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Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

JD 2Q25 Results: JD Retail Remains Resilient; Food Delivery to Continu...

What’s new: JD’s reported 2Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. JD Retail could remain resilient while food delivery could remain a meaningful drag to margins in the near term. We lower our PT from US$70 to US$42 on lowered margin outlook. Our updated PT of US$42 implies a 15.0x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 2Q25: Revenue beat; viable cross-selling from FD but...

JD’s 2Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 22% yoy to Rmb356.7b, 6% above our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped 90% yoy to Rmb1.1b, translating to a non-GAAP operating margin of 0.3%. Non-GAAP net profit was down 49% yoy to Rmb7.4b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 2%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$42.00).

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com Announces Second Quarter and Interim 2025 Results

JD.com Announces Second Quarter and Interim 2025 Results BEIJING, Aug. 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced its unaudited financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025. Second Quarter 2025 Highlights Net revenues were RMB356.7 billion (US$149.8 billion) for the second quarter of 2025, an increase of 22.4% from the second quarter of 2024.Net income attributable to the Company’s ordinary shareh...

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls

In July, the HSI and MSCI China index extended their growths, rising 2.9% mom and 4.5% mom respectively to reach their peak on 24 July before pulling pack in the latest week, as investors tend to take profit after the Politburo announcement. With another 90-day tariff delay from the US, we maintain a positive outlook for leading domestic stocks in healthcare and IT. New additions to our BUY list are JBM Healthcare and Lenovo. We take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor.

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com to Report Second Quarter and Interim 2025 Financial Results on ...

JD.com to Report Second Quarter and Interim 2025 Financial Results on August 14, 2025 BEIJING, July 31, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it plans to release its unaudited financial results for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2025 on Thursday, August 14, 2025, before the U.S. market opens. JD.com’s management will hold a conference call at 8:00 am, Eastern Time on August 14, 2025, (8:00 pm, Beijing/Hong Kong Time on A...

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com Announces Decision to Make a Voluntary Public Takeover Offer an...

JD.com Announces Decision to Make a Voluntary Public Takeover Offer and Strategic Investment Partnership with CECONOMY BEIJING, July 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (“JD.com” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it decided to make a voluntary public takeover offer, through a wholly-owned indirect subsidiary JINGDONG Holding Germany GmbH (the “Bidder”), to all shareholders of CECONOMY AG (“CECONOMY”) (XETRA: CEC), the parent company of leading Europea...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: WAIC -- Battlefield of AI applications and agents to r...

WAIC 2025 was held in Shanghai on 26-28 July under the theme "Intelligent Horizons, Shared Future". The focus of WAIC this year shifted from LLM to the next frontier – AI applications and AI agents. As AI capabilities extend from the cloud to edge devices, a transformative evolution in human-AI interaction is underway, characterised by more tangible, embodied forms and empathetic voice interfaces. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 2Q25 Preview: Intact Top-line Growth; Expecting Marg...

JD’s 2Q25 top-line guidance remains unchanged at double-digit growth, in line with 1Q25 revenue growth of 15.8% yoy, slightly better than our expectations. JD expects an FD loss of Rmb10b in 2Q25 and investment to further ramp up in 3Q25 due to the peak season and intense competition. Given the solid growth in the core commerce business, the company remains confident about achieving double-digit top-line growth in 2025. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$158.00 (US$40.00).

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

JD 2Q25 Preview: Revs Outlook Intact; Margins Could Meaningfully Drag ...

What’s New: We maintain our 2Q25 top-line estimates but lower our margin outlook for 2Q25 to 4Q25 as food delivery investments could meaningfully drag group-level profitability. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy: Alpha Picks -- July Conviction Calls

June’s HSI and MSCI China Index rose 3.4% mom and 4.0% mom respectively, despite the pullback due to the Middle East tensions. July may see increased volatility as the US looks to bring the tariff negotiations to a close. At this juncture, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and sector leaders. New additions to our BUY list are CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and Tencent Music Entertainment. We take profit on Prudential.

