Greater China Company Results | New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$7.84/Target: HK$6.90) In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools...
We attended the Alibaba Cloud Apsara Conference 2025 (“云栖大会”) on 24-26 Sep 25 and noted various key growth drivers: a) potential upward revision of its Rmb380b three-year AI infrastructure capex plan; b) data centre energy consumption projected to rise 10x by 2032 vs 2022, underscoring computing demand; c) expanded partnerships, including NVIDIA, with PAI platform integration for embodied intelligence and autonomous driving; and d) launch of seven new Qwen models. Maintain BUY with a higher targ...
Top Stories Company Results | New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$7.84/Target: HK$6.90) In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools. ...
Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. Garnering the most interest was the AI theme driven by: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) self-sufficiency in chip development. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel demand during Golden Week. Maintain OVERWEIGHT...
Key investor focus areas discussed during the marketing trip include: a) key drivers for AI cloud and applications outperformance, b) sustainability of monetisation of AI applications, c) ROI of accelerating capex, d) self-sufficiency in chips development, and e) where the competition in food delivery and quick commerce is ultimately headed. We foresee that AI/AI Cloud, online gaming and OTAs are poised to benefit from further re-rating, supported by their outperformance in growth. Maintain OVER...
In August, the HSI and MSCI China Index hit their ytd highs, posting gains of 1.2% mom and 4.2% mom respectively, supported by dovish remarks from Fed Chair J. Powell at Jackson Hole. Looking ahead, we expect some consolidation as most of the positives have been priced in and are biased to SELL. We add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, while initiating SELL calls on Li Auto and OOIL. We take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME.
We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment.
We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment. WHAT’S NEW Ev...
China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Alibaba reported strong 1QFY26 results. Revenue grew 2% yoy to Rmb247.7b, in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb33.5b, down 18% yoy, in line with our forecast, with net margin of 14.8%, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In the coming quarters, management expects to see: a) solid CMR growth as the company leverages on the Rmb30t addressable market, and b) strong cloud growth fuelled by AIrelated demand. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$170.00 ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI August's manufacturing PMI edged up slightly to 49.4 (+0.1pt mom), while non-manufacturing PMI improved modestly to 50.3 (+0.2pt mom). However, construction PMI fell to 49.1 (-1.5pt mom), below the expansion threshold for the first time since January. With moderating decline in new orders and new export orders, PMI for large-sized enterprise (50.8, +0.5pt mom) and small-sized enterprise (46.6, +0.2pt mom) both improved. Overall, a mixed bag. Results Alibaba Group...
What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY1Q26 results that were below consensus and our expectations. BABA could continue to gain market share in both cloud and quick commerce segments. Non-GAAP EBITA could see further margin pressure in the Sep Quarter partly due to investments in quick commerce. We maintain our PT at USD155. Analysts: Jin Yoon
GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$115.70/Target: HK$170.00): 1QFY26: Better-than-expected CMR and cloud revenue growth; encouraging quick commerce outlook. BYD Company (1211 HK/SELL/HK$114.40/Target: HK$90.00): 2Q25: Earnings down over 30% yoy/qoq, missing estimates on margins. Downgrade from BUY to SELL. Cut target price from HK$142.00 to HK$90.00. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$41.18/Target: HK$51.80): 1H25: Margin misses due to product mix shift; growth story remains unchange...
What’s new: JD’s reported 2Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. JD Retail could remain resilient while food delivery could remain a meaningful drag to margins in the near term. We lower our PT from US$70 to US$42 on lowered margin outlook. Our updated PT of US$42 implies a 15.0x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
JD’s 2Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 22% yoy to Rmb356.7b, 6% above our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped 90% yoy to Rmb1.1b, translating to a non-GAAP operating margin of 0.3%. Non-GAAP net profit was down 49% yoy to Rmb7.4b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 2%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$42.00).
JD.com Announces Second Quarter and Interim 2025 Results BEIJING, Aug. 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced its unaudited financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025. Second Quarter 2025 Highlights Net revenues were RMB356.7 billion (US$149.8 billion) for the second quarter of 2025, an increase of 22.4% from the second quarter of 2024.Net income attributable to the Company’s ordinary shareh...
In July, the HSI and MSCI China index extended their growths, rising 2.9% mom and 4.5% mom respectively to reach their peak on 24 July before pulling pack in the latest week, as investors tend to take profit after the Politburo announcement. With another 90-day tariff delay from the US, we maintain a positive outlook for leading domestic stocks in healthcare and IT. New additions to our BUY list are JBM Healthcare and Lenovo. We take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor.
JD.com to Report Second Quarter and Interim 2025 Financial Results on August 14, 2025 BEIJING, July 31, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it plans to release its unaudited financial results for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2025 on Thursday, August 14, 2025, before the U.S. market opens. JD.com’s management will hold a conference call at 8:00 am, Eastern Time on August 14, 2025, (8:00 pm, Beijing/Hong Kong Time on A...
JD.com Announces Decision to Make a Voluntary Public Takeover Offer and Strategic Investment Partnership with CECONOMY BEIJING, July 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (“JD.com” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it decided to make a voluntary public takeover offer, through a wholly-owned indirect subsidiary JINGDONG Holding Germany GmbH (the “Bidder”), to all shareholders of CECONOMY AG (“CECONOMY”) (XETRA: CEC), the parent company of leading Europea...
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