery to drive the re-rating of Hong Kong developers.
To better understand the market, we visited 11 property projects in Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Shanghai and Suzhou on 17 and 19 February. Developers were offering 0- 10% discounts on registration prices, while commission rebates varied among cities. Margins are acceptable in SH/SZ/GZ. Competition spurs product upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Expect leading developers to balance scale and profitability.
The effect of easing mortgage policies in Beijing and Shanghai in Dec 23 is disappointing. New-home sales in 50 cities contracted further in Jan 24. With property prices in core cities yet to bottom out, we expect more cities to remove HPRs, following Guangzhou. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT and prefer SOEs to POEs. We also fine-tune our earnings forecasts for CR Land and COLI, and maintain BUY on both.
Second-hand property prices in Tier 1 cities fell by 0.8% mom, marking the second largest mom decline since 2011. The sharp property price decline in 3Q14 started a round of strong policy easing in 2014-16. With growing downward pressure on price, we expect that Tier 1 cities will have to take concrete action, which is positive for the sector. Bond prices of some POEs and quasi-SOEs may rebound stronger. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. CR Land and COLI remain our top picks.
According to the latest NBS data, most major indicators of the property industry remained weak in Jul 23, with property sales turning negative in 7M23 (-1.5% yoy). For high frequency data: a) average weekly new home sales of 50 cities in Aug 23 fell 29.5% yoy, and b) average weekly sales of second-hand homes of 10 cities increased 0.6% yoy. The land market sentiment weakened in Wuxi. More defaults may lead to broader price cuts. Detailed supportive policy easing has yet to come. Maintain MARKET ...
For 50 cities, average weekly new home sales decreased by 30.9% yoy. For the 10 core cities, average weekly sales of second-hand homes dropped slightly by 12.9% yoy and the land market sentiment has diverged between Chengdu and Hangzhou. China’s Politburo on 24 July for the first time admitted the significant change in supply and demand relations, which implies a softer tone. We expect more demand-side policy easing to come. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. COLI and CR Land remain our top picks.
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