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+3)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China 2H25 Market Strategy: A Big Beautiful Deal?

 Trade deal in focus. Notwithstanding the 90-day truce on tariff escalation, it is still a 50/50 if there will be a “Big Beautiful Deal” between the US and China. The US is steadfast in wanting to cap China’s growth and restricting her access to the latest technology, while China is making a firm stand on its economic rights. We expect that higher US tariffs on Chinese goods are unavoidable, likely closer to the 60% mark, if Trump were to be seen making a credible move to onshore production in ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued ...

The national subsidies programme continued to reinforce the consumption trend of “value-based substitution” during the 618 festival. While the share of online vs offline spending remained stable, emerging channels are creating new growth opportunities. We believe the consumption momentum will be shaped by: a) impact from the temporary suspension of the national subsidies programme in five provinces, and b) changes in the food delivery competitive landscape. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: JD’s new initiative in on-demand delivery is reshaping...

Market concerns persist over the viability of JD’s entry into the food delivery space and the implications of the increasingly competitive landscape. In response to the heightened rivalry, food delivery companies have ramped up their investment, weighing on near-term profitability. By leveraging high-frequency food delivery scenarios to channel traffic toward e-commerce categories, JD and Alibaba have effectively enhanced conversion efficiency during the 618 campaign. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls

The HSI and MSCI China index rebounded 5.3% mom and 3.5% mom respectively in May, after China and the US agreed on a 90-day tariff truce. Nonetheless, geopolitical uncertainties and tariff war risks remain. Hence, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and defensive sectors that have been gaining traction in recent weeks. New additions to our BUY list are Prudential and Sino Biopharm, and we take profit on SHKP and Trip.com.

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com to Hold Annual General Meeting on June 20, 2025

JD.com to Hold Annual General Meeting on June 20, 2025 BEIJING, May 28, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (“JD.com” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it will hold its annual general meeting of shareholders (the “AGM”) at Building A, No. 18 Kechuang 11 Street, Yizhuang Economic and Technological Development Zone, Daxing District, Beijing 101111, People’s Republic of China, on June 20, 2025 at 3:00 p.m. (Hong Kong time). No proposal will be submitted for...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

BABA FY4Q25 Results: Continued Investments in Core Businesses

What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY4Q25 top-line results that were below consensus and our expectations. CMR growth could continue to be supported by take rate improvement, while Cloud could further accelerate partly driven by AI-related products revs. Margins could be adversely impacted due to continued investments in core businesses. We maintain our PT at USD155. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers be...

Alibaba’s 4QFY25 earnings slightly missed expectations. Revenue grew 7% yoy to Rmb236.5b, in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit rose 22% yoy to Rmb29.8b, missing consensus forecasts, with net margin of 12.6%. CMR revenue growth of 12% yoy exceeded expectations, propelled by the introduction of service fees, take rate improvement and the national subsidies programme. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$165.00 (US$165.00).

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+7)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, May 16, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations rose 0.5% yoy, 26.5% mom and 5% wow in the 19th week of 2025, with PEV market share increasing to 50.2%. Geely’s Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy saw strong sales growth driven by new model launches, aggressive pricing, tech upgrades, and robust export expansion. We lift Geely’s 2025 net profit forecast by 24%, given its upbeat 1Q25 earnings. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$31.00 Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Ge...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+19)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, May 16, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales edged up wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Healthcare: The rising robotic surgical system market in China. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$128.90/Target: HK$165.00): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers better-than-expected double-digit growth. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$19.58/Target: HK$31.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat on forex gain and associate profit. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$31...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

JD 1Q25 Results: JD Retail Could Remain Resilient in 2Q and FY25

What’s new: JD’s reported 1Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. JD Retail could remain resilient where segment revs could grow by double-digit YoY in 2Q and FY25. The improvement in JD Retail margins could be partly offset by continued investments in food delivery. We maintain our PT at USD70. Analysts: Jin Yoon

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