reports
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: 3Q25 Results Recap: Strong AI Cloud Top-line Growth; L...
China’s internet companies reported resilient 3Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement in the online gaming and OTA sectors, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. Margin pressure in e-commerce due to the intense on-demand delivery competition is likely to ease in 4Q25, but could persist into 2026 given the continuous investment and tough comparison base boosted by the trade-in programme in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Alibaba, Tencent, TCOM, TME, Ne...
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Market Strategy: 2026 Year Ahead: Global easing continue...
Highlights We expect global liquidity cycle to remain strong for at least 1H26, following the Fed’s return to policy easing in Sep 25, benefitting emerging market assets and commodities. Chinese equities are likely to rally further, and our index target for MSCI China index target is at 104 pts based on 16.3x 12-month forward PE and 6% EPS growth assumption. We prefer exposure to growth industries like AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics, ADAS and innovative drugs and liquidity proxies ...
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02208 XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS H
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Jin Yoon
BABA FY2Q26 Results: Cloud Rev Growth Could Remain Resilient in the Ne...
What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY2Q26 revs that were above consensus and largely in line with our expectations. Cloud rev growth momentum could continue in the CY4Q25 as demand continues to outpace supply of compute. Quick commerce could also meaningfully narrow losses sequentially partly driven by further improvement in unit economics. We maintain our PT at USD200. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 2QFY26: Solid CMR And Accelerating Cloud Reve...
Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued strong cloud revenue growth. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$206.00 (US$206....
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
Top Stories Company Results | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$157.80/Target: HK$206.00) Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued str...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Malaysia Research Team
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
Greater China Company Results | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$157.80/Target: HK$206.00) Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued st...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
JD.com (9618 HK): 3Q25: Solid Revenue Growth; Investment In FD To Ease...
JD’s 3Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 15% yoy to Rmb299.1b, 2-3% above our and consensus estimates. in line with its previously guided double-digit growth. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped 98% yoy to Rmb211m, translating to a non-GAAP operating margin of 0.07%. Non-GAAP net profit fell 56% yoy to Rmb5.8b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 2%. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$166.00 (US$46.00).
- Jin Yoon
JD 3Q25 Results: Outlook Remains Intact
What’s new: JD’s reported 3Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. JD Retail could continue to be supported by resiliency in general merchandise which partly offset the tougher comps from home appliances and consumer electronics. Investments in food delivery could continue to sequentially decline in 4Q. We maintain our PT at USD42. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Friday, November 14, 2025
Top Stories Economics | Money Supply M1 growth fell to 6.2% yoy in October, short of expectations, while M2 growth eased to 8.2% yoy. New bank loans dropped sharply to Rmb0.22t, and new TSF fell to Rmb0.81t, both below forecasts. Outstanding TSF and bank loan growth moderated to 8.5% (-0.2ppt mom) and 6.5% yoy (-0.1ppt mom) respectively, with the decline led by household loans. The numbers are not encouraging. Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV retail sales basically remained flat yoy in Oc...
JD.com Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results
JD.com Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results BEIJING, Nov. 13, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced its unaudited financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2025. Third Quarter 2025 Highlights Net revenues were RMB299.1 billion (US$142.0 billion) for the third quarter of 2025, an increase of 14.9% from the third quarter of 2024.Net income attributable to the Company’s ordinary shareholders was RMB5.3 b...
JD.com to Report Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on November 13, ...
JD.com to Report Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on November 13, 2025 BEIJING, Oct. 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it plans to release its unaudited third quarter 2025 financial results on Thursday, November 13, 2025, before the U.S. market opens. JD.com’s management will hold a conference call at 7:00 am, Eastern Time on November 13, 2025, (8:00 pm, Beijing/Hong Kong Time on November 13, 2025) to discuss the third quarter 2...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Key Battlefield For Instant Retail; Embedding AI Into ...
Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are Alibaba and Kuaishou.
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Market Strategy: Restating the “Goldilocks” Case for Japanese Stoc...
Have you missed it? As the Japanese stock market knocked unsuccessfully on the door of 50,000 yesterday [21 Oct], sentiment shifted from FOMO [fear of missing out] to FOTI [fear of topping in]. Would someone buying the Japanese market today be making the same mistake as someone buying in Oct 1989? Pelham Smithers discusses.
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Macro: China Data Shows Country Desperate to Export Way Out of Pro...
Pelham Smithers notes that although there are reasons for thinking that the Chinese economy is producing “real” growth of around +5% for CY25, there are several structural problems that need to be considered and the implications for Japan.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
JD.com (9618 HK): 3Q25 Results Preview: Top-line Growth Moderates; Pro...
JD’s 3Q25 top-line growth remains solid and was guided to grow at low teens, moderating from 2Q25 revenue growth of 22.4% yoy, due to the high base effect last year. Management guided easing FD investment intensity in 3Q25 alongside order volume expansion. Meanwhile, 4Q25 promotions are expected to further boost cross-channel synergies between retail and food delivery. Management targets breakeven in food delivery in the medium term. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$167.00 (US$43.00).
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 2QFY26 Results Preview: Solid Revenue Growth ...
We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite margin erosion led by instant delivery competition. We remain optimistic on Alibaba’s core commerce and cloud strategy, which leaves it well-positioned to become a technology platform centred on AI + Cloud and a consumer ecosystem integrating shopping and lifestyle services. Its intensified investment in AI and instant retail reinforces its long-term strategic value and growth flywheel. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$203.00 (US$203.00).
- Damon Shen
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, October 15, 2025
Top Stories Sector Update | Property Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80. Company Update | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$155.20/Target: HK$203.00) We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite margin erosi...
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q4
For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.
4689 Z HOLDINGS CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
6952 CASIO COMPUTER CO. LTD.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
7762 CITIZEN WATCH CO LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
9433 KDDI CORPORATION
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6752 PANASONIC CORPORATION
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
5423 TOKYO STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
8729 SONY FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7202 ISUZU MOTORS LIMITED
9616 KYORITSU MAINTENANCE CO. LTD.
6981 MURATA MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7731 NIKON CORP.
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
6753 SHARP CORPORATION
6762 TDK CORPORATION
4502 TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
4186 TOKYO OHKA KOGYO CO. LTD.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7261 MAZDA MOTOR CORP.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3697 SHIFT
6857 JP ADVANEST
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
4385 MERCARI INC.
36350 KOEI TECMO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3630 JT DENSAN SYSTEM CO LTD (3630 JT)
4194 VISIONAL
4483 JMDC
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
AST VISIONAL INC
5032 JT ASTREE CIE ASSURANCE & REASSURANCE
5253 JT ANYCOLOR INC
9616 JT COVER CORPORATION (5253 JT)
8473 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
215A SBI HOLDINGS [STRATEGIC BUSINESS INNOVATOR GROUP] (8473 JT)
285A JT TIMEE INC
KIOXIA CORPORATION (285A JT)
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Damon Shen
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 29, 2025
Greater China Company Results | New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$7.84/Target: HK$6.90) In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): APSARA Conference 2025 Key Takeaways
We attended the Alibaba Cloud Apsara Conference 2025 (“云栖大会”) on 24-26 Sep 25 and noted various key growth drivers: a) potential upward revision of its Rmb380b three-year AI infrastructure capex plan; b) data centre energy consumption projected to rise 10x by 2032 vs 2022, underscoring computing demand; c) expanded partnerships, including NVIDIA, with PAI platform integration for embodied intelligence and autonomous driving; and d) launch of seven new Qwen models. Maintain BUY with a higher targ...
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