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Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

China Internet: 4Q25 Results Recap: AI Bringing Disruptions And Opport...

China online retail companies’ 4Q25 revenue and margins were pressured by the high-base effect and the persistently intense on-demand delivery competition, which are likely to ease in 2026, seeing the solid NBS retail data for Jan-Feb 26, and the latest policy. Meanwhile, online gaming and OTA reported resilient 4Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. We expect improving AI monetisation and mixed earnings as AI investmen...

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy: Alpha Picks -- April Conviction Calls

Chinese equities consolidated further in March amid outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 6.9% mom and 7.5% mom respectively. We expect markets to stay volatile in April, though oversold rebounds are possible. We continue to focus on names with stronger fundamentals and remain buyers of tech names, adding Li Ning and Zijin Mining to our BUY list while taking profits on Ganfeng Lithium and cutting losses on LINK REIT.

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com Announces Pricing of CNY10 Billion CNY-denominated Senior Notes

JD.com Announces Pricing of CNY10 Billion CNY-denominated Senior Notes BEIJING, April 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced the pricing of its offering of CNY10 billion aggregate principal amount of CNY-denominated senior unsecured notes (the “Notes”). The Notes were offered in offshore transactions outside the United States to certain non-U.S. persons (the “Notes Offering”) in reliance on Regulation S under the Uni...

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com Announces Proposed Offering of CNY-denominated Senior Notes

JD.com Announces Proposed Offering of CNY-denominated Senior Notes BEIJING, March 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it proposes to offer CNY-denominated senior unsecured notes (the “Notes”) in offshore transactions outside the United States to non-U.S. persons in reliance on Regulation S under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), subject to market conditions and other...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

BABA FY3Q26 Results: AI Investments to Weigh Down Margins for FY27

What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY3Q26 results that were below consensus and our expectations. External cloud and AI revs could grow at least 40% CAGR over the next five years as demand for AI remains resilient. However, investments in AI including marketing spending related to Qwen App could continue to weigh down margins heading into FY27. We lower our PT from US$200 to US$170 on lowered margin outlook. Our updated PT of US$170 implies 21.8x FY27E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin...

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 3QFY26: Earnings Miss; Targeting A US$100b AI...

Alibaba’s 3QFY26 earnings missed expectations. Revenue grew 1.7% yoy to Rmb284.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb16.7b, down 44% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 4QFY26, management expects: a) a significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) a recovery in CMR growth and profitability, and c) continued strong growth in cloud revenue. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$192.00 (US...

Gigi Cheuk ... (+7)
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Friday, March 20, 2026

Top Stories Company Results | AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$34.30/Target: HK$41.00) AAC's 2H25 earnings registered a solid 8.7%/4.1% beat vs our/consensus estimates on better opex control and lower finance costs. Management remained optimistic on its diversified business, guiding steady margin improvements and revenue growth of mid-teens or above for most segments in 2026. Maintain BUY and keep target price at HK$41.00. Company Results | AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$82.80/Target: HK$109.00) AI...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

JD 4Q25 Results: Food Delivery Investments to Further Decline in 2026

What’s new: JD’s reported 4Q25 revs that were above consensus and largely in line with our expectations. JD Retail could continue to be supported by resiliency in general merchandise. Investments in food delivery could continue to sequentially decline in 1Q and FY26. We lower our PT from US$42 to US$35 as core retail could remain challenging in the near term. Our updated PT of US$35 implies 13.4x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

JD.com (9618 HK): 4Q25: Diversified Growth Driver; AI Embedded In Supp...

JD’s 4Q25 results beat expectations. Revenue increased 1.5% yoy to Rmb352.3b, largely in line with our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped to a Rmb3.1m loss from a Rmb10.5b profit in 4Q24. Non-GAAP net profit was down 90% yoy to Rmb1.1b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 0.3%, better than consensus and our estimates. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$133.00 (US$35.00).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Friday, March 6, 2026

Top Stories Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and the g...

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results, and Annual...

JD.com Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results, and Annual Dividend BEIJING, March 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced its unaudited financial results for the three months and the full year ended December 31, 2025 and an annual cash dividend for the year ended December 31, 2025. Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Highlights Net revenues were RMB352.3 billion (US$150.4 billion) for the fourth quarter o...

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls.

Chinese equities consolidated further in February, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 2.8% mom and 5.6% mom, respectively. March is expected to be volatile, as there are signs that the Middle East conflict could last for a while. We focus on names which have greater domestic exposure, adding Anta, China Duty Free, FII, Futu, Kuaishou and Tencent to our BUY list.

Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Alibaba Group Holding Limited and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 26 February 2026 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in...

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results o...

JD.com to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results on March 5, 2026 BEIJING, Feb. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it plans to release its unaudited fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results on Thursday, March 5, 2026, before the U.S. market opens. JD.com’s management will hold a conference call at 7:00 am, Eastern Time on March 5, 2026, (8:00 pm, Beijing/Hong Kong Time on March 5, 2026) to discuss the...

Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks – February 2026

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebala...

BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
ENRG ENERGI MEGA PERSADA
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
002460 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS A
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
MINT-R MINOR INTERNATIONAL PCL NVDR
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
CPN-R CENTRAL PATTANA PCL NVDR
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09999 NETEASE INC
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
PXP PLAINS EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION COMPANY
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
0303 ALPHA IVF GROUP
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ZETRIX MK ZETRIX AI (ZETRIX MK)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
UGAI ULTRAGREEN.AI LIMITED
Greater China Research Team ... (+2)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls.

Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list.

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

China Internet. Deeper Dive Into Agentic AI And The Rise Of AI Super A...

To-C applications growth is accelerating among mega-cap players with super apps, while emerging unicorns focus on To- B and To-prosumers in specific AI scenarios/verticals and on physical AI in verticals such as mobility and smartphone. For the next 6-12 months, we are eyeing key AI narratives: a) rollout of super apps leveraging on agentic AI, b) leading LLMs in specific verticals unlocking monetisation potential, and c) key drivers of cloud revenue growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: Baidu,...

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

China Internet: Deeper dive into agentic AI and the rise of AI super a...

Highlights  To-C applications growth is accelerating among mega-cap players with super apps, while emerging unicorns focus on To-B and To-prosumers in specific AI scenarios/verticals and on physical AI in verticals such as mobility and smartphone. For the next 6-12 months, we are eyeing key AI narratives: a) roll-out of super apps leveraging on agentic AI, b) leading LLMs in specific verticals unlocking monetisation potential, and c) key drivers of cloud revenue growth. Over time, we expect fur...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 4Q25 Results Preview: Lacklustre Top-line Growth; 1Q...

JD has guided for sluggish low single-digit top-line growth in 4Q25, moderating significantly from 3Q25’s revenue growth of 15% yoy, due to the high-base effect last year as a result of national subsidies. However, 4Q25’s revenue growth performance is likely to mark a cyclical trough, particularly for the JDR segment. We are optimistic about 1Q26 due to the resumption of national subsidies and strong seasonality during the Spring Festival. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$155.00 (US$...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+5)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Thursday, January 15, 2026

Top Stories Economics | Trade Export growth accelerated to 6.6% yoy in December (+0.7ppt mom), well above consensus, supported by strong shipments growth to Hong Kong and ASEAN, while export growth to the US weakened further. Import growth surged to 5.7% yoy (+3.8ppt mom), beating expectations amid a broad-based commodity recovery. Trade surplus widened to US$114.1b. Growths of motor vehicle, hi-tech, and mechanical & electrical exports strengthened. Overall, December’s trade data is market pos...

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